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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
By Bill Rodgers
Washington, DC
15 March 2006
watch Iraq Road Ahead
The latest sectarian violence in Iraq has raised questions about the future of the U.S. mission to establish a secure and democratic country, three years after U.S. troops invaded Iraq to overthrow1 dictator Saddam Hussein. As part of our series marking the third anniversary of the invasion, VOA's Bill Rodgers reports on the challenges ahead for the United States and Iraq.
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It was called "Shock and Awe2" -- the overwhelming force used in the March 2003 invasion of Iraq that enabled U.S. troops to quickly achieve their objectives. The regime of Saddam Hussein easily collapsed3 and the former dictator was captured some months later, hiding ignominiously4 in a hole in the ground.
Other successes followed when Iraqis went to the polls in three separate elections despite terrorist threats. The latest election, in December, was held to choose a parliament and it attracted large numbers of Sunni Arabs who had boycotted5 the first vote in January 2005.
Michael Rubin
Michael Rubin of the American Enterprise Institute says these accomplishments6 should not be minimized. "At this point, a new political system is taking root, we've had three successive polls, elections, and Iraqis, the vast majority of them, are looking forward to getting on with their lives."
But insurgent7 violence threatens this progress, with suicide bombings and other attacks taking a heavy toll8 on Iraqi civilians9.
Tamara Wittes
To counter this, the U.S. strategy is to train Iraq's military and police to assume a greater role maintaining security. But analyst10 Tamara Wittes of the Brookings Institution says training alone will not be enough.
"It is not enough if you have trained men with weapons on the ground, they have to have the whole infrastructure11 of government behind them. They have to have effective decision-making, they have to have reliable budgets to pay salaries and purchase equipment and they have to have an effective chain of command that's not tainted12 by political squabbling or corruption13. So if the government institutions aren't working, the army can't work either."
Forming a permanent, inclusive government will be key for Iraq's future. Last December's vote was largely along sectarian lines, and while Shi'ite and Kurdish coalitions14 won the most seats in parliament they do not hold an absolute majority needed to govern. The United States, through its ambassador in Iraq, has been pressing for the creation of a national unity15 government that would include Sunni representatives.
James Jeffrey
But it has encountered resistance, says James Jeffrey, the State Department's special Iraq Coordinator16. "People who have power don't want to give it up," he says. "The Shia did very well in both elections, but particularly in the first of them, which is why they have so many positions in the current government. The Sunni Arabs did very well for hundreds of years dominating a country whose population is largely not Sunni Arab. But all of these folks have to learn they are going to have to share power with other people."
However, attempts at unity were undermined by the February 22nd bombing of the sacred Shi'ite mosque17 in Samarra, which unleashed18 the worst sectarian violence since the downfall of Saddam Hussein. Retaliatory19 attacks were carried out against Sunni mosques20 while bodies of Shi'ite and Sunni civilians piled up at morgues.
If there is widespread sectarian violence, James Jeffrey says it will affect any U.S troop withdrawal21 plans. "What we have said is that, if the conditions permit, and I underline that, there could well be further withdrawals22 in the course of this year. But there's been no decision taken, there's no level of concreteness to possible plans or possible force levels, and again everything is dependent upon the conditions on the ground."
Quelling23 the insurgency24, made up mainly of disaffected25 Sunnis but also of foreign fighters led by terrorist Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, may be long and arduous26 task -- as the United States learned in Vietnam.
And some observers, such as Marina Ottoway of the Carnegie Endowment, are pessimistic about the U.S. mission in Iraq.
Marina Ottoway
"If we look at what has been happening, there does not seem to be much progress in forming a government and sectarian violence is increasing in the country, so that suggests we are not following a winning strategy," she told us.
The Bush administration clearly thinks otherwise, and remains27 determined28 to give the Iraqi government time to strengthen all of its institutions, including its security forces, to ensure stability.
1 overthrow | |
v.推翻,打倒,颠覆;n.推翻,瓦解,颠覆 | |
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2 awe | |
n.敬畏,惊惧;vt.使敬畏,使惊惧 | |
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3 collapsed | |
adj.倒塌的 | |
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4 ignominiously | |
adv.耻辱地,屈辱地,丢脸地 | |
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5 boycotted | |
抵制,拒绝参加( boycott的过去式和过去分词 ) | |
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6 accomplishments | |
n.造诣;完成( accomplishment的名词复数 );技能;成绩;成就 | |
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7 insurgent | |
adj.叛乱的,起事的;n.叛乱分子 | |
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8 toll | |
n.过路(桥)费;损失,伤亡人数;v.敲(钟) | |
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9 civilians | |
平民,百姓( civilian的名词复数 ); 老百姓 | |
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10 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
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11 infrastructure | |
n.下部构造,下部组织,基础结构,基础设施 | |
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12 tainted | |
adj.腐坏的;污染的;沾污的;感染的v.使变质( taint的过去式和过去分词 );使污染;败坏;被污染,腐坏,败坏 | |
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13 corruption | |
n.腐败,堕落,贪污 | |
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14 coalitions | |
结合体,同盟( coalition的名词复数 ); (两党或多党)联合政府 | |
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15 unity | |
n.团结,联合,统一;和睦,协调 | |
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16 coordinator | |
n.协调人 | |
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17 mosque | |
n.清真寺 | |
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18 unleashed | |
v.把(感情、力量等)释放出来,发泄( unleash的过去式和过去分词 ) | |
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19 retaliatory | |
adj.报复的 | |
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20 mosques | |
清真寺; 伊斯兰教寺院,清真寺; 清真寺,伊斯兰教寺院( mosque的名词复数 ) | |
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21 withdrawal | |
n.取回,提款;撤退,撤军;收回,撤销 | |
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22 withdrawals | |
n.收回,取回,撤回( withdrawal的名词复数 );撤退,撤走;收回[取回,撤回,撤退,撤走]的实例;推出(组织),提走(存款),戒除毒瘾,对说过的话收回,孤僻 | |
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23 quelling | |
v.(用武力)制止,结束,镇压( quell的现在分词 ) | |
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24 insurgency | |
n.起义;暴动;叛变 | |
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25 disaffected | |
adj.(政治上)不满的,叛离的 | |
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26 arduous | |
adj.艰苦的,费力的,陡峭的 | |
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27 remains | |
n.剩余物,残留物;遗体,遗迹 | |
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28 determined | |
adj.坚定的;有决心的 | |
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