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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
Islamabad
03 March 2008
Afghanistan's top intelligence officer is rejecting a U.S. estimate that only 30 percent of the country is under the control of the central government in Kabul. VOA's Barry Newhouse reports from Islamabad that Amrullah Saleh suggested U.S. officials misunderstand Afghanistan's traditional governing system using local tribes.
Last week, U.S. Director of National Intelligence Mike McConnell said most of Afghanistan is controlled by local tribes, about 10 percent is controlled by Taliban fighters and less than one third of the territory is controlled by President Hamid Karzai's government.
On Monday in Kabul, Afghanistan's intelligence chief dismissed the claim.
He said the percentage in that statement was totally baseless.
Amrulleh Saleh said that eight of the country's 364 districts, which account for about five percent of the land and two percent of Afghanistan's population, are outside central government control.
During a news conference in Kabul, he blamed the widely divergent estimates on U.S. officials misunderstanding how Afghanistan's traditional tribal1 governing system functions.
"While in America, an administration fully2 backed by tribal chiefs or dominated by tribal chiefs may be seen as a liability," said Saleh. "But here we see it as a very strong asset."
But there are questions about how loyal these local tribal leaders are to carrying out the agenda of the Karzai government.
London-based Paul Burton is a policy analyst3 with the Senlis Council, a research organization studying drug and security issues in Afghanistan. He says the loyalty4 of local tribal leaders to the central government depends in a large part on Kabul's ability to deliver benefits to them.
In southern Afghanistan, Burton says the central government struggles to provide even basic services.
"We document, on a regular basis, an appalling5 lack of aid going to core infrastructure6 such as hospitals - in Kandahar for example," he said. "So within that context I think it is impossible for local tribal leaders to feel a great degree of warmth toward the center when they are seeing their people ravished and impoverished7."
Burton says the security situation in parts of the country has severely8 impeded9 efforts to develop government infrastructure.
Last year Afghanistan experienced the most intense fighting since the fall of the Taliban in 2001. News agencies have estimated that more than 6,000 people, most of whom were militants10, were killed in the fighting in 2007.
Burton says there is evidence that some families are simultaneously11 backing Taliban and Afghan army (ANA) and police forces (ANP), merely because they are unsure who will prevail in the struggle for control.
"We have evidence to suggest that people are putting one fund into the Taliban and another fund into the ANA and another into the ANP," he said. "They are hedging their bets - they are seeing which side is going to win - purely12 driven from a sense of desperation."
One important indicator13 of the strength of the U.S.-backed Karzai government has been its ability, or inability, to curb14 opium15-poppy cultivation16. This week, the U.S. State Department reported that narcotics17 production in the country hit historic highs in 2007 for the second straight year.
U.S. analysts18 said the estimated $4 billion in illicit19 opium accounted for more than a third of Afghanistan's gross domestic product.
1 tribal | |
adj.部族的,种族的 | |
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2 fully | |
adv.完全地,全部地,彻底地;充分地 | |
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3 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
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4 loyalty | |
n.忠诚,忠心 | |
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5 appalling | |
adj.骇人听闻的,令人震惊的,可怕的 | |
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6 infrastructure | |
n.下部构造,下部组织,基础结构,基础设施 | |
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7 impoverished | |
adj.穷困的,无力的,用尽了的v.使(某人)贫穷( impoverish的过去式和过去分词 );使(某物)贫瘠或恶化 | |
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8 severely | |
adv.严格地;严厉地;非常恶劣地 | |
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9 impeded | |
阻碍,妨碍,阻止( impede的过去式和过去分词 ) | |
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10 militants | |
激进分子,好斗分子( militant的名词复数 ) | |
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11 simultaneously | |
adv.同时发生地,同时进行地 | |
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12 purely | |
adv.纯粹地,完全地 | |
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13 indicator | |
n.指标;指示物,指示者;指示器 | |
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14 curb | |
n.场外证券市场,场外交易;vt.制止,抑制 | |
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15 opium | |
n.鸦片;adj.鸦片的 | |
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16 cultivation | |
n.耕作,培养,栽培(法),养成 | |
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17 narcotics | |
n.麻醉药( narcotic的名词复数 );毒品;毒 | |
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18 analysts | |
分析家,化验员( analyst的名词复数 ) | |
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19 illicit | |
adj.非法的,禁止的,不正当的 | |
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