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2007年VOA标准英语-Democrats Outpace Republicans in US Presidentia

时间:2007-07-19 00:38:01

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By Jim Malone
Washington
16 July 2007

In U.S. election news, Democrats1 Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama solidified2 their lead in campaign fundraising this month while Republican John McCain continues to face turmoil3 within his own ranks. VOA National Correspondent Jim Malone has the latest on the 2008 presidential campaign from Washington.

Democratic presidential hopeful U.S. Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y., speaks during the American Association for Justice presidential <a href=forum4 in Chicago, 15 Jul 2007" hspace="2" src="http://www.tingroom.com/upimg/allimg/070719/0838450.jpg" width="205" vspace="2" border="0" />
 Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, speaks during the American Association for Justice presidential forum in Chicago, 15 Jul 2007
The latest fundraising figures gave a boost to both Clinton and Obama, who are running first and second in public-opinion polls among the Democratic contenders.

Both campaigns have more than $30 million to spend on next year's presidential caucuses5 and primaries. That process begins with the Iowa caucuses in mid6 January.

The Democratic presidential contenders raised about $80 million from April through June, compared to $50 million raised by the Republican candidates.

Historically, Republicans raise more money than Democrats and some experts believe the disparity this year reflects unease among Republicans about their party's election chances next year.

"No one thinks that Republicans are suddenly poor. So it is clear that these donors7 and activists8 are dissatisfied with the current field," said Mike Allen, of the politics Website The Politico dot com. "They are either going to stay out for the whole election or they [are] waiting for someone new, probably Fred Thompson."

Actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson during an interview on the 'Fox News Sunday' program in Washington, DC, 11 March 2007
Fred Thompson during an interview on the 'Fox News Sunday' program, 11 March 2007
Thompson, a former Republican U.S. Senator and television actor, is expected to join the campaign within the next few months. The Republican field of contenders is now down to nine following the withdrawal9 of former Virginia Governor Jim Gilmore, who barely registered in the polls and in fundraising.

Political analyst10 Stuart Rothenberg says Fred Thompson's expected entrance into the race would make him an instant contender for the Republican Party's presidential nomination11.

"If he does, when he does, he would become the third top-tier candidate, frankly12 replacing John McCain who has faded to second-tier status," he said. "So you would have Fred Thompson, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt13 Romney and former New York City Major Rudy Giuliani as the big three."

John McCain's top communications aides and several other staffers quit the campaign Monday, continuing a string of defections that began following a shakeup of top campaign staff last week. McCain told voters in the early primary state of New Hampshire that he will remain in the race despite the turmoil within his campaign.

On the Democratic side, former North Carolina Senator John Edwards is trying to re-energize his campaign with an eight-state campaign tour that will highlight poverty in America.

Edwards began his tour in New Orleans, which was devastated14 by Hurricane Katrina in 2005 and where residents complain that the Bush administration has done little to rebuild those areas damaged in the storm.

John Edwards addresses the American <a href=Federation15 of State, County and Municipal Employees (AFSCME) during its National Leadership Conference in Washington, DC, 19 June, 2007 " hspace="2" src="http://www.tingroom.com/upimg/allimg/070719/0838452.jpg" width="210" vspace="2" border="0" />
John Edwards addresses the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees (AFSCME) during its National Leadership Conference in Washington, DC, 19 June, 2007
Edwards is running third among Democrats in most public-opinion polls, but continues to do well in the early contest state of Iowa.

"So the Democratic race is a kind of two person race now, with Edwards hanging on [to third place], hoping to pull off a surprise in Iowa to really resuscitate16 the campaign," added Stuart Rothenberg, Washington-based analyst .

New Hampshire hosts the first presidential primary a week after Iowa, and a new Associated Press poll in New Hampshire found Hillary Clinton leading the Democratic field over Barack Obama and John Edwards, while Mitt Romney was the top Republican, ahead of Rudy Giuliani and John McCain.

Polls this early before an election year are notoriously unreliable. But campaigns often factor in poll results when shaping their political strategies and appeals to voters.


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