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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
By Jim Malone
Washington
19 October 2006
Less than three weeks before U.S. congressional elections, Democrats1 are enthusiastic about their chances, while Republicans are in a defensive2 mode, hoping to limit Democratic gains.
US Capitol, Washington DC
A new public-opinion poll conducted by NBC News and the Wall Street Journal highlights the political challenges that lie ahead for the Republicans.
Only 16 percent of voters in the survey approved of the job the Republican-led Congress is doing. That is the lowest approval rating for Congress since 1992.
The same poll also found that voters preferred the Democrats to be in control of Congress by a margin3 of 52 percent to 37 percent.
Democrats, like Maryland Congressman4 Chris Van Hollen, believe public discontent over the Iraq war is a major factor in this year's election.
"They see that we have not completed the job against Osama bin5 Laden6 and al-Qaida in Afghanistan," he said. "They see that we took our eye off the ball there and went into Iraq. And they see that what we have in Iraq is a mess and chaos7 and the result of many, many things, including gross incompetence8 by the Bush administration."
All 435 seats in the House of Representatives are at stake this year, as well as 33 seats in the 100-member Senate and 36 state governorships.
Democrats need to gain 15 House seats to retake control of that chamber9 and six additional seats to recapture control of the Senate.
Republicans are trying to shift the focus of the election debate away from Iraq to national security concerns like terrorism and economic issues like taxes.
Republicans also insist the House races will be determined10 more by local issues and personalities11, not national trends.
Rep. Tom Reynolds speaks at a fundraiser in Amherst, NY, Oct. 4, 2006
New York Congressman Tom Reynolds is leading the Republican effort to maintain a majority in the House of Representatives.
"We are dealing12 with fierce contests, fought by local personalities on local, pocketbook issues," he said. "The old saying still rings true, voters may hate Congress, but they like their congressman."
Most congressional elections are fought more over local issues. But public opinion surveys have for months suggested that Republicans face a negative public mood as Election Day approaches.
"National polling and polls in individual [congressional] districts are very clear," said Stuart Rothenberg, who publishes a non-partisan political newsletter in Washington. "Voters are dissatisfied with the direction of the country, they are dissatisfied with the performance of their political leaders, including the president, and certainly including Congress. They are pessimistic."
Experts say much of the bad mood is directly traceable to the difficulties in Iraq.
"And at this point, I think, Iraq is even making us pessimistic about the American economy," said Karlyn Bowman, who monitors public opinion at the American Enterprise Institute in Washington. "So, it is Iraq, Iraq, Iraq, I think, probably number one, two and three [in priority], with everything else falling in a pretty distant second place."
Rep. Mark Foley (file photo)
In addition to Iraq, Republicans are also concerned about the recent scandal involving former Republican Congressman Mark Foley and the sexually suggestive e-mails he sent to young male pages who worked in Congress.
Republicans worry the Foley scandal could hurt their efforts to encourage Christian13 conservatives to vote on November 7.
Democrats are growing increasingly confident about their prospects14 of winning the House and possibly the Senate. Democratic control of even one chamber of Congress would have a major impact on the balance of power in Washington.
"And everybody in Washington believes that, if the Democrats take control of one or both chambers15 [of Congress], there will be a lot of investigations16 about the administration," said analyst17 Stuart Rothenberg. "And not just Iraq, but also the response to Hurricane Katrina last year, health care, prescription18 drugs, gas prices."
President Bush's top political adviser19, Karl Rove, told The Washington Times newspaper that he remains20 confident Republicans will prevail in the elections, in part because they have been better than Democrats at mobilizing their core supporters to vote in recent elections.
1 democrats | |
n.民主主义者,民主人士( democrat的名词复数 ) | |
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2 defensive | |
adj.防御的;防卫的;防守的 | |
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3 margin | |
n.页边空白;差额;余地,余裕;边,边缘 | |
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4 Congressman | |
n.(美)国会议员 | |
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5 bin | |
n.箱柜;vt.放入箱内;[计算机] DOS文件名:二进制目标文件 | |
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6 laden | |
adj.装满了的;充满了的;负了重担的;苦恼的 | |
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7 chaos | |
n.混乱,无秩序 | |
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8 incompetence | |
n.不胜任,不称职 | |
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9 chamber | |
n.房间,寝室;会议厅;议院;会所 | |
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10 determined | |
adj.坚定的;有决心的 | |
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11 personalities | |
n. 诽谤,(对某人容貌、性格等所进行的)人身攻击; 人身攻击;人格, 个性, 名人( personality的名词复数 ) | |
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12 dealing | |
n.经商方法,待人态度 | |
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13 Christian | |
adj.基督教徒的;n.基督教徒 | |
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14 prospects | |
n.希望,前途(恒为复数) | |
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15 chambers | |
n.房间( chamber的名词复数 );(议会的)议院;卧室;会议厅 | |
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16 investigations | |
(正式的)调查( investigation的名词复数 ); 侦查; 科学研究; 学术研究 | |
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17 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
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18 prescription | |
n.处方,开药;指示,规定 | |
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19 adviser | |
n.劝告者,顾问 | |
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20 remains | |
n.剩余物,残留物;遗体,遗迹 | |
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