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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
We are now a year away from Election 2018. It's the time when the concept of who a candidate might be is starting to create the reality of who that candidate will be.
We are in the period of time when candidates running for office in 2018 are trying to solidify1 their status as the front-runner, figuring out who's got that all important political momentum2.
President Lyndon Johnson once said, "Momentum is not a mysterious mistress. It is a controllable fact of political life." LBJ declaring there that it's not magic when a policy, a piece of legislation, or a candidate running for office really catches on. It is controllable.
With one year and one week left before Election 2018, this is the moment that a candidate's momentum is starting to gel. And one sliver3 of how political pundits4 and voters see that is how much money a candidate has raised.
Money. It's something that's easy to rail against in politics but, like it or not, fundraising becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy in campaigns. More money means more exposure. It means more slick advertising5 and high-paid consultants6.
Candidates spend a lot of time and effort spinning their fundraising successes to other potential donors7. Buzz from a good fundraising period can convince other funders that it's time to get into the game and back a winner.
And, then, political pundits talk more about them as possible candidates with a real chance of winning because they've shown the funders (the power brokers) they've got what it takes to win.
This past week, candidates running for governor in Michigan were spinning their latest fundraising numbers. They're pushing the number of small, grassroots donations versus9 large donations from rich donors and political action committees. They're focusing on how many donations are from in state versus out of state donors.
These are dollars and figures that most voters don't pay a lot of attention to this early on but the numbers end up being factors that the campaigns use to convince funders and opinion leaders that they're winning.
After this past week's fundraising numbers the narratives10 are beginning to swell11 around Republican Attorney General Bill Schuette. He's out on top in the Republican field when it comes to the money haul. The Schuette team is hoping this most recent dollar draw will convince the Republicans that he's the inevitable12 candidate. Schuette's numbers surpass Dr. Jim Hines and state Senator Patrick Colbeck. And, the question remains13, will Lieutenant14 Governor Brian Calley jump in?
On the Democratic side, businessman Shri Thanedar is dumping millions of dollars of his own money into the gubernatorial campaign.
Former Detroit Health Chief Abdul El-Sayed is getting great national press. And national money. But it's former state Senate Democratic leader Gretchen Whitmer who's showing in-state donor8 support.
All of this is numbers and data that swirl15 together to create some sort of sense of inevitability16.
But, of course, if you took conventional wisdom, we would have had a Governor Mike Cox in 2010 and a President Hillary Clinton sworn into office this year.
1 solidify | |
v.(使)凝固,(使)固化,(使)团结 | |
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2 momentum | |
n.动力,冲力,势头;动量 | |
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3 sliver | |
n.裂片,细片,梳毛;v.纵切,切成长片,剖开 | |
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4 pundits | |
n.某一学科的权威,专家( pundit的名词复数 ) | |
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5 advertising | |
n.广告业;广告活动 a.广告的;广告业务的 | |
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6 consultants | |
顾问( consultant的名词复数 ); 高级顾问医生,会诊医生 | |
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7 donors | |
n.捐赠者( donor的名词复数 );献血者;捐血者;器官捐献者 | |
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8 donor | |
n.捐献者;赠送人;(组织、器官等的)供体 | |
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9 versus | |
prep.以…为对手,对;与…相比之下 | |
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10 narratives | |
记叙文( narrative的名词复数 ); 故事; 叙述; 叙述部分 | |
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11 swell | |
vi.膨胀,肿胀;增长,增强 | |
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12 inevitable | |
adj.不可避免的,必然发生的 | |
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13 remains | |
n.剩余物,残留物;遗体,遗迹 | |
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14 lieutenant | |
n.陆军中尉,海军上尉;代理官员,副职官员 | |
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15 swirl | |
v.(使)打漩,(使)涡卷;n.漩涡,螺旋形 | |
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16 inevitability | |
n.必然性 | |
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