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The euro has lost 5.1 percent versus1 the dollar over the past month. And a spate2 of poor eurozone economic data Friday further eroded3 its value, signaling a grim economic outlook for the European economy in 2012.
At 13 years old, the euro is barely a teenager. But, so far, it has had an eventful life.
At its inception4, Germany, the currency zone’s biggest economy, was still digesting the huge costs of incorporating East Germany, and there were wider concerns about whether such an ambitious project of a common currency would even work.
Despite concerns, it soon matched the dollar one for one. Then shot past it. Even after the financial crisis in 2007 - and a recession soon after - it held its value.
But now a second eurozone recession is back and the markets have turned against it. Friday it hit a 16-month low against the dollar.
Jeremy Stretch a London-based currency strategist for the Canadian Bank CIBC, explains the weaknesses analysts5 identified several years ago are finally surfacing.
"I think those flaws were essentially6 being masked by the process of broader economic growth and it’s now only when we see a downturn that we haven’t seen in the majority of peoples' lifetimes that’s really underlined the sort of structural7 failings within the Eurozone project. It was a process designed by politicians and that’s part of the inherent flaw. The politicians didn’t design the process in the optimal8 way," he said.
The story may not just be euro weakness, but dollar strength. U.S. economic statistics were depressed9 until fall 2011 - with high unemployment, huge and growing government debt, and a housing market still yet to recover.
But now there are signs of improvement.
On Friday the U.S. reported that it created 200,000 jobs in December, the sixth month in a row of gains. The unemployment rate is now 8.5 percent. It was 10.1 percent just over two years ago. Unlike the eurozone, the U.S. isn’t predicted to fall back into recession in 2012.
"Going back to the start of the crisis, the U.S. was the first economy to really suffer the depths of the downturn and I think the U.S. were relatively10 early in terms of some of the procedural measures they put in place to try to alleviate11 that - in terms of cutting interest rates to effectively zero and putting in fairly sizeable injections of capital into the banking12 system and into the economy at large," Stretch stated. "So in essence there is an element of first in, first out.”
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1 versus | |
prep.以…为对手,对;与…相比之下 | |
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2 spate | |
n.泛滥,洪水,突然的一阵 | |
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3 eroded | |
adj. 被侵蚀的,有蚀痕的 动词erode的过去式和过去分词形式 | |
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4 inception | |
n.开端,开始,取得学位 | |
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5 analysts | |
分析家,化验员( analyst的名词复数 ) | |
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6 essentially | |
adv.本质上,实质上,基本上 | |
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7 structural | |
adj.构造的,组织的,建筑(用)的 | |
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8 optimal | |
adj.最适宜的;最理想的;最令人满意的 | |
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9 depressed | |
adj.沮丧的,抑郁的,不景气的,萧条的 | |
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10 relatively | |
adv.比较...地,相对地 | |
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11 alleviate | |
v.减轻,缓和,缓解(痛苦等) | |
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12 banking | |
n.银行业,银行学,金融业 | |
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13 bail | |
v.舀(水),保释;n.保证金,保释,保释人 | |
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