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Satellites Study Weather Conditions, Predict Diseases 气象卫星研究天气变化可预测疾病
Meningitis is spreading across West Africa. The brain disease is a threat every year across 21 African countries. Health officials call this area, “the meningitis belt.”
Now, scientists have found they can predict and prepare for this and other diseases. How? They use information from satellites orbiting the Earth.
Every year, dust storms blow across the Sahel area of Africa. And every year, meningitis crosses the Sahel after the storms. Carlos Perez Garcia-Pando is an atmospheric1 scientist with the American space agency NASA. He spoke2 to VOA on Skype.
“Meningitis has been one of the most feared dry season diseases in Africa for a long time.”
The Sahel stretches from the West African nation of Senegal to Ethiopia in the east. Tens of thousands of people across this area get the disease each year. About 10 percent of those infected die from the disease. Another 10 to 20 percent suffer permanent brain or nerve damage.
Mr. Garcia-Pando says scientists have yet to understand why meningitis appears to follow the seasonal3 dust storms in the Sahel. But he says experts do have the technology to study the storms. Satellites can watch these storms develop and examine the conditions that create them.
The NASA scientist says dust storms are his specialty4. Yet he admits he had not studied meningitis until the World Health Organization contacted him.
There are not enough vaccines5 available to protect everyone in the Sahel from meningitis. But Mr. Perez Garcia-Pando says it would help to know when and where the disease will strike.
So he and other researchers developed a system that studies satellite measurements of dust, wind and humidity levels across the Sahel. The researchers also need to know the number of cases already identified by the end of the year. Using this information, they found they could predict how bad the next meningitis season would be.
This is just one of several ways experts are looking to the skies for help in predicting the spread of disease.
Nita Bharti is with Penn State University. She says she can predict the spread of measles6 by watching city lights grow brighter.
“The changes in brightness are telling us something about increasing and decreasing human aggregation7, and that’s very likely driving the transmission of measles.”
Ms. Bharti spoke to VOA on Skype. She says the disease measles loves a crowd. In Niger’s capital, Niamey, the population grows in the dry season as farmers arrive from the countryside. They are looking for work in the city.
Brightness from their electric lights and cooking fires can be seen in satellite imagery of the area. Ms. Bharti and her team found they could predict how measles would spread through Niamey by watching parts of the city light up.
“The satellite can become a really powerful public health tool.”
That was Rita Colwell of the University of Maryland. Her group found it could predict cases of the deadly disease cholera8 in Bangladesh by using satellite information about conditions in the Bay of Bengal.
Cholera bacteria live on sea creatures that eat very small organisms known as plankton9. She and NASA researchers thought they could predict an increase in cholera cases by studying plankton levels in the water.
“I’ll never forget. We were doing the calculations, and ‘bingo’! It just fell right into place. It was very exciting.”
Her group and other researchers hope to use satellites in disease prediction as other scientists use them to predict the weather.
Words in This Story
belt – n. an area or place where a culture, a kind of crop or life forms are found
atmospheric – adj. relating to the atmosphere
humidity – adj. relating to wetness; n. – amount of moisture, wetness, in the atmosphere.
imagery – n. photographs or pictures
1 atmospheric | |
adj.大气的,空气的;大气层的;大气所引起的 | |
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2 spoke | |
n.(车轮的)辐条;轮辐;破坏某人的计划;阻挠某人的行动 v.讲,谈(speak的过去式);说;演说;从某种观点来说 | |
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3 seasonal | |
adj.季节的,季节性的 | |
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4 specialty | |
n.(speciality)特性,特质;专业,专长 | |
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5 vaccines | |
疫苗,痘苗( vaccine的名词复数 ) | |
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6 measles | |
n.麻疹,风疹,包虫病,痧子 | |
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7 aggregation | |
n.聚合,组合;凝聚 | |
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8 cholera | |
n.霍乱 | |
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9 plankton | |
n.浮游生物 | |
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