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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
By Chris Mitchell
Washington
27 March 2006
Mexican presidential candidate Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador greets supporters as he arrives to a campaign rally in Tijuana (File photo - Jan. 26, 2006)
Recent public opinion polls taken in Mexico and Peru show left-leaning candidates leading as presidential elections approach in the two countries. The current front-runners are in position to replace two close U.S. allies.
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A recent Mexican public opinion poll shows leftist Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador leading a field of presidential candidates, as the July 2 presidential election approaches. Some 42 percent of respondents supported Lopez Obrador, placing him ahead of ruling party candidate Felipe Calderon with 32 percent and Roberto Madrazo with 24 percent.
Critics of the former Mexico City mayor have branded him a populist for what they describe as handout1 programs during his tenure2, but Lopez Obrador has also sought support from Mexico's business elite3, offering protection for industry.
Director of the University of New Haven4's Center for International Industry Competitiveness George Haley told VOA Lopez Obrador would likely continue in the economic footsteps of his predecessors5, including current President Vicente Fox, a U.S. ally.
"Obrador isn't a fire-breathing radical6. Mexico has had substantial economic improvement or economic enhancement and job creation under the policies of the most recent presidents," noted7 Haley.
In Peru, recent polls show former military officer Ollanta Humala leading the race for the presidency8. With the election scheduled for April 9, polls how Humala holds a narrow 42-to-38-pecent lead over former Congresswoman Lourdes Flores.
The figures put him in position to replace Alejandro Toledo, a key U.S. ally who signed a free trade agreement with Washington last year.
Humala describes himself as a nationalist. He led a failed coup9 against President Alberto Fujimori in 2000, and is seen as a close ally of Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez and Bolivian President Evo Morales, two leaders who have been political thorns in Washington's side.
While Flores is seen as a pro-business candidate and the favorite of international investors10, Humala has pledged to limit foreign investment in the Andean nation. He has also vowed11 to end the U.S.-sponsored campaign to eradicate12 coca production.
Davidson College political science professor Russell Crandall says a victory by Humala could pose political problems for Washington.
"Humala poses to be a much more anti-American nationalist president who could really complicate13 the United States' drug policies in the Andes in particular, especially given that last December we saw the victory of former coca leader and populist Evo Morales," said Crandall.
Haley, of the University of New Haven, says the recent success of left-leaning leaders in Latin America has its roots in the conservative policies held by previous administrations. While such policies have been successful in countries like Mexico, where Haley says some 750,000 jobs have been created since the 1992 North American Free Trade Agreement, expectations in other Latin American countries have not been met.
"More conservative economic policies were, to a great extend, oversold, as to how fast they would create the benefits," he added. "They were also oversold as far as what benefits they would bring."
The leftward shift has had its effects in Washington. Crandall says the Bush administration has begun to understand that dealing14 with Latin America in ways that can be seen as heavy-handed could cause more nations to adopt radical-style governments.
"So I think what you will see from Washington, from the Bush administration is a lot of diplomatic carrots," he commented. "They'll have diplomatic visits in an effort to demonstrate that Washington is willing and able to do business with the left in Latin America."
The United States has had its problems in Latin America over the years, including a decades-old feud15 with Cuban President Fidel Castro. Washington has also traded barbs16 with Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez since his election in 1998.
More recently, newly-elected Bolivian President Evo Morales campaigned on promises to legalize the cultivation17 of coca, the base ingredient of cocaine18. A former leader in the country's coca growers association, Mr. Morales had also vowed to be "a thorn in the side of the United States."
1 handout | |
n.散发的文字材料;救济品 | |
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2 tenure | |
n.终身职位;任期;(土地)保有权,保有期 | |
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3 elite | |
n.精英阶层;实力集团;adj.杰出的,卓越的 | |
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4 haven | |
n.安全的地方,避难所,庇护所 | |
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5 predecessors | |
n.前任( predecessor的名词复数 );前辈;(被取代的)原有事物;前身 | |
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6 radical | |
n.激进份子,原子团,根号;adj.根本的,激进的,彻底的 | |
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7 noted | |
adj.著名的,知名的 | |
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8 presidency | |
n.总统(校长,总经理)的职位(任期) | |
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9 coup | |
n.政变;突然而成功的行动 | |
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10 investors | |
n.投资者,出资者( investor的名词复数 ) | |
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11 vowed | |
起誓,发誓(vow的过去式与过去分词形式) | |
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12 eradicate | |
v.根除,消灭,杜绝 | |
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13 complicate | |
vt.使复杂化,使混乱,使难懂 | |
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14 dealing | |
n.经商方法,待人态度 | |
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15 feud | |
n.长期不和;世仇;v.长期争斗;世代结仇 | |
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16 barbs | |
n.(箭头、鱼钩等的)倒钩( barb的名词复数 );带刺的话;毕露的锋芒;钩状毛 | |
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17 cultivation | |
n.耕作,培养,栽培(法),养成 | |
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18 cocaine | |
n.可卡因,古柯碱(用作局部麻醉剂) | |
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