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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
By David McAlary
Washington, DC
08 August 2006
watch Global Warming Overview
Global Warming
Searing summer temperatures are shattering records across much of the northern hemisphere. Some European nuclear power plants have cut output because river water used to cool reactors1 is too warm. Forest fires are breaking out in Europe and the United States. Are these signs of global warming?
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Scientists say no single weather event can be attributed to warming. But they say those incidents are consistent with it and may worsen unless humans stop pumping greenhouse gases into the atmosphere. Skeptics argue that global warming is part of the natural climate cycle. They say whatever humans contribute to it will not cause it to be irreversible. VOA's David McAlary examines the issues.
Glacier2 melting
In the past year, several scientific reports have alerted the world to increasing glacier melting in Alaska, Greenland, and Antarctica, reducing habitat for polar bears and other forms of life.
The habitat for beetles3 that ravage4 trees has expanded from the normally warm U.S. southwest into the evergreen5 forests of British Columbia.
Warmer tropical waters seem to be bleaching6 coral reefs.
The general scientific view is that these changes are caused by a heat-trapping blanket of carbon dioxide and other gases in the atmosphere emitted by coal, natural gas, and gasoline burning.
Richard Somerville
Richard Somerville of the Scripps Institution of Oceanography in San Diego says the current warming trend is different from ones that have occurred earlier in Earth's history. "We know enough now to be able to say that the current warming, the warming that we've seen in the last decades of the 20th century, is primarily due to human causes."
The United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change says the atmosphere has 30 percent more carbon dioxide than a century ago and Earth's average surface temperature has risen nearly one degree Celsius7 in that time. The group warns that it can be expected to go up much more in the next 100 years -- between one-and-a-half and nearly six degrees.
The panel says this could mean a sea level rise of up to one meter by the end of this century, possibly engulfing8 coastal9 regions and island countries.
James Hansen
U.S. space agency climate expert James Hansen was one of the first scientists to warn of global warming in the 1980s. He says the world is nearing the time when it cannot be reversed. "We're getting very close to a tipping point in the climate system. If we don't get out of our business-as-usual scenarios10 and begin to reduce our greenhouse gas emissions11, we are going to get big climate change."
But scientists say arresting global warming is a daunting12 challenge. For one thing, carbon dioxide has a lifetime of 50 to 100 years in the atmosphere. Rutgers University climate researcher Anthony Broccoli13 says ocean warming compounds the problem. "Heat is going into the ocean and gradually the effect of that heat going into the ocean would be to make the climate warmer, even if we stopped raising atmospheric14 CO-2 levels today."
The 1997 Kyoto Protocol15 commits more than 120 signing nations to limiting greenhouse gas emissions to 1990 levels. The United States is not part of the agreement because President Bush withdrew the country from it soon after taking office in 2001.
Myron Ebell
This was the correct move, according to Myron Ebell of the Competitive Enterprise Institute, a Washington public policy research group promoting government deregulation. "There is just so much exaggeration involved in these claims about the impacts of climate change."
Ebell does not believe global warming is a serious threat. But he says even if it were, the Kyoto Protocol is bad politics. He believes restricting energy use to reduce greenhouse gas emissions will hurt national economies. "All of this effort is going for nothing. The reason I believe that is because the world cannot afford to go on the kind of energy diet that the Kyoto Protocol is the first step of."
Factories are one source of pollutants16 adding to climate change
Richard Somerville at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography agrees that the Kyoto Protocol is flawed. But he believes the flaw is its insufficient17 limits on greenhouse gas emissions. He says they will make only a negligible difference, but argues that the accord is better than nothing. "Kyoto keeps the issue alive. One of the advantages of signing Kyoto is it gets you to the point where you can look past Kyoto, where the nations of the world can come together with the experience of Kyoto, which involves large industries, and decide what does it make sense to try next?"
But opponents of the Kyoto accord say the next step should be nature's. Myron Ebell says glaciers18 have been melting since the end of the last ice age about 10,000 years ago, yet people have adapted. He argues that global warming has benefits, such as a longer growing season and hardier19 crops.
"Carbon dioxide is necessary for plants to photosynthesize, so if there is more carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, plants should grow more quickly, more vigorously and they should be more resistant20 to things like drought," says Ebell.
Rutgers University's Anthony Broccoli disagrees that global warming will bring about an overall benefit. Yet he is also not willing to say the world will become uninhabitable -- just not the same. "Based on our best projections21, we would find it to be a very different world."
1 reactors | |
起反应的人( reactor的名词复数 ); 反应装置; 原子炉; 核反应堆 | |
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2 glacier | |
n.冰川,冰河 | |
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3 beetles | |
n.甲虫( beetle的名词复数 ) | |
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4 ravage | |
vt.使...荒废,破坏...;n.破坏,掠夺,荒废 | |
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5 evergreen | |
n.常青树;adj.四季常青的 | |
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6 bleaching | |
漂白法,漂白 | |
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7 Celsius | |
adj.摄氏温度计的,摄氏的 | |
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8 engulfing | |
adj.吞噬的v.吞没,包住( engulf的现在分词 ) | |
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9 coastal | |
adj.海岸的,沿海的,沿岸的 | |
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10 scenarios | |
n.[意]情节;剧本;事态;脚本 | |
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11 emissions | |
排放物( emission的名词复数 ); 散发物(尤指气体) | |
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12 daunting | |
adj.使人畏缩的 | |
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13 broccoli | |
n.绿菜花,花椰菜 | |
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14 atmospheric | |
adj.大气的,空气的;大气层的;大气所引起的 | |
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15 protocol | |
n.议定书,草约,会谈记录,外交礼节 | |
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16 pollutants | |
污染物质(尤指工业废物)( pollutant的名词复数 ) | |
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17 insufficient | |
adj.(for,of)不足的,不够的 | |
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18 glaciers | |
冰河,冰川( glacier的名词复数 ) | |
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19 hardier | |
能吃苦耐劳的,坚强的( hardy的比较级 ); (植物等)耐寒的 | |
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20 resistant | |
adj.(to)抵抗的,有抵抗力的 | |
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21 projections | |
预测( projection的名词复数 ); 投影; 投掷; 突起物 | |
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