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The vibrant1 seaport2 city, Mumbai, in southern India, usually is quick to bounce back from catastrophes3 like bombings, communal4 riots and monsoon5 floods. But the most recent terror attack is testing its reputation for resilience. Mumbai is limping back to normal, as it mulls terror's economic impact.Members of anti-terrorist squad6 take positions outside Chhatrapati Shivaji railroad station following rumor7 of terrorist attack in Mumbai, India, 28 Nov 2008 |
Most people are unable to get close to the location of the Bombay Stock Exchange unless they work for one of the companies inside and can make it past the gauntlet of security checks. Security has been increased since last month's attack, especially because the exchange was on the attackers' list of targets.
Many residents still reeling from attack aftermath
For many in the stunned8 city, the three-day siege seems to have crossed a line. It seems to have targeted some of the most visible - and apparently9 vulnerable - symbols of India's prosperity, just as the nation's economy was slowing down.
Gaurav Dua, a senior researcher at Sharekhan - one of the trading companies at the exchange - says the latest attack, combined with the global credit crunch10, has been a painful one-two punch to India's economy.
"The timing11 of the attack was really unfortunate for India," Dua said. "The uncertainty12 is not good for business and it will have an impact on the growth in India. But I think this will be a short-term phenomenon."
Stock exchange plunges
The stock exchange opened briefly13 during the three-day siege, partly as a show of patriotic14 defiance15. But investors16 apparently were not feeling as patriotic. The market quickly shed three percent of its value; not that it was doing so well before the attack.
India's stock market has lost more than 30 percent of its value, this year. Analysts17 say India's growth rate is headed for a seven-year low of six percent.
Tourism industry impacted
Among the first to feel the pinch is the tourism industry. Since the attack, it has slowed to a trickle18, spelling trouble for the more than 40 million people who depend on it for their livelihood19. Hotels across the country are seeing a rash of cancellations. And, that is affecting spin-off businesses like restaurants, travel agencies and craft shops.
But market analysts say the attacks could scare off more foreign investors and business leaders - the very people who helped spur India's record growth for the past several years.
"Unless the issue of security is adequately addressed by India, all our ambitions - including our expectations of sustaining seven and eight percent growth rates - will be jeopardized20 by violence and terrorism," said Ajay Sahni, the Center for Conflict Management in New Delhi director.
To calm India's jittery21 market the government set aside $8 billion this week in a stimulus22 package, but many here question whether that will be enough to stop the country's downward slide - a slide that many analysts say has been accelerated by the latest terror attack.
Will terror attacks scare off investors?
India's commerce minister has tried to allay23 market fears, saying most foreign investors already take into account that terrorism can strike anywhere in the world.
But it appears to strike with surprising regularity24 in India, with eight terror attacks since May. In the past four years more people have been killed by terror attacks in India than in any other country except Iraq.
That, Ajay Sanhi says, cannot be good for India's economy.
For now, in Mumbai, music concerts and movie premiers25 still are being postponed26 or canceled, Islamic Eid celebrations have been muted, and cricket matches - almost a religion here - are being moved to other venues27.
Mumbai - as well as the rest of the country - appears to be slow to return to normal, especially in the face of rising tension between India and Pakistan, where police investigators28 say the attack was organized.
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