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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
The terrorist attack that killed 60 people Saturday in Pakistan struck the Marriott hotel, part of an American-based chain. As VOA Correspondent Gary Thomas reports, many analysts2 believe the real target of the attack were not Western interests, but Pakistani.
View of destruction caused by bomb explosion at hotel in Islamabad, 20 Sep 2008
As one of only two top-flight hotels in Pakistan's capital the Islamabad Marriott was not only the temporary lodging3 of choice for many visiting foreigners, but a status symbol for Pakistan's political, business, and military elite4.
Officials met contacts and supplicants in the coffee shop, intelligence agents prowled the lobby, and affluent5 parents threw lavish6 wedding receptions in the hotel banquet halls.
RAND Corporation Pakistan analyst1 Christine Fair says attacking the Marriott was a clear message from the terrorists to the government of new President Asif Ali Zardari.
"As much as terrifying the Westerners who love to ensconce themselves in that hotel, I really see the target of this being Pakistan's elite, and trying to sharpen the debate about abandoning the U.S. and in fact trying to drive the Pakistani elite into making that decision," said Fair.
The United States has been pushing Pakistan to get tough with Islamic militants8 who use the tribal9 areas along the Afghan border to launch attacks on U.S. and coalition10 troops in Afghanistan. The United States nurtured11 the counter-terrorism relationship first with the former military ruler, Pervez Musharraf, and seeks to continue it under the new government of President Zardari.
But the U.S.-counterterrorism effort is not popular in Pakistan. The situation has become more tense with increased U.S. Predator12 drone missile strikes at suspected al-Qaida and Taliban safe havens13 in Pakistan, and reports of at least one incursion by U.S. troops into Pakistan in pursuit of the militants.
Local Pakistani militants, who are sympathetic to al-Qaida but not necessarily part of it, have increasingly stepped up attacks inside Pakistan to challenge the government.
At least some elements in the powerful Inter-Services Intelligence directorate, or ISI and the military are believed by analysts to be sympathetic to the militants. Christine Fair says that in attacking a Pakistani target the militants are biting the hand that once fed them.
"The Pakistanis can blame the Bush-Musharraf relationship for sort of setting the stage. But had they not been nurturing14 all these nut jobs for so many decades - not years, decades - there would not be these people to blow up their hotels. And they would not have this capacity that they have developed, not over two years but over three decades, to execute this kind of attack," added Fair.
A Pakistan analyst at the Royal Institute for International Affairs in London, Farzana Shaikh, says there is still intense debate about how deep those military-to-militant7 ties still are.
"There is a school of thought that believes that militant groups [who] once enjoyed the protection of sections of the military leadership, sections of the intelligence agencies, have now become autonomous15 and operate independently of their masters. There are others - certainly within the Bush administration - who feel and who believe and who are absolutely persuaded that there are still very close links between elements of Pakistan's intelligence agencies and militant groups," said Shaikh.
It is not clear if this attack and others will drive a wedge between Islamabad and Washington, as the militants want, or have the opposite effect of pushing them together. Christine Fair says much will depend on how Pakistanis' public perceptions turn in coming days and weeks.
"It is entirely16 possible that the militants will have miscalculated with this one. But it all depends on how the Pakistani media spins it. I mean, that is going to be really critical. It is going to depend on how the ISI plants articles in the Urdu media," continued Fair. "The battle for this is really going to be played out in the Pakistani media, and how the media shapers decide to craft and frame this message."
But analysts say the final arbiter17 of Pakistan's direction will not be President Zardari but - as it has so often been in the past - the army.
1 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
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2 analysts | |
分析家,化验员( analyst的名词复数 ) | |
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3 lodging | |
n.寄宿,住所;(大学生的)校外宿舍 | |
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4 elite | |
n.精英阶层;实力集团;adj.杰出的,卓越的 | |
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5 affluent | |
adj.富裕的,富有的,丰富的,富饶的 | |
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6 lavish | |
adj.无节制的;浪费的;vt.慷慨地给予,挥霍 | |
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7 militant | |
adj.激进的,好斗的;n.激进分子,斗士 | |
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8 militants | |
激进分子,好斗分子( militant的名词复数 ) | |
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9 tribal | |
adj.部族的,种族的 | |
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10 coalition | |
n.结合体,同盟,结合,联合 | |
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11 nurtured | |
养育( nurture的过去式和过去分词 ); 培育; 滋长; 助长 | |
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12 predator | |
n.捕食其它动物的动物;捕食者 | |
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13 havens | |
n.港口,安全地方( haven的名词复数 )v.港口,安全地方( haven的第三人称单数 ) | |
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14 nurturing | |
养育( nurture的现在分词 ); 培育; 滋长; 助长 | |
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15 autonomous | |
adj.自治的;独立的 | |
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16 entirely | |
ad.全部地,完整地;完全地,彻底地 | |
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17 arbiter | |
n.仲裁人,公断人 | |
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