TED演讲:为什么智能统计数据是打击犯罪的关键(8)（在线收听）

Now I want to say something really important.

现在我想说些非常重要的事。

It's not that I think we should be eliminating the judge's instinct and experience from this process.

在整个过程中，我不认为应该排除法官的直觉和经验。

I don't. I actually believe the problem that we see and the reason that we have these incredible system errors,

我不这样想。事实上，我相信我们看到的问题以及系统内出现令人难以置信的错误的原因，

where we're incarcerating low-level, nonviolent people and we're releasing high-risk, dangerous people,

也就是我们关押低级、非暴力的人，我们释放高风险的、危险的人的原因，

is that we don't have an objective measure of risk.

是因为我们没有客观的衡量风险。

But what I believe should happen is that we should take that data-driven risk assessment

但我相信我们应该将这种数据驱动的风险评估

and combine that with the judge's instinct and experience to lead us to better decision making.

与法官的直觉和经验相结合会使我们做出更好的决策。

The tool went statewide in Kentucky on July 1, and we're about to go up in a number of other U.S. jurisdictions.

该评估工具于7月1日在肯塔基州全面推行，我们还要在许多其他美国司法管辖区内推行。

Our goal, quite simply, is that every single judge in the United States will use a data-driven risk tool within the next five years.

我们的目标很简单，就是实现在未来五年内让全美的每一个法官都能使用这种数据驱动的风险评估工具。

We're now working on risk tools for prosecutors and for police officers as well,

我们现在正在研究风险工具以便检察官和警官使用，

to try to take a system that runs today in America the same way it did 50 years ago,

想要把过去50年不变的系统继续运行下去，

based on instinct and experience, and make it into one that runs on data and analytics.

基于直觉和经验，并把它变成一种运用数据分析的系统。

Now, the great news about all this, and we have a ton of work left to do, and we have a lot of culture to change,

现在，我们仍有大量的工作要做，仍要改变相关文化，

but the great news about all of it is that we know it works. It's why Google is Google,

但关于这所有一切有个好消息那就是我们知道这很管用。这就是为什么数据成就了谷歌，

and it's why all these baseball teams use moneyball to win games.

为什么棒球队会因使用点球成金的方法而打赢比赛。

The great news for us as well is that it's the way that we can transform the American criminal justice system.

还有一个好消息是我们可以用这种方法转变美国的刑事司法系统。

It's how we can make our streets safer, we can reduce our prison costs, and we can make our system much fairer and more just.

它可以使我们的周边环境更安全，可以减少我们的监狱花销，可以让我们的司法系统更公平更公正。

Some people call it data science. I call it moneyballing criminal justice. Thank you.

有人说这是数据科学。我称之为点球成金式刑事司法。谢谢。