-
(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
By Catherine Maddux
Washington
14 September 2006
Zimbabwe is in the midst of an unprecedented1 economic and political free fall. With skyrocketing inflation rates, declining agricultural production and repressive political and media policies, Zimbabwe is a nation in crisis. One long-time Zimbabwe watcher has proposed a plan to help put the nation, once proudly known as Africa's "breadbasket," on the road toward economic and political recovery.
----
Todd Moss2, senior fellow at the Center for Global Development, says the story of Zimbabwe's decline is tragic3. He says the nation began its post-British-colonial era with a measure of true economic strength.
"At independence in 1980, Zimbabwe had a fairly diversified4 economy," he said. "In fact, it was a very robust5 economy that had just survived an extended period of trauma6, and, at independence, was in a very good position to lead Africa as a kind of model going forward."
Speaking at a recent forum7 at the Johns Hopkins School for Advanced International Studies, Moss said independent Zimbabwe, formerly8 Rhodesia, had achieved political stability, despite lingering racial tensions.
"Politically, it was sort of a model of racial reconciliation9," he added. "Obviously, there were racial tensions during the colonial period, but for the most part, the previous white Rhodesians - white Zimbabweans - largely withdrew from politics. But politically, it was also somewhat of a success story."
All that good fortune began to erode10 in the early 1990s, says Moss, when Zimbabwe's economy cooled, and official corruption11 rose along with the nations' debt level.
Moss says the point of no return for Zimbabwe began six years ago, when the first credible12 opposition13 movement was formed, the Movement for Democratic Change. Perhaps more important to the country's decline, he says, was the land reform program instituted by President Robert Mugabe, the country's only leader since independence.
Zimbabwe's land reform program was designed to redistribute white-owned commercial farms to poor, landless blacks.
Malvern Chishazhe, 7, cries after family home was destroyed at Porta Farm, Zimbabwe, June 30, 2005
Moss says the implementation14 of the program, often violent and used to reward President Mugabe's political friends, has been devastating15. Thousands of farmers have been forcibly evicted16, and, in their absence, tracks of once highly productive land have stalled, amid a combination of bad policy and a withering17 drought.
The Zimbabwean ambassador to the United States, Machivenyika Mapuranga, attended Moss's seminar, and he strongly defended land reform. He called it successful, and a much needed redress18 from the British colonial era that has now created racial equity19.
"Eighty percent of Zimbabweans are peasants," he explained. "Getting them out of the reservations and giving them productive land. [And now] 320,000 families have been resettled. You cannot call them cronies of Mugabe! We are talking about a substantial part of the peasant population. Where you used to have just a handful of black farmers in commercial farming business, now you have 40,000. This is the equity that we were fighting for."
Moss questioned the ambassador's numbers, calling them highly doubtful. In response, the ambassador angrily walked out of the forum.
Moss went on to propose steps the international community could take to help restore prosperity in Zimbabwe.
They include tightening20 sanctions, exposing the government's propaganda, pushing to get Zimbabwe expelled from the International Monetary21 Fund (IMF) and applying more U.S. diplomatic pressure.
Robert Mugabe
The focus, Moss says, should be on the future, when President Mugabe is no longer in power.
"While all these short terms things are kind of pushing around the margins22, there's a more important thing that the West can do to help Zimbabwe. And this is really to think ahead, and to do some contingency23 planning, for the transition is coming at some point," he noted24.
By transition, Moss means the inevitable25 end of the 26-year rule of the 82-year-old president.
At that time, Moss says, Zimbabwe should be thought of by donors26 as what he calls a "post-conflict" situation.
"We have had political violence and social trauma. There are militias27. There have been gross human rights violations28. There has obviously been an economic collapse29; not only on the scale of a war zone, but worse," he added. "Maize30, the staple31 crop, is now down to a fraction of what Zimbabwe can produce. They are importing food. The infrastructure32 is collapsing33. And really, unfortunately, the country is past the point of a quick rebound34."
He says international donors must be ready and willing to respond quickly.
"One example of this is, they put in a lot of money upfront to try to steer35 the country, to get it on a recovery path early, rather than sitting back and waiting," he said. "In terms of political support, there could be an international effort to smooth the transition, depending on how it unfolds. There would definitely have to be some kind of security forces reform. That will have to be dealt with, and, actually, the U.S., in particular, has a pretty good record on helping36 reform the security sector37."
Another key element to help rebuild Zimbabwe, according to Moss, is the creation of a truth and reconciliation commission, or a war crimes tribunal to address the issue of severe human rights abuses.
And, there should be an immediate38 effort to deal with humanitarian39 needs among poor Zimbabweans suffering under a shattered economy. Among them are hundreds-of-thousands of people made homeless last year, when the government destroyed homes and businesses as part of an urban rationalization scheme.
Finally, Moss says, there must be a deliberate effort to court private investors40, especially highly skilled Zimbabweans who have left the country, amid its collapse.
The United States has condemned41 human rights abuses in Zimbabwe and imposed some sanctions. However, the U.S. continues to provide humanitarian assistance to Zimbabwe.
1 unprecedented | |
adj.无前例的,新奇的 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
2 moss | |
n.苔,藓,地衣 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
3 tragic | |
adj.悲剧的,悲剧性的,悲惨的 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
4 diversified | |
adj.多样化的,多种经营的v.使多样化,多样化( diversify的过去式和过去分词 );进入新的商业领域 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
5 robust | |
adj.强壮的,强健的,粗野的,需要体力的,浓的 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
6 trauma | |
n.外伤,精神创伤 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
7 forum | |
n.论坛,讨论会 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
8 formerly | |
adv.从前,以前 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
9 reconciliation | |
n.和解,和谐,一致 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
10 erode | |
v.侵蚀,腐蚀,使...减少、减弱或消失 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
11 corruption | |
n.腐败,堕落,贪污 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
12 credible | |
adj.可信任的,可靠的 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
13 opposition | |
n.反对,敌对 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
14 implementation | |
n.实施,贯彻 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
15 devastating | |
adj.毁灭性的,令人震惊的,强有力的 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
16 evicted | |
v.(依法从房屋里或土地上)驱逐,赶出( evict的过去式和过去分词 ) | |
参考例句: |
|
|
17 withering | |
使人畏缩的,使人害羞的,使人难堪的 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
18 redress | |
n.赔偿,救济,矫正;v.纠正,匡正,革除 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
19 equity | |
n.公正,公平,(无固定利息的)股票 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
20 tightening | |
上紧,固定,紧密 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
21 monetary | |
adj.货币的,钱的;通货的;金融的;财政的 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
22 margins | |
边( margin的名词复数 ); 利润; 页边空白; 差数 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
23 contingency | |
n.意外事件,可能性 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
24 noted | |
adj.著名的,知名的 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
25 inevitable | |
adj.不可避免的,必然发生的 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
26 donors | |
n.捐赠者( donor的名词复数 );献血者;捐血者;器官捐献者 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
27 militias | |
n.民兵组织,民兵( militia的名词复数 ) | |
参考例句: |
|
|
28 violations | |
违反( violation的名词复数 ); 冒犯; 违反(行为、事例); 强奸 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
29 collapse | |
vi.累倒;昏倒;倒塌;塌陷 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
30 maize | |
n.玉米 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
31 staple | |
n.主要产物,常用品,主要要素,原料,订书钉,钩环;adj.主要的,重要的;vt.分类 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
32 infrastructure | |
n.下部构造,下部组织,基础结构,基础设施 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
33 collapsing | |
压扁[平],毁坏,断裂 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
34 rebound | |
v.弹回;n.弹回,跳回 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
35 steer | |
vt.驾驶,为…操舵;引导;vi.驾驶 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
36 helping | |
n.食物的一份&adj.帮助人的,辅助的 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
37 sector | |
n.部门,部分;防御地段,防区;扇形 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
38 immediate | |
adj.立即的;直接的,最接近的;紧靠的 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
39 humanitarian | |
n.人道主义者,博爱者,基督凡人论者 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
40 investors | |
n.投资者,出资者( investor的名词复数 ) | |
参考例句: |
|
|
41 condemned | |
adj. 被责难的, 被宣告有罪的 动词condemn的过去式和过去分词 | |
参考例句: |
|
|