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商业报道(Business Channel)12-27:2008亚洲市场预测

时间:2008-06-21 08:30来源:互联网 提供网友:海芋不屑   字体: [ ]
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No,this is where everybody has been anticipated because when came out as a report almost two years ago talk about BRIC.It's basically Brazil,Russia,India and China.And this four country because given the,I mean,the people and education level and/ economic growth of this four country that definitely,you know,this four markets,everyone has anticipated them to be performing well.

OK.On that basis then,2008 we will see pretty much more of the same?
Yes,I will say 2008 is gonna be pretty much the same thing and I think we would talk about Asia's,I think maybe Vietnam has a stand of very good chance to be performing very well as well.

We are just looking at Vietnam that was a 28% compared with say India 30% to 40%,and Shanghai nearly 85%.So Vietnam underperformed at the moment why do you like it in 2008?
Vietnam is underperforming is because of the width and depth of the market because right now the entire,you know,stock exchange market capitalization is only about 20 billion dollars and given that they are still in the very premetive stage and there is a lot of room for growth.So once,you know,you will see more of the state-owned enterprises as well as the private,I will say,privately-owned company go on to be listed in Vietnam.You will be seeing a very different kind of market and also they are trying,the Vietnam's government is trying to improve the infrastructure1 of both exchanges in H and Ho Chi Minh city.
Looking at Shanghai and India,the two best performing markets in 2007,there was talk this year,a lot of talk that certainly Shanghai was overheating.It was a bubble forming,to a less degree,India as well getting too hot.But you are saying it's still gonna be very hot next year?
Yes, because when you look at the liquidity2 of the market.There's still a lot of excess money or hot money is travelling around,you know,globally and when you look at the opportunities,this take for example,the US's subprime worries and probably that's gonna lead to some economic declines because the consumers are not gonna spend and Japan isn't enough for that well.And where are you gonna put your money?Right?And given that India and China,the fundementals are still there,the economic growth is still very strong and everyone is predicting at least 10% of growth of GDP next year.And given that,you know,the fundemantal plus,there are a lot of money outfloating.So this two market will definitely be performing very well next year.

Do you think looking at the economic fundementals of the stock market the people talk about though that these two markets are probably overvalued,they are probably in a bubble situation.
I will say this is really way too early to say that bubble is forming because given that when you are in an emerging market,you tend to give them a little bit higher in terms of PE or PB ratio.That is because they were enjoying a bad growth than the developed countries.It's just like for the same kind of banks that in China you get 4.5 times PB price book,but you won't be able to get that in the States because for Citibank probably about 2.5 times price book ratio.That's about it.

Finally, how does a retailing3 investor4 play a market like Shanghai or India,particularly Shanghai because it's so close to outside investors5.
You will be able to buy some ETF exchange, trade / fund, and you are able to buy into some of the funds
that is Chinafocus and I think that would be the best way for you to participate in the market but again,you will always have to look at any of your investment on the 12-month horizon.If you were just thinking about,you know,just like trading an individual stock punting the market,sometimes that is not gonna get you the return you are hoping for.


点击收听单词发音收听单词发音  

1 infrastructure UbBz5     
n.下部构造,下部组织,基础结构,基础设施
参考例句:
  • We should step up the development of infrastructure for research.加强科学基础设施建设。
  • We should strengthen cultural infrastructure and boost various types of popular culture.加强文化基础设施建设,发展各类群众文化。
2 liquidity VRXzb     
n.流动性,偿债能力,流动资产
参考例句:
  • The bank has progressively increased its liquidity.银行逐渐地增加其流动资产。
  • The demand for and the supply of credit is closely linked to changes in liquidity.信用的供求和流动资金的变化有密切关系。
3 retailing f7157e2e76f903d2893786de5cb093af     
n.零售业v.零售(retail的现在分词)
参考例句:
  • career opportunities in retailing 零售业的职业机会
  • He is fond of retailing the news. 他喜欢传播消息。 来自《简明英汉词典》
4 investor aq4zNm     
n.投资者,投资人
参考例句:
  • My nephew is a cautious investor.我侄子是个小心谨慎的投资者。
  • The investor believes that his investment will pay off handsomely soon.这个投资者相信他的投资不久会有相当大的收益。
5 investors dffc64354445b947454450e472276b99     
n.投资者,出资者( investor的名词复数 )
参考例句:
  • a con man who bilked investors out of millions of dollars 诈取投资者几百万元的骗子
  • a cash bonanza for investors 投资者的赚钱机会
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