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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
By Jim Malone
Washington
06 September 2006
The battle for control of Congress is intensifying1 with only two months to go until the congressional elections on November 7. The war in Iraq and the war on terror are front and center in this year's election campaign.
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Republicans have controlled both the Senate and House of Representatives since 1994. Opposition2 Democrats3 believe that 2006 is their best opportunity to win back control of at least one chamber4 and possibly both.
Opinion polls indicate Democrats are poised5 to make gains because of public unhappiness over the war in Iraq, economic concerns and President Bush's low approval ratings.
In recent days, the president has given a series of speeches to refocus the campaign on the issue of the war on terror, an area where Republicans believe they have an advantage over Democrats.
George W. Bush
"This is the great ideological6 struggle of the 21st century. It is the calling of our generation," he said.
Mr. Bush says the United States is safer now than it was before the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks.
But Democrats dispute that, arguing that the Iraq war has been a negative distraction7 for the war on terror and that overall, America is not as safe as it should be.
Harry8 Reid of Nevada leads Democrats in the Senate.
Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid
"They have run this play one too many times," he said. "It is the same speeches that they have given before and all the speeches in the world do not change what is going on on the ground in Iraq. And as we have heard, the ground in Iraq is not a pleasant place."
But Democrats are divided over what to do about Iraq. Some favor a timetable to withdraw U.S. troops, while many others argue that would send the wrong message to insurgents9 and terrorists operating inside Iraq.
President Bush continues to argue that the U.S. must stay the course in Iraq indefinitely.
"And there are a lot of people in the Democratic Party who believe that the best course of action is to leave Iraq before the job is done, period," he said. "And they are wrong. And the American people have got to understand the consequence of leaving Iraq before the job is done."
Political analysts11 predict that Mr. Bush and his Republican supporters will keep the focus on the war on terror for the final two months of the congressional election campaign.
"The only issue where Republicans still have an advantage is the war on terror," said David Rohde, a professor of political science at Duke University in North Carolina. "All domestic issues are tilted12 substantially to the Democrats. And even with respect to the war in Iraq, all the polls I have seen show that the public thinks that Democrats would do a better job than the Republicans."
Many experts believe that Republicans have an advantage on the issue of national security and highlighted the issue to good effect in the 2002 congressional elections and in President Bush's re-election victory in 2004.
Tom DeFrank is Washington Bureau Chief for the New York Daily News and a frequent guest on VOA's Issues in the News program.
"The president believes, I think he believes absolutely, sincerely, that it would be a huge mistake to set any kind of timetable and begin a withdrawal13 from Iraq," he said. "But he also believes, or at least his political advisers14 believe, that that is an issue on which the Democrats are very vulnerable. So, I think we are going to see stronger rhetoric15 in the next nine weeks."
But opinion polls suggest voters may be looking for a change in November because of growing disenchantment with the war in Iraq and the domestic economy.
Thomas Mann is a political expert at the Brookings Institution in Washington. He believes this year's elections could signal a shift in the balance of power in the nation's capital.
"American midterm elections typically are local affairs, local politics," he noted16. "But maybe once a decade you get an angry, aroused electorate17 that weighs in with a negative referendum on the party of government."
Duke University analyst10 David Rohde says Democrats appear to be in position to gain the 15 seats they need to retake control of the 435-member House of Representatives.
"In the House, things have been moving decidedly against the Republicans over the past couple of months," he explained. "Many more races are in play, according to most of the analysts that follow this closely."
Most experts believe the Democrats will have a harder time winning a majority in the 100-member Senate. Democrats need to gain six Senate seats in this year's elections without losing any seats they currently hold.
There are 33 Senate races this year. Democrats hold 18 of those seats while Republicans hold 15.
1 intensifying | |
v.(使)增强, (使)加剧( intensify的现在分词 );增辉 | |
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2 opposition | |
n.反对,敌对 | |
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3 democrats | |
n.民主主义者,民主人士( democrat的名词复数 ) | |
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4 chamber | |
n.房间,寝室;会议厅;议院;会所 | |
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5 poised | |
a.摆好姿势不动的 | |
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6 ideological | |
a.意识形态的 | |
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7 distraction | |
n.精神涣散,精神不集中,消遣,娱乐 | |
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8 harry | |
vt.掠夺,蹂躏,使苦恼 | |
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9 insurgents | |
n.起义,暴动,造反( insurgent的名词复数 ) | |
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10 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
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11 analysts | |
分析家,化验员( analyst的名词复数 ) | |
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12 tilted | |
v. 倾斜的 | |
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13 withdrawal | |
n.取回,提款;撤退,撤军;收回,撤销 | |
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14 advisers | |
顾问,劝告者( adviser的名词复数 ); (指导大学新生学科问题等的)指导教授 | |
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15 rhetoric | |
n.修辞学,浮夸之言语 | |
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16 noted | |
adj.著名的,知名的 | |
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17 electorate | |
n.全体选民;选区 | |
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