-
(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
Michigan Democratic Congresswoman Debbie Dingell is on a mission.
The morning after the Iowa Democratic Caucuses1 produced no clear votes and no winner, Dingell denounced what she called a “total screw-up.” She dubbed2 the current nominating system “broken,” and one that does not “reflect the diversity of this country.”
She’s right – especially since party powerbrokers insist on starting the presidential rite3 in Iowa and New Hampshire. Those states’ minority populations, percentage-wise, are a fraction of the national average – or the Michigan average, which more closely tracks the nation.
African-Americans account for 14.1% of Michigan’s population, according to the Census4 Bureau. That’s slightly higher than the U.S. average. By comparison, Iowa is 4% black and New Hampshire just 1.7%.
Unlike the cornfield capital of America, the home of the Motor City ticks all the boxes today’s Democrats5 theoretically want – even need – in a go-first state.
Michigan is three times larger than Iowa. Its population is more racially and politically diverse. And Detroit is the largest minority-majority city percentage-wise in the country.
Michigan’s got large socio-economically diverse swaths of suburbs, vast rural areas and one of the nation’s most diverse agricultural sectors7. It’s got college towns in Ann Arbor8 and East Lansing, anchored by Big Ten universities that help support a growing tech sector6. And its traditional manufacturing is powered, in part, by union labor9 that still wields10 influence in state politics.
Most importantly: the path to the Oval Office runs straight through Michigan, arguably the most central battleground state.
In a 50-50 nation, it’s more or less a 50-50 state with a Republican Legislature, a Democratic governor, a sophisticated business community with global reach – and more than enough experience with economic hardship.
Donald Trump11 wouldn’t be president – and won’t be again – without carrying Michigan.
In 2016 Trump carried the state because a) he understood how his message would resonate with key voting blocks here and because b) Hillary Clinton and her campaign wrongly assumed the Democratic Blue Wall would hold.
There’s a reason House Speaker Nancy Pelosi asked Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer to deliver the Democratic response to Trump’s State of the Union address this week: the state is electorally vital.
My hometown of Canton, Ohio, long had a reputation for picking presidents – a 50-50 town split between labor and management, Democrats and Republicans. It was a bellwether12 where national political pros13 sought clues to who might win the next presidential election.
Sorry ol’ Buckeye friends. That job should go to Michigan – 'cuz Iowa isn’t up to it anymore.
Daniel Howes is a columnist14 at The Detroit News. Views expressed in his essays are his own and do not necessarily reflect those of Michigan Radio, its management or the station licensee, The University of Michigan.
Clarification: A clarification has been made to indicate that, by percentage, Detroit is the largest minority-majority city in the country.
1 caucuses | |
n.(政党决定政策或推举竞选人的)核心成员( caucus的名词复数 );决策干部;决策委员会;秘密会议 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
2 dubbed | |
v.给…起绰号( dub的过去式和过去分词 );把…称为;配音;复制 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
3 rite | |
n.典礼,惯例,习俗 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
4 census | |
n.(官方的)人口调查,人口普查 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
5 democrats | |
n.民主主义者,民主人士( democrat的名词复数 ) | |
参考例句: |
|
|
6 sector | |
n.部门,部分;防御地段,防区;扇形 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
7 sectors | |
n.部门( sector的名词复数 );领域;防御地区;扇形 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
8 arbor | |
n.凉亭;树木 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
9 labor | |
n.劳动,努力,工作,劳工;分娩;vi.劳动,努力,苦干;vt.详细分析;麻烦 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
10 wields | |
手持着使用(武器、工具等)( wield的第三人称单数 ); 具有; 运用(权力); 施加(影响) | |
参考例句: |
|
|
11 trump | |
n.王牌,法宝;v.打出王牌,吹喇叭 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
12 bellwether | |
n.系铃的公羊,前导,领导者,群众的首领 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
13 pros | |
abbr.prosecuting 起诉;prosecutor 起诉人;professionals 自由职业者;proscenium (舞台)前部n.赞成的意见( pro的名词复数 );赞成的理由;抵偿物;交换物 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
14 columnist | |
n.专栏作家 | |
参考例句: |
|
|