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A new report from The World Bank predicts that China's renminbi will join the U.S dollar and the euro as dominant1 international currencies sometime in the next 10 to 15 years. Some economists3 say is a major realignment in the global economic order, with developing countries playing a more dominant role.
The World Bank report Multipolarity: The New Global Economy focuses on the growing economic power and influence of leading emerging markets that include China, India, Brazil, South Korea, Russia and Indonesia and several other developing countries.
Half of economic growthMansoor Dailami, a senior economist2 at the World Bank says by 2025 those countries could account for about one half of all global economic growth.
Dailami says a major indicator4 of the country’s future economic growth is the number of companies that invest and do business abroad. He says between 1997 and 2010 the bank identified 10,000 companies from developing countries involved in cross-border transactions.
“That you see more and more companies from India, from China, from Indonesia, from South Africa, from Brazil, from Mexico, these companies are venturing outside in terms of the production, in terms of the investment, in terms of their financing. In short these companies are becoming multinationals,” Dailami explained.
Prominent(突出的) roleOf the emerging economies, he says China is posed to play the most prominent role in setting global economic policies. Dailami says China is already taking steps to make the renminbi a dominant international currency like the U.S. dollar and the euro.
“It’s a way of China diversifying5 its huge amount of foreign exchange risk. Right now China as I say is the second largest economy, the largest exports in the world, but China borrows and lends in a foreign currency, not its own currency,” Dailami said.
ReservesHe says China holds $3 trillion in currency reserves and as the dollar continues to drop in value, so too does the value of China's reserves. Establishing the renminbi as an international currency that reflects China's strong economic position, could protect it and other countries from fluctuations6 in the stagnant7 economies of Europe and America.
The renminbi is not presently an international currency in part because China does not allow it to be converted at free market rates.
But Dailami says Beijing is moving in that direction by increasingly using renminbi in international transactions and by allowing an off shore market in Hong Kong to issue bonds and banks loans in Chinese currency.(本文由在线英语听力室整理编辑)
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1 dominant | |
adj.支配的,统治的;占优势的;显性的;n.主因,要素,主要的人(或物);显性基因 | |
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2 economist | |
n.经济学家,经济专家,节俭的人 | |
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3 economists | |
n.经济学家,经济专家( economist的名词复数 ) | |
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4 indicator | |
n.指标;指示物,指示者;指示器 | |
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5 diversifying | |
v.使多样化,多样化( diversify的现在分词 );进入新的商业领域 | |
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6 fluctuations | |
波动,涨落,起伏( fluctuation的名词复数 ) | |
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7 stagnant | |
adj.不流动的,停滞的,不景气的 | |
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