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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
Washington
05 October 2007
The latest public opinion polls on the U.S. presidential race contain good news for Democrat1 Hillary Clinton and Republican Rudy Giuliani. VOA National correspondent Jim Malone has more from Washington.
A recent survey by ABC News and the Washington Post shows Senator Clinton leading fellow Democrat Barack Obama by 53 to 20 percent, with former Senator John Edwards in third place at 13 percent.
Clinton's poll numbers have gone up steadily2 in recent months, causing a number of leading Democrats3 to conclude she will likely be the party's nominee4 for president next year.
Senator Clinton is promising5 changes in U.S. foreign policy if she is elected. She made this vow6 during a recent campaign appearance in Iowa.
"You know, I will not wait until I am inaugurated," she said. "The day after I am elected, I will ask distinguished7 Americans of both parties to travel around the world with a very simple message, the era of cowboy diplomacy8 is over. America is back!"
Although Clinton holds a big lead in national polls among Democrats, she still faces tough primary challenges from Obama and Edwards in early voting states like Iowa and New Hampshire.
"Senator Clinton is the frontrunner," said political analyst9 Stuart Rothenberg. "Barack Obama is a serious contender. John Edwards has the potential to really raise eyebrows10 if he can win in Iowa."
Experts also note that early polls are often misleading indicators11 of a candidate's popularity. For example, Democrat John Kerry was way back in the pack just weeks before his victories in Iowa and New Hampshire that propelled him to the party nomination12 in 2004.
In this election cycle, Hillary Clinton's strength is also a factor in the race for the Republican Party's presidential nomination.
In the same ABC News-Washington Post poll, former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani leads the Republican field with 34 percent support, followed by former Senator Fred Thompson of Tennessee at 17 percent, Arizona Senator John McCain at 12 percent and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt13 Romney at 11 percent.
Giuliani argues that Republicans should pick him as their nominee, because he has the best chance to defeat Clinton in a general election match-up.
"I run the most competitive against Hillary Clinton by a big margin14," he said. "And I take some Democratic states from her. Nobody else does that."
In the ABC News-Washington Post poll, Clinton leads Giuliani by a margin of 51 to 43 percent.
Although Giuliani continues to lead the Republican field in national polls, Romney has a big lead in Iowa and is tied for the lead in New Hampshire. Early victories in those two states would give the less well-known Romney a big boost in the battle for the Republican nomination.
No matter whom the Republicans nominate, political experts predict the Republican candidate will focus his fire on Hillary Clinton if she does become the Democratic Party nominee.
"A guy I know who I have been dealing15 with for 25 years says, 'I have seen this happen. The way you energize16 our party is to walk into a room and say three words, President Hillary Clinton,'" said Tom DeFrank of the New York Daily News and a regular guest on VOA's Issues in the News program. "And that is what the Republicans are hoping, that specter of a President Hillary will galvanize the party. We will see, but she is very formidable at the moment."
Giuliani has come under fire in recent days from some religious conservatives in the Republican Party who question his commitment to conservative stands on abortion17, gay marriage and gun control.
But analyst John Fortier of the American Enterprise Institute says that Giuliani's reputation for strong leadership forged in the aftermath of the 2001 terrorist attacks on the U.S. is trumping18 so far the doubts expressed by some conservatives.
"I do think Rudy Giuliani is the frontrunner because of this," he said. "I think he is, against all odds19, ahead in the national polls and been able to stay there while being pretty open about being pro-choice [pro-abortion rights] and being different on some social issues than Republicans."
Presidential contenders from both parties will intensify20 their campaign and advertising21 efforts in the weeks ahead, leading to the first votes in the U.S. presidential election process in early January in Iowa and New Hampshire.
1 democrat | |
n.民主主义者,民主人士;民主党党员 | |
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2 steadily | |
adv.稳定地;不变地;持续地 | |
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3 democrats | |
n.民主主义者,民主人士( democrat的名词复数 ) | |
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4 nominee | |
n.被提名者;被任命者;被推荐者 | |
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5 promising | |
adj.有希望的,有前途的 | |
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6 vow | |
n.誓(言),誓约;v.起誓,立誓 | |
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7 distinguished | |
adj.卓越的,杰出的,著名的 | |
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8 diplomacy | |
n.外交;外交手腕,交际手腕 | |
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9 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
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10 eyebrows | |
眉毛( eyebrow的名词复数 ) | |
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11 indicators | |
(仪器上显示温度、压力、耗油量等的)指针( indicator的名词复数 ); 指示物; (车辆上的)转弯指示灯; 指示信号 | |
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12 nomination | |
n.提名,任命,提名权 | |
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13 mitt | |
n.棒球手套,拳击手套,无指手套;vt.铐住,握手 | |
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14 margin | |
n.页边空白;差额;余地,余裕;边,边缘 | |
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15 dealing | |
n.经商方法,待人态度 | |
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16 energize | |
vt.给予(某人或某物)精力、能量 | |
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17 abortion | |
n.流产,堕胎 | |
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18 trumping | |
v.(牌戏)出王牌赢(一牌或一墩)( trump的现在分词 );吹号公告,吹号庆祝;吹喇叭;捏造 | |
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19 odds | |
n.让步,机率,可能性,比率;胜败优劣之别 | |
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20 intensify | |
vt.加强;变强;加剧 | |
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21 advertising | |
n.广告业;广告活动 a.广告的;广告业务的 | |
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