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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
A boy smokes a cigarette at a cafeteria in Bangalore, India (File) |
Nearly half of India's billion-plus people are under the age of 25 - the youngest population in the world. Economists1 call it the demographic dividend2 - an opportunity to harness the skills and talent of young people, in a growing economy, at a time when most countries have aging populations.
But a new report released by the Confederation of Indian Industry and the Boston Consulting Group in New Delhi Thursday warns that India's young population could turn into a demographic disaster, if the country does not take immediate3 steps to train people poised4 to enter the work force.
Managing director of the Boston Consulting Group in India, Janmejaya Sinha, says that, on one hand, Indian industry is struggling to find qualified5 talent to fuel its expansion. On the other, nearly half of the current work force of nearly 484 million people continues to be illiterate6.
"Forty percent of them are illiterate, another 40 percent of them, they are school dropouts. If you really look at it, there are more than 200 million people who are almost illiterate, not being able to participate in the real economy of the world, which is the opportunity of the 21st Century offers. Think about it then," said Sinha. "If these people have hopeless chances in life, what would they be led into?
The report, called India's Demographic Dilemma7, says that India's fast-expanding services sector8 will face a shortfall of at least 750,000 engineers and other skilled personnel, in the next five years. It says the talent crunch9 will be massive in four high-growth sectors10: information technology, banking11, retail12 and health care. It says that failure to make skilled people available will keep most people confined to the agriculture sector, where earnings13 are meager14.
The report stresses the need to revamp the education system in India, from the primary to the university level, and improve vocational training.
Education is mostly controlled by the government and the problems are huge. From villages to cities, the number of schools is too small and quality of education is poor. The school drop out rate is high.
Sinha, of Boston Consulting Group, says the private sector should be allowed to enter this crucial area.
"Even today, education is in the not-for-profit sector. There is no need for it to be in the not-for profit sector. If it was brought into the profit sector, it would become transparent15, money would flow into it," added Sinha. "The government needs to increase its spending and there needs to be more accountability in how you actually doing this."
The report warns that a failure to make India's huge young population productive will mean that the country will have an army of young people "left behind," and ready to vent16 their frustration17 in what it predicts will be "violence and rage that may challenge the very fabric18 of our society."
In recent years, many experts have voiced fears that rising disparity between India's affluent19 and poor could stoke social tensions. The government has said it wants more inclusive growth and will try to ensure that the benefits of an expanding economy trickle20 down to the poor sections.
1 economists | |
n.经济学家,经济专家( economist的名词复数 ) | |
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2 dividend | |
n.红利,股息;回报,效益 | |
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3 immediate | |
adj.立即的;直接的,最接近的;紧靠的 | |
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4 poised | |
a.摆好姿势不动的 | |
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5 qualified | |
adj.合格的,有资格的,胜任的,有限制的 | |
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6 illiterate | |
adj.文盲的;无知的;n.文盲 | |
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7 dilemma | |
n.困境,进退两难的局面 | |
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8 sector | |
n.部门,部分;防御地段,防区;扇形 | |
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9 crunch | |
n.关键时刻;艰难局面;v.发出碎裂声 | |
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10 sectors | |
n.部门( sector的名词复数 );领域;防御地区;扇形 | |
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11 banking | |
n.银行业,银行学,金融业 | |
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12 retail | |
v./n.零售;adv.以零售价格 | |
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13 earnings | |
n.工资收人;利润,利益,所得 | |
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14 meager | |
adj.缺乏的,不足的,瘦的 | |
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15 transparent | |
adj.明显的,无疑的;透明的 | |
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16 vent | |
n.通风口,排放口;开衩;vt.表达,发泄 | |
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17 frustration | |
n.挫折,失败,失效,落空 | |
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18 fabric | |
n.织物,织品,布;构造,结构,组织 | |
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19 affluent | |
adj.富裕的,富有的,丰富的,富饶的 | |
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20 trickle | |
vi.淌,滴,流出,慢慢移动,逐渐消散 | |
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