英国退欧之后 荷兰也即将面临抉择

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基尔特·威尔德斯是荷兰疑欧派自由党的领袖，他是第一批为其英国同志取得“独立日”胜利而送上祝贺的人。

There are shared concerns about European immigration and Brussels bureaucracy among the Dutch electorate¹. And yet, "Nexit" is by no means inevitable².

荷兰的选民对欧洲移民和欧盟官僚主义有着相同的看法。不过，“荷兰退欧”并非不可避免。

In fact, according to the rules of the Advisory³ Referendum Act there is no legal possibility of holding a vote on the Netherlands' membership of the EU. Referendums can cover only new legislation and treaties, and are only advisory.

事实上，根据《咨询公投法案》的规定，对荷兰的欧盟成员国身份进行表决不存在法律上的可能性。公投只能覆盖新法案和新条约，而且只能是咨询性的。

英国退欧之后 荷兰也即将面临抉择

The only way to hold a Nexit vote would be to change existing legislation, and that is only likely to happen if Mr Wilders wins elections next year.

唯一有可能使得荷兰退出欧盟的办法就是修改现存的法律，而那只有威尔德斯在明年的大选中胜出才有可能办到。

Most recent polls suggest a slight majority of voters oppose the idea of an in-out Nexit vote.

最近大部分的民调都显示，稍占多数的人反对进行一场荷兰退欧投票。

"We don't see the EU as a threat as a big imperial monster, we see it as something you can negotiate with," says Hans Steketee, editor of the NRC Handelsblad newspaper. "It's like Brussels sprouts⁴, you might not like them but you eat them because you know they're good for you. My gut⁵ feeling is that people will say: 'Oh well, if this is what happens after Brexit we should definitely think twice.'"

NRC商报编辑汉斯·斯特克蒂表示：“我们不认为欧盟是一个庞大帝国怪物那样的威胁，我们认为是可以和欧盟进行谈判协商的。这就好像芽甘蓝一样，你也许不喜欢但是你还是要吃它，因为你知道它们对你的身体有好处。我的直觉是人们会说：'呃，如果英国退欧之后发生了这么多事，那么我们一定要对荷兰退欧一事三思而后行。'”

With eight months before the Dutch election, there is plenty of time for the tide to turn.

目前距离荷兰大选还有8个月，现在还有充足的时间来使得局势反转。

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