万花筒 2012-07-07&07-09 央行一个月内二次降息(在线收听

 Last year there was too much tightening and this year maybe they are looming behind the curve, parts of the reason maybe the macro-numbers in China could be sometimes misleading.

Another rate cut for China. And this is the second cut in the space of a month after a year of keeping rates steady. The world's second largest economy is feeling the pitch of economic slowdown. Weak manufacturing, weak housing and now signs of weaking jobs market after a year of what has been rip roaring growth. 
With the blitz of data due on the coming week, analysts are really starting to wonder if there is a lot of bad news waiting in the wings. Second quarter GDP is expected to grow at its weakest pace in a three years. But it could be even worse. Will it be below 8% ? Will it be below 7.5%?
My number 7.5%, I think most likely be around 7.5% or even it will be lower. 
One area of focus will be bank lending. If that is weaker than expected, it really could bring out signs that China's economy is at a standstill.
  原文地址:http://www.tingroom.com/lesson/wanhuatong/2012/228034.html