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Is China’s Economic Information Correct?
For over a week, investors1 have been closely watching sharp changes in share prices on China’s stock market. Some investors say the wild movements have intensified2 because of concerns about the truthfulness3 of that nation’s economic reports. Critics say the reports can fool investors by presenting an unrealistically-strong picture of the economy.
An expert on China says the government is not inventing the economic information. But, he believes that the economy is changing quickly from traditional industries to services. He says the ways of measuring this new economic activity are unable to keep up with the changes.
China is the world's second-largest economy, a huge trading nation and major importer of everything from machinery4 to oil and other natural resources. For this reason, its economic problems affect trading partners and stock markets around the world.
Stock prices in Shanghai and overseas markets have been in the news, in part, because of fears that China's economy is not growing as fast as some investors expect.
Weakness worries investors. And when many frightened investors sell stocks, it drives down prices. The fears intensify5 when financial experts worry that China’s economy is weaker than the official reports show.
Ben Willis is a trader on the New York Stock Exchange.
“The Chinese economy, we thought, was growing at seven percent. It’s probably only growing at half that. So a 50 percent reduction means you need to re-price, and that’s what you’re seeing going on in the stock markets and in the commodity markets.”
Expansion of major industries was part of economic growth in China.
Nick Lardy is an expert on the Chinese economy. He works for the Peterson Institute for International Economics in Washington, D.C. He says China is better than most developing economies at measuring industrial production, especially from state-owned businesses. But he says much of the economic growth is now coming from the service industry, which is made up largely of smaller, private companies.
"Everything from retail6 and wholesale7, restaurants and hotels, financial services, including banking8, insurance, securities, asset management…”
Nick Lardy says restaurants are a good example of the growing services sector9.
"When I first went to China, there were practically no restaurants. Now there are millions and millions of restaurants. Collecting the data on all these small firms in the restaurant business is very, very labor10 intensive. "
He adds that better, more detailed11 records would help Chinese leaders make better-informed decisions on economic issues. But he says the group of workers collecting economic data in China is very small in comparison to the size of its huge, fast-changing economy.
Words in This Story
commodity – n. something that can be bought and sold
retail – adj. relating to the business of selling things directly to a buyer
wholesale – adj. related to the business of selling things in large amounts to other businesses
restaurant(s) – n. an eating place
insurance – adj. moving the risk of a loss from one person or business in exchange for money.
securities – n. something, like stock shares, that is evidence of debt or ownership
management – n. the act of controlling and making decisions about a business or office
data – n. information
1 investors | |
n.投资者,出资者( investor的名词复数 ) | |
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2 intensified | |
v.(使)增强, (使)加剧( intensify的过去式和过去分词 ) | |
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3 truthfulness | |
n. 符合实际 | |
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4 machinery | |
n.(总称)机械,机器;机构 | |
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5 intensify | |
vt.加强;变强;加剧 | |
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6 retail | |
v./n.零售;adv.以零售价格 | |
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7 wholesale | |
n.批发;adv.以批发方式;vt.批发,成批出售 | |
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8 banking | |
n.银行业,银行学,金融业 | |
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9 sector | |
n.部门,部分;防御地段,防区;扇形 | |
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10 labor | |
n.劳动,努力,工作,劳工;分娩;vi.劳动,努力,苦干;vt.详细分析;麻烦 | |
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11 detailed | |
adj.详细的,详尽的,极注意细节的,完全的 | |
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