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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
Washington
18 May 2007
The 2008 U.S. presidential campaign is off to an early and intense start. VOA National correspondent Jim Malone has been watching the candidates and has a report from Washington.
The next presidential election is still more than a year and half away, but contenders from both major political parties are already campaigning hard for the White House.
This comes as no surprise to Craig Crawford, a political analyst1 for Congressional Quarterly magazine.
"It is a power vacuum and power abhors2 a vacuum, so there is such a rush to fill it because of that, I believe, and also the media has been, surprising to me, most eager to cover the campaign this early. I think that also fueled it," he said.
Democrats3 believe 2008 will be the year they reclaim4 the White House after eight years of President Bush.
New York Senator Hillary Clinton is the frontrunner for the Democratic Party's presidential nomination5 and Clinton has made ending the war in Iraq her top priority.
"If he (President Bush) does not extricate6 us from Iraq before he leaves office, when I am president I will, beginning on the day when I am inaugurated," she said.
The eight declared Democratic candidates oppose the war but differ on how quickly U.S. troops should leave Iraq.
Illinois Senator Barack Obama is currently running second in public opinion polls behind Senator Clinton.
"Unless we bring our troops home and get them out of Iraq, we are not going to be able to perform the kinds of changes here in America that are required," he said.
Former North Carolina Senator John Edwards is running third, along with former Vice7 President Al Gore8.
Gore has repeatedly said he will not run for president.
Analyst Craig Crawford says that leaves Hillary Clinton in a strong position at the moment.
"I think the default position in this campaign says that Hillary Clinton is the next president," he said. "I am not saying that would not change, but sitting here today I would say the default position is that she has got everything in place, not only to win her nomination, but win the presidency9. And so I think now the campaign is going to be about testing that hypothesis."
On the Republican side, ten contenders are vying10 for their party's nomination. Nine of them support the president's Iraq policy.
Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani continues to lead in the polls, largely because many Republicans see him as a strong leader on national security given his performance in the wake of the 2001 terrorist attacks.
"If we are going to wave the white flag, and if we are going to give them a schedule of our retreat and force the United States into that position, well, then it seems to me you are going on defense," he said.
But Giuliani has come under fire from his Republican rivals who question his conservative credentials11, especially on social issues like abortion12, gun control and gay rights.
Larry Sabato directs the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia.
"Giuliani will get nominated if the Republican electorate13 decides that the election has to be about terrorism and national security," said Sabato. "If the Republican electorate starts focusing on social issues like abortion, Giuliani is cooked and done."
Republican presidential hopefuls John McCain, left, and Rudy Giuliani greet each other after the first Republican presidential primary debate of the 2008 election, 3 May 2007 |
McCain made his case during the recent Republican debate in South Carolina broadcast by the Fox News Channel.
"I believe the Maliki government has got to improve," he said. "It has got to pass certain laws that we all know about. But we must succeed and we cannot fail. And I will be the last man standing15 if necessary."
Two other notable Republicans, former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich of Georgia, are considering joining the Republican field.
Analyst Craig Crawford says there may be room for a candidate that can appeal to social conservatives, a key constituency group within the Republican Party.
"I think there will be a market come late summer or early fall for some new faces, particularly on the Republican side, it seems," he said. "Republican voters are still searching."
Thompson could join the race within a matter of weeks while Gingrich says he will decide in September.
1 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
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2 abhors | |
v.憎恶( abhor的第三人称单数 );(厌恶地)回避;拒绝;淘汰 | |
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3 democrats | |
n.民主主义者,民主人士( democrat的名词复数 ) | |
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4 reclaim | |
v.要求归还,收回;开垦 | |
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5 nomination | |
n.提名,任命,提名权 | |
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6 extricate | |
v.拯救,救出;解脱 | |
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7 vice | |
n.坏事;恶习;[pl.]台钳,老虎钳;adj.副的 | |
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8 gore | |
n.凝血,血污;v.(动物)用角撞伤,用牙刺破;缝以补裆;顶 | |
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9 presidency | |
n.总统(校长,总经理)的职位(任期) | |
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10 vying | |
adj.竞争的;比赛的 | |
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11 credentials | |
n.证明,资格,证明书,证件 | |
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12 abortion | |
n.流产,堕胎 | |
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13 electorate | |
n.全体选民;选区 | |
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14 vocal | |
adj.直言不讳的;嗓音的;n.[pl.]声乐节目 | |
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15 standing | |
n.持续,地位;adj.永久的,不动的,直立的,不流动的 | |
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