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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
By Jim Malone
Washington
09 January 2007
President Bush will deliver one of the most important speeches of his presidency1 on Wednesday when he presents his strategy for a new way forward in Iraq. White House officials are not discussing specifics of the plan, but Republican members of Congress say it will include a temporary surge of more U.S. troops into Iraq to help quell2 sectarian violence there. But as VOA National correspondent Jim Malone reports, Mr. Bush may face an uphill battle in winning public support for his strategy.
Sen. John McCain, (l), with Sen. Joseph Lieberman, during a question and answer session discussing Iraq, 5 Jan 2007
Among those supporting the idea of a troop surge to secure Baghdad and other areas of unrest is Senator John McCain of Arizona, who is expected to be a Republican presidential contender in 2008.
"The presence of additional coalition4 forces would give the Iraqi government the ability to do what it cannot accomplish today on its own, impose its rule throughout the country," he said. "In bringing security to Iraq and chiefly to Baghdad, our forces would give the government a fighting change to pursue reconciliation5."
Most Democrats6 oppose the idea of a troop surge, though they are divided on what to do about it.
Sen. Edward Kennedy, (l), talks to reporters outside the White House, 8 Jan 2007
Senator Ted3 Kennedy of Massachuestts told NBC's Today program he will lead an effort to force the president to get congressional approval for the additional troops before they can be deployed7.
"Historically, Congress has the power of the purse, and what we are saying is that before the president sends additional American troops to a civil war, that the president has to come back to the Congress and get the authority for that deployment," he said.
Two new public opinion polls, one by The Washington Post and ABC News and the other by the USA Today newspaper and the Gallup organization, show large majorities of those surveyed oppose a troops increase in Iraq.
George W. Bush
John Mueller is an expert on war and public opinion at Ohio State University. He says President Bush will have a tough time winning public support for the troops increase.
"I am not sure he has to sell it," he said. "He can just do it, but I do not think it is going to be met with great favor or adulation. The news over the last year, and for that matter, two to three years, has been almost uniformly miserable8 out of Iraq. And I think the mood of pessimism9 is very widespread. It obviously influenced the [November congressional] election."
Many Republicans also appear uneasy about the expected call for a troop surge in Iraq, though others say they will support the plan.
Republican political strategist Frank Luntz told NBC television that Republican lawmakers are well aware of the declining support for the war in public opinion polls.
"When you talk about a surge, people hear numbers," he said. "They do not want more troops [sent to Iraq]. The public has basically decided10 that this war is not going well."
White House officials believe the president's speech will be their best opportunity to rally public support around a new strategy that offers the best chance for victory in Iraq, something many Americans have told pollsters they now believe is doubtful.
"I think millions of Americans believe that this war is winnable and think, furthermore, that it is important to rebuild the sense of political unity," said presidential spokesman Tony Snow. "One of the things the president has often said is, the only way we lose [in Iraq] is if we lose our will."
Complicating12 the president's push for a new strategy in Iraq is the new reality in Washington that Democrats now control both chambers13 of Congress.
Democrats will hold weeks of hearings on the president's Iraq policy and some of them are demanding that Mr. Bush justify14 sending additional troops to Iraq.
Tom DeFrank is Washington bureau chief for the New York Daily News and a regular panelist on VOA's Issues in the News program.
Nancy Pelosi (file photo)
"Nancy Pelosi has made it very clear that the view of the Democratic Party on the war is going to be very different, and the tone is going to be much tougher and probably less collegial," he said. "She basically said that the reason Democrats now control Congress is because of the war, and I think she made it pretty clear that they are not going to roll over on that one."
In the end, many analysts15 believe the president's greatest challenge will be to reinvigorate public support for his Iraq policy, support that has steadily16 weakened over the past two years.
"The public has been conflicted," said Will Marshall of the Progressive Policy Institute, who spoke11 to VOA's Focus. "They do not think the Bush administration has a plan for success in Iraq, but they have not been terribly receptive to the idea that we should just get out and abandon our responsibilities to the Iraqi people and our own security interests in making sure that we do not leave a situation behind that presents an intolerable offense17 to the country [U.S.]."
The public's uncertainty18 about what to do in Iraq is reflected in the latest CBS News poll: 72 percent of those surveyed said they disapproved19 of the president's handling of Iraq. But only 21 percent said they would support an immediate20 withdrawal21 of all U.S. troops from the country.
1 presidency | |
n.总统(校长,总经理)的职位(任期) | |
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2 quell | |
v.压制,平息,减轻 | |
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3 ted | |
vt.翻晒,撒,撒开 | |
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4 coalition | |
n.结合体,同盟,结合,联合 | |
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5 reconciliation | |
n.和解,和谐,一致 | |
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6 democrats | |
n.民主主义者,民主人士( democrat的名词复数 ) | |
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7 deployed | |
(尤指军事行动)使展开( deploy的过去式和过去分词 ); 施展; 部署; 有效地利用 | |
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8 miserable | |
adj.悲惨的,痛苦的;可怜的,糟糕的 | |
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9 pessimism | |
n.悲观者,悲观主义者,厌世者 | |
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10 decided | |
adj.决定了的,坚决的;明显的,明确的 | |
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11 spoke | |
n.(车轮的)辐条;轮辐;破坏某人的计划;阻挠某人的行动 v.讲,谈(speak的过去式);说;演说;从某种观点来说 | |
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12 complicating | |
使复杂化( complicate的现在分词 ) | |
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13 chambers | |
n.房间( chamber的名词复数 );(议会的)议院;卧室;会议厅 | |
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14 justify | |
vt.证明…正当(或有理),为…辩护 | |
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15 analysts | |
分析家,化验员( analyst的名词复数 ) | |
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16 steadily | |
adv.稳定地;不变地;持续地 | |
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17 offense | |
n.犯规,违法行为;冒犯,得罪 | |
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18 uncertainty | |
n.易变,靠不住,不确知,不确定的事物 | |
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19 disapproved | |
v.不赞成( disapprove的过去式和过去分词 ) | |
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20 immediate | |
adj.立即的;直接的,最接近的;紧靠的 | |
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21 withdrawal | |
n.取回,提款;撤退,撤军;收回,撤销 | |
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