VOA慢速英语2020 新冠肺炎导致越南经济前景黯淡（在线收听）

Vietnamese officials have lowered expectations for their country's normally fast-growing economy in 2020. The officials noted that weakness in the international economy has reduced demand for exports and international travel.

越南官员在2020年降低了对本国通常快速增长的经济的期望。这些官员指出，国际经济的疲软减少了对出口和国际旅行的需求。

Vietnam's $260 billion economy has grown 6 percent or more each year since 2012 because of an increase in manufactured exports. Vietnamese officials say the economy will grow just 2 percent in 2020. That is down from an earlier target of 2.5 percent. The Asian Development Bank estimates that the economy will expand at a rate of just 1.8 percent this year.

自2012年以来，规模达2600亿美元的越南经济以每年不低于6%的速度增长，原因是制造品出口的增长。越南官员表示，2020年越南经济将仅增长2%。这低于了早先设定的2.5%的目标。亚洲开发银行估计，今年该国的经济增长将只有1.8%。

Experts say measures taken around the world to contain COVID-19 have reduced orders to Vietnamese factories that make shoes, clothing and furniture.

专家表示，世界范围内采取的遏制新冠肺炎的措施使得越南制造鞋、成衣和家具的工厂的订单减少。

Stay-at-home rules in Western countries are keeping people away from physical stores. Business closures in those countries have left people out of work and less likely to buy non-essential goods.

西方国家的居家规定使人们远离实体商店。这些国家的企业停业使得人们失业，购买非必需品的可能性降低。

Frederick Burke is a partner with the law office Baker McKenzie in Ho Chi Minh City. He told VOA, "The rule is that those light industrial goods are weak, the exports orders are down and there's reports of a lot of unemployment in the factory sector in the [Vietnamese] provinces."

弗雷德里克·伯克是胡志明市贝克·麦肯齐律师事务所的合伙人。他对美国之音表示：“规律是轻工业产品需求疲软，出口订单下降，有报道称越南各省的工厂部门存在大量失业。”

Vietnamese factories that make electronic products still get orders from companies that sell overseas to people working or studying at home. However, most factories that make non-essential goods are failing, Burke said.

伯克表示，越南电子产品制造工厂仍然获得了一些公司的订单，这些公司向在家工作或学习的海外人士出售产品。然而，大多数生产非必需品的工厂都要倒闭。

For example, one Vietnamese factory operated by a Taiwan-based company dismissed 150 workers earlier this year. That information comes from the nonprofit Business & Human Rights Resource Centre.

例如，一家中国台湾公司经营的越南工厂今年年初解雇了150名工人。该信息来自于非营利性商业和人权资源中心。

Vietnam has closed its borders to limit the spread of COVID-19. The border closure is stopping investors from making trips that would help them expand. They would normally travel to Vietnam from Japan, Singapore, South Korea and Taiwan to search for new places to manufacture goods.

越南已经关闭边境以控制新冠肺炎扩散。边境关闭使得投资者无法进行本来有助于他们扩大业务的差旅活动。他们通常会从日本、新加坡、韩国和中国台湾前往越南，寻找制造产品的新地方。

Jack Nguyen is a partner with Mazars, a business advisory service, in Ho Chi Minh City. He said that Vietnam's tourism industry has also been badly affected by the restrictions on travel. Foreign tourism usually makes up 6 percent of the Vietnamese economy.

杰克·阮是胡志明市Mazars企业咨询公司的合伙人。他说，越南的旅游业也受到旅行限制的严重影响。涉外旅游通常占到越南经济的6%

"Things will only pick up only when the borders are open and there's no quarantine requirements," Nguyen said. "Who knows when that's going to be."

阮先生表示：“只有边境开放并且不要求隔离，事情才会出现转机。谁也不知道要等到什么时候。”

Experts say a COVID-19 outbreak earlier in Danang, followed by the start of the school year, has reduced travel within Vietnam. Some of the country's hotels are up for sale as a result, Nguyen noted.

专家表示，岘港之前的新冠肺炎爆发是在开学之后，这减少了越南的国内出行。阮先生提到，结果就是该国的一些酒店挂牌转让。

The Ministry of Planning and Investment says it could take as long as four years for the world economy to recover from the effects of COVID-19. The ministry set a 2021 growth target of 6 percent to 6.5 percent, down from an earlier goal of 7 percent.

越南规划和投资部表示，世界经济可能需要长达四年时间才能从新冠肺炎的影响中恢复过来。该部门将2021年的增长目标定为6%到6.5%，低于先前7%的目标。

However, foreign investors in the country are not looking elsewhere. Frederick Burke said that those investors believe Vietnam's economy will survive the effects of the coronavirus health crisis.

然而，该国的外国投资者不考虑其它地方。伯克表示，那些投资者认为越南经济将在新冠病毒健康危机的影响下熬过来。

Ralf Matthaes is founder of the Infocus Mekong Research group in Ho Chi Minh City. He says Vietnam's government "has proven to the world thus far that it can protect its borders from the invasion of a pandemic and create a desirable atmosphere for investment." He added that that is something most other Asian nations cannot say.

拉尔夫·马特斯是胡志明市Infocus Mekong研究组织的创始人。他说，越南政府“迄今为止已经向世界证明，它可以保护其边境不受这场大流行的侵袭，并创造理想的投资氛围。”他还说，这是大多数其它亚洲国家无法承诺的。