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President-elect Barack Obama is proposing an emergency $800 billion economic stimulus1 plan that would use government spending and taxing power to help pull the faltering2 U.S. economy out of recession.President-elect Barack Obama speaks to reporters in Washington, 12 Jan 2009 |
The president-elect said only government can provide the short-term boost necessary to lift the economy out of deep recession. In a January 10 radio address, Mr. Obama said his plan to inject billions of dollars into the economy will create three to four million new jobs over two years.
"90 percent of these jobs will be created in the private sector3. The remaining 10 percent will be in the public sector, mainly jobs that we save like teachers, police officers, firefighters and others who provide vital services to our communities," he said.
The Obama stimulus plan will be a combination of government spending and tax cuts, proposals that will soon be debated in congress. A year ago the Bush administration and Congress implemented4 a much smaller $168 billion stimulus that did boost economic growth for a short time, before the economy resumed the slide that began in December 2007. That first stimulus plan, combined with big spending on wars in Iraq and Afghanistan has pushed the government budget into deep deficit5. Even before the planned Obama stimulus, the U.S. government was projected to be incurring6 a $1.2 trillion deficit in the current fiscal7 year. That is an amount equal to eight percent of economic output. Kevin Hasset, a scholar at the American Enterprise Institute, believes government spending is out of control.
"The deficit next year, if we pass the Obama stimulus plan...will be larger than the size of government when Bush was elected, in nominal8 dollar terms," he said.
A "for sale" sign stands in front of a KIK Custom Products manufacturing plant (R) in Cumberland, R.I., (Dec 2008 file photo) |
Martin Baily, chief economist9 to former President Bill Clinton, worries whether foreigners will continue to buy the Treasury10 debt needed to fund the rapidly growing government deficit.
"I think that is a danger. I said at the beginning of my comments that it is quite uncertain where the economy is going. It is possible that it will turn around more quickly and strongly than the current [Bush] administration's economic advisors11 think it will. In which case, the Fed [central bank] will be scrambling12 like crazy to rein13 in some of this money it has put out there," said Baily.
At a [Monday] conference on the stimulus plan, speakers including Hassett and Baily, expressed concern about the eventual14 inflationary impact of both greatly increased government spending and rapid increases in the money supply. Most economists15, however, agree that the unprecedented16 severity of the credit squeeze and global slowdown requires extraordinary measures to maintain consumer purchasing power.
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