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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
By Steve Herman
Honolulu, Hawaii
26 June 2006
The massive earthquake and tsunami1 that hit the Indian Ocean 18 months ago has pushed governments, international organizations and scientists to expand a sophisticated network to detect tsunamis2. VOA's Steve Herman in Honolulu, Hawaii, takes a look at the progress made so far.
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"Do you know what to do during a tsunami warning? When you hear the sirens, listen to the radio for civil defense3 announcements and instructions."
Pacific Tsunami Warning Center, Ewa Beach, Hawaii
In Hawaii and along the United States West Coast, governments have long educated the public about tsunamis through public service announcements like this.
But as the world found out when a tsunami struck all around the Indian Ocean in December 2004, local officials can only warn the public if they know that trouble from the sea is on the way.
Geophysicist Gerard Fryer at the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center, on Hawaii's island of Oahu, says even those with access to the data that day had no idea what was about to happen when a massive earthquake struck off the coast of Indonesia's Sumatra island.
Gerard Fryer explaining tidal data
"The poor guys here, they knew where the earthquake had started, but they didn't know where it went…So Thailand gets hit on one side and India and Sri Lanka gets hit on the other side, and no seismologist in the world had any idea of what had happened until several hours later," Fryer said.
By the time the waves had reached across the ocean to Eastern Africa, more than 200,000 people were dead or missing.
Even if the scientists had had full knowledge of what was happening, there was no quick way to warn the nations in the waves' path. Most Indian Ocean countries are not part of the international tsunami warning system that tracks hazards in the Pacific.
That is changing. Most nations in the region are now linking up to a warning system.
Six months from now, by the second anniversary of the tsunami, dozens of new seismic4 stations in the Indian Ocean, Asia, the Middle East and Africa are expected to be operational, joining the existing network in the Pacific. The warning system includes nearly 300 tidal gauges6 measuring sea levels around the world, with more stations being added all the time.
The upgrades will help scientists more accurately7 predict where a tsunami might hit. The chief scientist at the Pacific Disaster Center on the island of Maui, Stanley Goosby, points to upgraded devices off the coast of Alaska that are already making tsunami forecasts more accurate.
Stanley Goosby
"We have several deep-water buoys8 located up in the Aleutian islands and that actually helps to bring down the false alarm rate, because you can't just use seismic information by itself to determine whether or not a tsunami has been generated," he said. "But one of the problems we have is in a lot of these areas, we don't have the observational systems."
The biggest data hole is the Indian Ocean. To help rectify9 that, some $30 million has been pledged by governments and international organizations to place deep-water buoys in that body of water, to augment10 those already in place in the Pacific.
Even where there are adequate observation systems, governments may not always be willing to share critical information widely and quickly.
Out of security concerns, India has been reluctant to disseminate11 some real-time data, including sea level information.
Geophysicist Gerard Fryer, at the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center, laments12 that India did not share its information from a tide gauge5 at Port Blair in the Andaman Islands after the Sumatra quake struck.
"That instrument was sending data in real time to mainland India. If that information had been shared, that whole sequence of things would have played out very, very differently, because we would have known," he said. "Obviously India suffered tremendously, so I am sure that they are going to change their ways."
Even when scientists have all the information in time to get the word out, other challenges remain. During tsunami warning drills and actual alerts in the Pacific this year, there were some breakdowns13 in the communications system.
To assess the shortfalls in the system, 16 Indian Ocean countries took part in a survey.
Brian Yanagi manages the Honolulu-based International Tsunami Information Center, one of the organizations carrying out the assessment14.
Brian Yanagi
"They really found out things about their country that they didn't know - their weaknesses to connect the dots, to make sure everything has to be working together on the same page," he said. "There's a lot of work that needs to be done, and the United Nations organizations are helping15 right now, as we speak."
One of the countries given the highest score in the survey is Thailand.
Thailand has combined the traditional alert system - an outdoor siren - with a new high-technology twist: sending SMS notifications to cell phones.
Some experts worry that as the shock of the 2004 disaster begins to subside16, funds for expanding the warning system will start to dry up. Supporters of the system point out that although massive earthquakes and tsunamis may be infrequent events, the number of people who can be affected17 by them is growing. The United Nations estimates that by the year 2025, three quarters of the world's population will be living in close proximity to coastal areas
1 tsunami | |
n.海啸 | |
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2 tsunamis | |
n.海啸( tsunami的名词复数 ) | |
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3 defense | |
n.防御,保卫;[pl.]防务工事;辩护,答辩 | |
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4 seismic | |
a.地震的,地震强度的 | |
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5 gauge | |
v.精确计量;估计;n.标准度量;计量器 | |
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6 gauges | |
n.规格( gauge的名词复数 );厚度;宽度;标准尺寸v.(用仪器)测量( gauge的第三人称单数 );估计;计量;划分 | |
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7 accurately | |
adv.准确地,精确地 | |
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8 buoys | |
n.浮标( buoy的名词复数 );航标;救生圈;救生衣v.使浮起( buoy的第三人称单数 );支持;为…设浮标;振奋…的精神 | |
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9 rectify | |
v.订正,矫正,改正 | |
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10 augment | |
vt.(使)增大,增加,增长,扩张 | |
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11 disseminate | |
v.散布;传播 | |
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12 laments | |
n.悲恸,哀歌,挽歌( lament的名词复数 )v.(为…)哀悼,痛哭,悲伤( lament的第三人称单数 ) | |
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13 breakdowns | |
n.分解( breakdown的名词复数 );衰竭;(车辆或机器的)损坏;统计分析 | |
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14 assessment | |
n.评价;评估;对财产的估价,被估定的金额 | |
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15 helping | |
n.食物的一份&adj.帮助人的,辅助的 | |
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16 subside | |
vi.平静,平息;下沉,塌陷,沉降 | |
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17 affected | |
adj.不自然的,假装的 | |
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