亚洲—专家认为朝鲜谈话无法取得突破

Experts Say Korean Talks Neither Breakthrough

Nor Breakdown¹

专家认为朝鲜谈话无法取得突破

 

Senior South Korean officials are hailing a multi-national statement on North Korea's nuclear-weapons programs as a positive move forward. However analysts³ around the region are sparing in their praise for the accord. While they acknowledge it keeps the diplomatic process from collapsing⁴, it fails to address major hurdles⁵ in Pyongyang's nuclear disarmament.

 

A brief round of applause broke out at a news conference in Seoul Monday in response to unexpected news that the delegates at the nuclear disarmament talks in Beijing had issued a joint⁷ statement of principles.

 

South Korean Unification Minister Chung Dong-Young used sweeping⁸ language to praise the statement as the foundation for a "covenant⁹ of peace" in northeast Asia. Mr. Chung says the Beijing statement is a key step toward ending the Cold War era between the two Koreas.

 

Monday's statement commits North Korea in principle to dismantle¹⁰ all its nuclear programs and return to the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, based on a "commitment for commitment, action for action" formula. That is a softening¹¹ of Washington's earlier demand that Pyongyang "completely, verifiably and irreversibly" disarm⁶, before receiving any compensation.

 

The statement concluded the fourth round of talks, in which China, Russia, Japan, the United States and South Korea have been trying to persuade North Korea to end its nuclear weapons programs. Until mid-day Monday, it had appeared the talks were on the verge¹² of breaking down.

 

The statement is a broad overview¹³ of goals to be negotiated later, beginning at the next round of talks sometime in November.

 

Peter Beck, the northeast Asia director for the research agency, the International Crisis Group, he says the statement's vagueness reflects a lukewarm commitment to diplomacy¹⁴ by the main opposing parties in the talks: North Korea and the United States.

 

Peter Beck: Talking is better than not talking, but neither side is ready for a breakthrough, or a breakdown.

 

North Korea has said it has nuclear weapons and will make more, despite several previous promises that it would not develop them. In late 2002, after the United States said Pyongyang had admitted having a secret weapons program, it expelled inspectors¹⁵ from the International Atomic Energy Agency. The North then became the first nation to withdraw from the global Non-Proliferation Treaty, or NPT.

 

Kim Taewoo, an analyst² with the Korean Institute for Defense¹⁶ Analyses here in Seoul, says the statement does not go far enough in specifying¹⁷ which steps North Korea, also known as the DPRK, takes, and when.

 

Kim Taewoo: We should not say it is a breakthrough, until DPRK admits to a specific timetable on when to come back to the NPT and submit to intrusive¹⁸ inspections²⁰.

 

Without that timetable, says Mr. Kim, Pyongyang may refuse to take steps on dismantling²¹, until some of its other demands are met.

 

Kim Taewoo: North Korea may insist on negotiations²² with the United States over a peace regime on the peninsula, or normalization²³ of relations with Japan, before doing what it has to do.

 

Robert Broadfoot, of the Political and Economic Risk Consultancy firm in Hong Kong, agrees that problems may lie in the details of who gets access to Pyongyang's nuclear facilities, and when.

 

Robert Broadfoot: I do not think you are going to see, a month from now, all of a sudden, Korea swarming²⁴ with foreign inspection¹⁹ teams, I think, there is a lot of specific logistics that have to be worked out here.

 

Mr. Beck with the International Crisis Group, says the Beijing statement sidelines North Korea's demand for international funding for a civilian²⁵ nuclear program. He predicts it will be several years before that issue is put on the table again.

 

Peter Beck: Once the North has complied with all its obligations and demonstrated that it is living by the NPT, then I think it would be perfectly²⁶ acceptable to revisit the issue of peaceful use.

 

Professor Nam Woo-sook, a North Korea specialist at Seoul's Korea University, acknowledges that the new statement is short on specifics. However he expresses a willingness to give Pyongyang the benefit of the doubt.

 

Professor Nam says he believes North Korea will return to the NPT and accept international monitoring very soon, if the United States and its partners provide half a million tons of heavy fuel oil aid a year to the North, as they did once before under a 1994 agreement.

 

That aid was halted in 2002. In addition to pledges of other economic aid, in the Beijing statement, South Korea promises to supply its impoverished²⁷ neighbor with large amounts of electricity over the next several years.

 

Kurt Achin, VOA news, Seoul.

 

注释：

spar [spB:r] vi. 争论，辩论

collapse²⁸ [kE5lAps] vi. 失败

disarmament [dis5B:mEmEnt] n. 裁军，裁减军备

covenant [5kQvEnEnt] n. 盟约，契约

formula [5fC:mjulE] n. 原则

on the verge of 接近于，濒临于

vagueness [5vei^nis] n. 含糊

lukewarm [5lu:kwC:m] adj. 冷淡的

peninsula [pi5ninsjulE] n. 半岛

normalization [7nC:mElai5zeiFEn] n. 正常化

logistics [lE5dVistiks] n. 军事行动的细节部署

impoverished [im5pCvEriFt] adj. 穷困的

1 breakdown   

n.垮，衰竭；损坏，故障，倒塌

参考例句：

• She suffered a nervous breakdown.她患神经衰弱。
• The plane had a breakdown in the air,but it was fortunately removed by the ace pilot.飞机在空中发生了故障，但幸运的是被王牌驾驶员排除了。

2 analyst   

n.分析家，化验员；心理分析学家

参考例句：

• What can you contribute to the position of a market analyst?你有什么技能可有助于市场分析员的职务？
• The analyst is required to interpolate values between standards.分析人员需要在这些标准中插入一些值。

3 analysts   

分析家，化验员( analyst的名词复数 )

参考例句：

• City analysts forecast huge profits this year. 伦敦金融分析家预测今年的利润非常丰厚。
• I was impressed by the high calibre of the researchers and analysts. 研究人员和分析人员的高素质给我留下了深刻印象。

4 collapsing   

压扁[平]，毁坏，断裂

参考例句：

• Rescuers used props to stop the roof of the tunnel collapsing. 救援人员用支柱防止隧道顶塌陷。
• The rocks were folded by collapsing into the center of the trough. 岩石由于坍陷进入凹槽的中心而发生褶皱。

5 hurdles   

n.障碍( hurdle的名词复数 )；跳栏；（供人或马跳跃的）栏架；跨栏赛

参考例句：

• In starting a new company, many hurdles must be crossed. 刚开办一个公司时，必须克服许多障碍。 来自《简明英汉词典》
• There are several hurdles to be got over in this project. 在这项工程中有一些困难要克服。 来自辞典例句

6 disarm   

v.解除武装，回复平常的编制，缓和

参考例句：

• The world has waited 12 years for Iraq to disarm. 全世界等待伊拉克解除武装已有12年之久。
• He has rejected every peaceful opportunity offered to him to disarm.他已经拒绝了所有能和平缴械的机会。

7 joint   

adj.联合的，共同的；n.关节，接合处；v.连接，贴合

参考例句：

• I had a bad fall,which put my shoulder out of joint.我重重地摔了一跤，肩膀脫臼了。
• We wrote a letter in joint names.我们联名写了封信。

8 sweeping   

adj.范围广大的，一扫无遗的

参考例句：

• The citizens voted for sweeping reforms.公民投票支持全面的改革。
• Can you hear the wind sweeping through the branches?你能听到风掠过树枝的声音吗？

9 covenant   

n.盟约，契约；v.订盟约

参考例句：

• They refused to covenant with my father for the property.他们不愿与我父亲订立财产契约。
• The money was given to us by deed of covenant.这笔钱是根据契约书付给我们的。

10 dismantle   

vt.拆开，拆卸；废除，取消

参考例句：

• He asked for immediate help from the United States to dismantle the warheads.他请求美国立即提供援助，拆除这批弹头。
• The mower firmly refused to mow,so I decided to dismantle it.修完后割草机还是纹丝不动，于是，我决定把它拆开。

11 softening   

变软，软化

参考例句：

• Her eyes, softening, caressed his face. 她的眼光变得很温柔了。它们不住地爱抚他的脸。 来自汉英文学 - 家（1-26） - 家（1-26）
• He might think my brain was softening or something of the kind. 他也许会觉得我婆婆妈妈的，已经成了个软心肠的人了。

12 verge   

n.边，边缘；v.接近，濒临

参考例句：

• The country's economy is on the verge of collapse.国家的经济已到了崩溃的边缘。
• She was on the verge of bursting into tears.她快要哭出来了。

13 overview   

n.概观，概述

参考例句：

• The opening chapter gives a brief historical overview of transport.第一章是运输史的简要回顾。
• The seminar aims to provide an overview on new media publishing.研讨会旨在综览新兴的媒体出版。

14 diplomacy   

n.外交；外交手腕，交际手腕

参考例句：

• The talks have now gone into a stage of quiet diplomacy.会谈现在已经进入了“温和外交”阶段。
• This was done through the skill in diplomacy. 这是通过外交手腕才做到的。

15 inspectors   

n.检查员( inspector的名词复数 )；（英国公共汽车或火车上的）查票员；（警察）巡官；检阅官

参考例句：

• They got into the school in the guise of inspectors. 他们假装成视察员进了学校。 来自《简明英汉词典》
• Inspectors checked that there was adequate ventilation. 检查员已检查过，通风良好。 来自《简明英汉词典》

16 defense   

n.防御，保卫；[pl.]防务工事；辩护，答辩

参考例句：

• The accused has the right to defense.被告人有权获得辩护。
• The war has impacted the area with military and defense workers.战争使那个地区挤满了军队和防御工程人员。

17 specifying   

v.指定( specify的现在分词 )；详述；提出…的条件；使具有特性

参考例句：

• When we describe what the action will affect, we are specifying the noun of the sentence. 当描述动作会影响到什么时，我们指定组成句子的名词。 来自About Face 3交互设计精髓
• Procurement section only lists opportunistic infection drugs without specifying which drugs. 采购部分只说明有治疗机会性感染的药物，但并没有说明是什么药物。 来自互联网

18 intrusive   

adj.打搅的；侵扰的

参考例句：

• The cameras were not an intrusive presence.那些摄像机的存在并不令人反感。
• Staffs are courteous but never intrusive.员工谦恭有礼却从不让人感到唐突。

19 inspection   

n.检查，审查，检阅

参考例句：

• On random inspection the meat was found to be bad.经抽查，发现肉变质了。
• The soldiers lined up for their daily inspection by their officers.士兵们列队接受军官的日常检阅。

20 inspections   

n.检查( inspection的名词复数 )；检验；视察；检阅

参考例句：

• Regular inspections are carried out at the prison. 经常有人来视察这座监狱。
• Government inspections ensure a high degree of uniformity in the standard of service. 政府检查确保了在服务标准方面的高度一致。 来自《简明英汉词典》

21 dismantling   

（枪支）分解

参考例句：

• The new government set about dismantling their predecessors' legislation. 新政府正着手废除其前任所制定的法律。
• The dismantling of a nuclear reprocessing plant caused a leak of radioactivity yesterday. 昨天拆除核后处理工厂引起了放射物泄漏。

22 negotiations   

协商( negotiation的名词复数 )； 谈判； 完成（难事）； 通过

参考例句：

• negotiations for a durable peace 为持久和平而进行的谈判
• Negotiations have failed to establish any middle ground. 谈判未能达成任何妥协。

23 normalization   

n.（normalisation）正常化，标准化

参考例句：

• The visit signalled the normalization of relations between the two countries.这次访问显示两国关系已经正常化。
• He was pleased to the normalization of relationship between the police and the people.他很高兴警方和人民之间关系的正常化。

24 swarming   

密集( swarm的现在分词 )； 云集； 成群地移动； 蜜蜂或其他飞行昆虫成群地飞来飞去

参考例句：

• The sacks of rice were swarming with bugs. 一袋袋的米里长满了虫子。
• The beach is swarming with bathers. 海滩满是海水浴的人。

25 civilian   

adj.平民的，民用的，民众的

参考例句：

• There is no reliable information about civilian casualties.关于平民的伤亡还没有确凿的信息。
• He resigned his commission to take up a civilian job.他辞去军职而从事平民工作。

26 perfectly   

adv.完美地，无可非议地，彻底地

参考例句：

• The witnesses were each perfectly certain of what they said.证人们个个对自己所说的话十分肯定。
• Everything that we're doing is all perfectly above board.我们做的每件事情都是光明正大的。

27 impoverished   

adj.穷困的，无力的，用尽了的v.使（某人）贫穷( impoverish的过去式和过去分词 )；使（某物）贫瘠或恶化

参考例句：

• the impoverished areas of the city 这个城市的贫民区
• They were impoverished by a prolonged spell of unemployment. 他们因长期失业而一贫如洗。 来自《简明英汉词典》

28 collapse   

vi.累倒；昏倒；倒塌；塌陷

参考例句：

• The country's economy is on the verge of collapse.国家的经济已到了崩溃的边缘。
• The engineer made a complete diagnosis of the bridge's collapse.工程师对桥的倒塌做了一次彻底的调查分析。