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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
Michigan's 1st Congressional District is huge - almost 25,000 square miles - and it is where, with the pending1 retirement2 of Republican Congressman3 Dan Benishek, former Marine4 Corps5 General Jack6 Bergman – a Republican – is facing former Michigan Democratic Party Chair Lon Johnson.
Bergman upset two establishment Republicans in the August primary and still hasn't mended fences with the local GOP. We'll see if he can build the campaign organization and get-out-the-vote operation necessary to win. Republicans in the District say he hasn't yet.
But, campaign organization is something Johnson knows - fundraising, door-knocking and get-out-the-vote-efforts are things he worked on as former Party Chair.
It's Just Politics with Zoe Clark and Rick Pluta. The 1st District is considered one of the most competitive districts in the country - even though the Cook Political Report ranks it R +4.
That means, all other things being equal, Republicans start with a four-point advantage.
In other parts of the state, Republicans are fretting8 over whether Donald Trump9 will drag down the GOP ballot10. But, in northern Michigan, Trump appears to be polling pretty well.
Hillary Clinton, however, is quite unpopular. As is President Obama. Congressional Democrats11 were hoping that, with the right candidate, they might just have a chance to pick up this seat once Obama was no longer at the top of the ballot.
But the Clinton name does not seem to add an advantage in the 1st. But that's likely a small comfort to Trump, because elections in Michigan are won and lost with the big population in southeast Michigan.
But that does mean Hillary Clinton has to do that much better in metro12 Detroit to win Michigan.
That is good news for northern Michigan Republicans and bad news for northern Michigan Democrats looking to draft off the top of the ticket on Election Day.
But it's not impossible for Ds to win. Democrat7 Bart Stupak held the 1st Congressional District seat for 18 years. Stupak is a former cop, pro-life and pro-gun rights.
Lon Johnson fits part of that profile. He is a hunter and a gun-owner. But he is pro-choice. And he is closely associated with President Obama. He is married to Obama's former fundraiser, Julianna Smoot. Johnson even once granted a presidential request to play the Easter Bunny at the White House egg roll.
There are plenty of political issues that could be argued, but it seems a lot of this campaign is focused on which candidate has the best claim to be a true northern Michigander.
Johnson was raised in downriver Detroit and has an apartment in the city. Bergman has a place in the western U.P., but also has ties dating back ten years to New Orleans. Has a home in Louisiana. And he seems to like to winter there.
Northern Michigan and the 1st Congressional District is a vast area but voters here want that local connection.
But, like everywhere else, candidates don't entirely13 control their destinies. The top of the ticket can be decisive. Voters' views of Trump and Clinton play a huge part in their fates.
1 pending | |
prep.直到,等待…期间;adj.待定的;迫近的 | |
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2 retirement | |
n.退休,退职 | |
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3 Congressman | |
n.(美)国会议员 | |
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4 marine | |
adj.海的;海生的;航海的;海事的;n.水兵 | |
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5 corps | |
n.(通信等兵种的)部队;(同类作的)一组 | |
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6 jack | |
n.插座,千斤顶,男人;v.抬起,提醒,扛举;n.(Jake)杰克 | |
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7 democrat | |
n.民主主义者,民主人士;民主党党员 | |
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8 fretting | |
n. 微振磨损 adj. 烦躁的, 焦虑的 | |
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9 trump | |
n.王牌,法宝;v.打出王牌,吹喇叭 | |
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10 ballot | |
n.(不记名)投票,投票总数,投票权;vi.投票 | |
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11 democrats | |
n.民主主义者,民主人士( democrat的名词复数 ) | |
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12 metro | |
n.地铁;adj.大都市的;(METRO)麦德隆(财富500强公司之一总部所在地德国,主要经营零售) | |
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13 entirely | |
ad.全部地,完整地;完全地,彻底地 | |
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