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World markets were mostly lower on Wednesday amid more dire1 U.S. economic news and a move by Germany to facilitate bank nationalization. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up one-tenth of a percent, while other U.S. indexes were just slightly lower. The Tokyo exchange was nearly 1.5 percent lower, while the major European indexes lost less than one percent.
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (file photo)
One day after President Barack Obama signed the biggest stimulus2 package in U.S. history, the scale of the challenges facing America's ailing3 economy came into sharper focus.
The Federal Reserve, the nation's central bank, now projects U.S. unemployment will rise as high as 8.8 percent this year, while the economy could contract by as much as 1.3 percent, extending a recession that began more than a year ago.
In addition, the Fed reports that U.S. industrial production fell for a third consecutive4 month in January, by 1.8 percent, a larger drop than most economists6 had anticipated. The central bank also revised downward the figure previously7 released for December 2008 was the worst year for American manufacturing in seven years.
Meanwhile, the U.S. Commerce Department reported that new home construction plummeted8 to an all-time low, down 17 percent in January from the previous month. Applications for building permits, an indicator9 of future construction activity, also fell.
President Barack Obama speaking in Mesa, Arizona, 18 Feb 2009
President Obama says the housing slowdown is having a devastating10 effect on the economy as a whole.
"Construction companies and home furnishing stores and painters and landscapers, they are all cutting back. The number of residential11 construction jobs has fallen by more than a quarter million since mid-2006. As businesses lose revenue and people lose income, the tax base shrinks, which means less money for schools and police and fire departments," he said.
Mr. Obama spoke12 in Arizona on Wednesday, where he unveiled a program to reduce home foreclosures.
But not all economists see the steep decline in home construction as a bad thing, given the severely13 depressed14 state of America's housing market.
Millions of home foreclosures combined with a continuing credit squeeze and a deteriorating15 economy have led to a glut16 of unsold houses on the market. Given massive inventory17 surpluses, the last thing the market needs is an infusion18 of newly-built dwellings19, according to Diane Swonk, Chief Economist5 at Chicago-based Mesirow Financial.
"The bad news is, it is very hard on builders who cannot get paid to build. The good news is that it is clearing the inventory of unsold homes. What we are doing is not adding insult to injury by putting more empty homes on the market," she said.
Economists have been debating the likely effectiveness of President Obama's initiatives to prop20 up the economy, aid homeowners and deal with the country's financial crisis.
More important than the details of any one provision of any one plan is whether, taken as a whole, the initiatives restore the nation's collective confidence, according to economist Mark Zandi of Moodys Economy.com.
"The key aspect of all of this, to get the economy on more stable ground, is to try to restore confidence because we have in many respects lost faith in our economy," he said.
Earlier Wednesday, Germany's government agreed on a new provision that will allow it to nationalize private banks that are at risk of failing. The measure is the latest in a series of steps taken by governments and central banks around the world to rescue their banking21 and financial sectors22 in the wake of a global credit crisis.
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