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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
By Steve Herman
Washington
17 January 2007
Hopes for a political solution to Sri Lanka's ethnic1 conflict appear to have suffered a new setback2. Media in the region report that Sri Lankan president Mahinda Rajapakse has rejected an appeal by former prime minister and opposition3 leader Ranil Wickremasinghe to accept opposition politicians into the government. Officials of the opposition right-wing UNP (United National Party) have said such a negative response by the president would scuttle4 their joint5 pledge to work on a united proposal for negotiations7 with ethnic Tamil rebels. VOA's Steve Herman reports from Washington on the fading hopes for peace in Sri Lanka.
Sri Lankan soldiers man a post close to forward defense8 lines of Tamil Tiger rebels in Jaffna, northeast of Colombo, 21 Jun 2006
While government troops on Tuesday clashed with rebels of the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam, known as the LTTE or Tamil Tigers, there was also a new setback for peace on the political front in Colombo.
Three months ago, hopes to end the island's ethnic conflict blossomed after a landmark9 deal was reached between Sri Lanka's governing party and the main opposition party. But that agreement appears to have collapsed10 due to bickering11 on domestic political matters.
Heritage Foundation South Asia research fellow Lisa Curtis says a united negotiating front by the two Sinhalese political parties has been viewed as the final chance to broach12 a political settlement with the Tamil Tiger rebels.
Lisa Curtis
"This is sort of our last hope at this point if we want to avoid an all-out return to civil war, more devastating13 consequences for the civilian14 population, [and] possible chaos15 for the economy," she said.
Regional observers believe the government in Colombo now feels emboldened16 to try to defeat the rebels on the battlefield.
Curtis, a former U.S. Central Intelligence Agency analyst17, says a military push to defeat the Tamils is a "risky18 gambit" for Sri Lanka's military and not a strategy the international community will support.
Another veteran expert on Sri Lanka, former U.S. Assistant Secretary of State for South Asia, Karl Inderfurth, says more than two decades of armed conflict should have demonstrated to both sides they must bridge the ethnic divide through negotiation6.
Karl Inderfurth
"I do not believe that there is a military solution to what's taking place in Sri Lanka. This has to be resolved through political means," he said. "One side or the other may think that they have the upper hand at one time or another but that is ephemeral - things will change."
Inderfurth, a professor of international affairs at the George Washington University, cautions that arm twisting with punititive threats by diplomats19, however, will not force the feuding20 parties back to the negotiating table.
"I don't believe that any one government - whether it be the United States of America, the Indian government, the Japanese government or Norway, that has played such an important mediating21, facilitating role, can force either the Sri Lankan government or the LTTE to do something that they are not committed to doing themselves," he said.
But Curtis, who also served as the U.S. State Department's senior advisor22 on South Asia, is more optimistic about the opportunity for diplomacy23 and for Washington's ability to assert influence.
"The fact that a civil war would bring a devastating humantarian situation [and] have negative reprecussions throughout South Asia, I think it would serve the U.S. well to become more involved. A little bit of U.S. diplomacy could go a long way," he said.
Recent diplomacy by others, however, has yielded no significant progress following a 2002 truce24. Now even that tentative agreement appears to be tattered25.
International humanitarian26 organizations are continuing to operate in the primarily Tamil north despite the resumption of military attacks.
There, amid the onset27 of infectious diseases and food shortages, the United Nations' High Commission for Refugees and its partners are trying to rebuild basic infrastructure28 to get those who have fled their villages to return.
Shantayanan Devarajan
The World Bank's South Asia lead economist29, Shantayanan Devarajan, says such programs could achieve what diplomacy has failed to accomplish.
"People might actually feel better about going back to the areas they had fled from and this might actually help to build the peace," he said.
Meanwhile, concern is mounting that the escalation30 in fighting will create a new refugee crisis. Reports from the northern part of Sri Lanka say thousands of Tamil civilians31 are trapped in rebel-held territory while an estimated 20,000 have fled to government-controlled areas in recent weeks to escape artillery32 exchanges.
Sri Lanka's government has rejected rebel demands for a Tamil homeland in the north and east, prompting the LTTE to threaten to resume its guerilla war. The ethnic violence has claimed more than 67,000 lives since 1983.
1 ethnic | |
adj.人种的,种族的,异教徒的 | |
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2 setback | |
n.退步,挫折,挫败 | |
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3 opposition | |
n.反对,敌对 | |
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4 scuttle | |
v.急赶,疾走,逃避;n.天窗;舷窗 | |
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5 joint | |
adj.联合的,共同的;n.关节,接合处;v.连接,贴合 | |
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6 negotiation | |
n.谈判,协商 | |
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7 negotiations | |
协商( negotiation的名词复数 ); 谈判; 完成(难事); 通过 | |
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8 defense | |
n.防御,保卫;[pl.]防务工事;辩护,答辩 | |
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9 landmark | |
n.陆标,划时代的事,地界标 | |
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10 collapsed | |
adj.倒塌的 | |
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11 bickering | |
v.争吵( bicker的现在分词 );口角;(水等)作潺潺声;闪烁 | |
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12 broach | |
v.开瓶,提出(题目) | |
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13 devastating | |
adj.毁灭性的,令人震惊的,强有力的 | |
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14 civilian | |
adj.平民的,民用的,民众的 | |
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15 chaos | |
n.混乱,无秩序 | |
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16 emboldened | |
v.鼓励,使有胆量( embolden的过去式和过去分词 ) | |
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17 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
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18 risky | |
adj.有风险的,冒险的 | |
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19 diplomats | |
n.外交官( diplomat的名词复数 );有手腕的人,善于交际的人 | |
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20 feuding | |
vi.长期不和(feud的现在分词形式) | |
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21 mediating | |
调停,调解,斡旋( mediate的现在分词 ); 居间促成; 影响…的发生; 使…可能发生 | |
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22 advisor | |
n.顾问,指导老师,劝告者 | |
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23 diplomacy | |
n.外交;外交手腕,交际手腕 | |
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24 truce | |
n.休战,(争执,烦恼等的)缓和;v.以停战结束 | |
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25 tattered | |
adj.破旧的,衣衫破的 | |
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26 humanitarian | |
n.人道主义者,博爱者,基督凡人论者 | |
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27 onset | |
n.进攻,袭击,开始,突然开始 | |
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28 infrastructure | |
n.下部构造,下部组织,基础结构,基础设施 | |
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29 economist | |
n.经济学家,经济专家,节俭的人 | |
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30 escalation | |
n.扩大,增加 | |
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31 civilians | |
平民,百姓( civilian的名词复数 ); 老百姓 | |
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32 artillery | |
n.(军)火炮,大炮;炮兵(部队) | |
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