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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
By Luis Ramirez
Jerusalem
01 October 2009
Israel has for some time warned it is ready to launch preemptive strikes against Iran's nuclear facilities at any time. With international pressure growing on Iran to freeze its nuclear program, analysts2 say Israeli leaders are toning down those warnings and giving diplomacy3 a chance to work.
Ehud Barack (Feb 2009 file photo)
Iran's Islamist leaders have for decades called for Israel to be eliminated from the pages of history, fueling calls by many Israelis for their government to strike and destroy the Iranians' ability to make nuclear weapons.
For months, Israel warned it was ready for an immediate4 preemptive strike on Iranian targets much like the ones it conducted in the past against Syria, and Iraq under Saddam Hussein.
Recent remarks by Israeli officials, however, indicate Israel may be toning down its approach. A major Israeli newspaper last month quoted Defense5 Minister Ehud Barak as suggesting Iran is not such a big menace to the Jewish State. The paper quoted Mr. Barak as saying he does not think Israel is on the brink6 of a new Holocaust7 in the face of an Iranian nuclear threat.
The remark appeared to be a retreat from earlier statements in which the Israeli government presented Iran's nuclear ambitions as a threat to the existence of the Jewish State.
Others, including Israel's hawkish8 Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman are sounding more cautious as well. Lieberman spoke9 on an Israeli TV channel, saying he hopes there is no need to attack anything.
He said he hopes the nations meeting with Iran will use their power to stop what he called the madness of Iran's nuclear program.
Israeli Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman (file photo)
But Israel says all options remain open and officials have explained Mr. Barak's remarks as meaning that Israel is not in danger of disappearing because it has the means to fight off any attack from Iran.
Political scientist Avraham Diskin at Hebrew University in Jerusalem says Israeli politicians cannot afford to rule out military action.
"If Israel or the United States pick that alternative, Israel will pay costly10 for it. Israel is at the front line and because of that, maybe there is no alternative but to pay the cost and solve that in a military way," Diskin said.
At the same time, analysts say Israeli leaders are skeptical11 about taking action unilaterally and are waiting to see if international pressure sways the Iranians to freeze their nuclear activities.
Mr. Obama's proposal during his campaign to engage Iran in negotiations12 without preconditions was not welcomed here, and many Israelis generally view the Obama White House as being softer on Iran.
Diskin says there is the perception among Israeli leaders that the support Israel is getting from Washington now is not what it was under the previous administration.
"I think there is such a feeling. Definitely, there is such a feeling. I also believe that this fear [of] Iran is quite a consensus13 [maker] and there is a wide consensus that Israel cannot afford a nuclear Iran. There is a wide consensus that this is a new administration and it is more problematic to Israel," said Diskin.
An Iranian-born Middle East analyst1 in Tel Aviv, Meir Javedanfar, says there are other reasons for Israel's leaders to temper their approach.
"It is also possible that the recent events in Iran show this current regime is not as strong as people thought. Another possibility is that Defense Minister Barak has realized that the more Iran is threatened, the more it helps the [Iranian] leadership," Javedanfar said.
Maintaining its international image is another concern for Israel. The country has been hit with international accusations14 that its forces committed abuses during their 22-day assault on Islamist militants15 in the Gaza Strip early this year.
Analysts say Israeli leaders have reason to be concerned that their actions may also come under scrutiny16 if they rush into a new operation against Iran.
1 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
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2 analysts | |
分析家,化验员( analyst的名词复数 ) | |
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3 diplomacy | |
n.外交;外交手腕,交际手腕 | |
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4 immediate | |
adj.立即的;直接的,最接近的;紧靠的 | |
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5 defense | |
n.防御,保卫;[pl.]防务工事;辩护,答辩 | |
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6 brink | |
n.(悬崖、河流等的)边缘,边沿 | |
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7 holocaust | |
n.大破坏;大屠杀 | |
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8 hawkish | |
adj. 鹰派的, 强硬派的 | |
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9 spoke | |
n.(车轮的)辐条;轮辐;破坏某人的计划;阻挠某人的行动 v.讲,谈(speak的过去式);说;演说;从某种观点来说 | |
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10 costly | |
adj.昂贵的,价值高的,豪华的 | |
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11 skeptical | |
adj.怀疑的,多疑的 | |
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12 negotiations | |
协商( negotiation的名词复数 ); 谈判; 完成(难事); 通过 | |
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13 consensus | |
n.(意见等的)一致,一致同意,共识 | |
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14 accusations | |
n.指责( accusation的名词复数 );指控;控告;(被告发、控告的)罪名 | |
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15 militants | |
激进分子,好斗分子( militant的名词复数 ) | |
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16 scrutiny | |
n.详细检查,仔细观察 | |
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