纪录片《全球怪象》 第9期：黑天鹅事件（在线收听）

And as you go towards stronger events the numbers decline,

随着风暴威力的增加 数量也逐渐减少

until you get to a speed limit

直到达到极限速度

which, in today's climate, is about 200 miles per hour.

按现在的气候也就是320公里每小时

Now, after the climate warms,

在气候变暖之后

the distribution's expected to look more like this,

分布图看起来就更像是这样了

with actually fewer weak storms up here,

弱风暴数量减少

but more strong storms.

强风暴数量增加

We expect that speed limit will go up to something like

我们估计最高速度会达到

220 miles per hour.

大约350公里每小时

But the weirding of hurricanes doesn't stop there.

但是飓风的古怪之处还不止这些

Professor Emanuel believes that in the future,

伊曼纽教授相信在未来

we can expect hurricanes in parts of the world

地球上从未出现过飓风的地方

that have never seen them before.

可能会受到飓风的侵袭

He calls these "Black swan events".'

他称之为 "黑天鹅事件"