-
(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
By Alisha Ryu
Nairobi
19 October 2009
Several hundred insurgent1 fighters in Somalia have reportedly defected to the government in the past week, following fierce fighting that began early this month between militant2 Islamist factions3 in the southern city of Kismayo. The split in the Islamist alliance could bring further turmoil4 and uncertainty5 to Somalia.
On October 1, two Somali Islamist groups, which had been close allies in the effort to topple the U.N.-backed Somali transitional government in Mogadishu, turned their guns on each other in the port city of Kismayo. Days of heavy fighting killed an unknown number of fighters and civilians6.
For more than a year, Kismayo, like several other key cities in southern and central Somalia, had been largely administered by a coalition9 of Islamist groups called Hizbul Islam and the al-Qaida-linked militant group, al-Shabab. But late last month, al-Shabab shattered that alliance by declaring a new administration in Kismayo that excluded Hizbul Islam members.
U.S.-based Somalia analyst10 Michael Weinstein says, on the surface, the dispute between Hizbul Islam and al-Shabab appears to be a straight-forward rivalry11 between the two Islamist groups, fighting for power in one of the most prized cities in Somalia. Taxes collected at the Kismayo port are a crucial source of revenue for both sides.
But Weinstein says he believes long-running clan rivalries12, not religious rivalry, was the root cause of the conflict between the two Islamist groups.
"What I think is going on is a volatile13 realignment toward clan-based Islamist warlordism. I do not think it is between religious movements," he said.
Warlordism in historical perspective
Somali history shows that controlling Kismayo has been the goal of various clans14 that have historical claims to the city and its surrounding regions. But for much of the past decade, that power was in the hands of Barre Hirale, a factional leader of the Marehan, a sub-clan of one of the largest clans in Somalia, the Darod.
In 2006, Hirale and most of his Marehan militia15 were chased out of Kismayo by the Islamic Courts Union. With the support of neighboring Ethiopia, Hirale re-took Kismayo from the Islamists in 2007, only to be chased out again in August 2008 by Hizbul Islam and al-Shabab.
The two Hizbul Islam factions that captured Kismayo in 2008 - Ras Kamboni and Anole -- were Islamists fighting to turn Somalia into an Islamic state. But equally, they were members of Darod sub-clans that have long held a grudge16 against the locally dominant17 Marehan group.
Hawiye clan soldiers fight with Ethiopian troops in Mogadishu (2007 file photo)
Weinstein says Ras Kamboni and Anole saw an opportunity for their respective sub-clans to reclaim18 power through Hizbul Islam. But the rise of Ras Kamboni and Anole threatened Marehan clansmen and sub-clan members of Darod's biggest rival, the Hawiye, in Kismayo. They aligned19 themselves with al-Shabab, hoping their support of the extremist group would elevate their clans to positions of power as well.
Since the fall of Somalia's last functioning government in 1991, the country has been plagued by clan-driven civil wars. Somalia's Islamist movement originally emerged as a way of bringing order to the country through community-based Islamic courts.
Islamic Union Courts militiamen take part in training exercises on the outskirts20 of Mogadishu, 11 Dec 2008
In 2006, the Islamic Courts Union defeated a coalition of C.I.A.-funded factional leaders, seized Mogadishu and restored stability in much of the country. But it was ousted21 from power six months later by neighboring Ethiopia amid reports that radicals23 inside the courts were gaining power. The Islamists launched an insurgency24 and have been fighting for control of Somalia ever since.
Somali political analyst Ali Roble agrees that clan interests are again playing a pivotal role in creating conflicts. But he argues current conflicts are being fueled by the leadership of al-Shabab -- men Roble says are so thoroughly25 committed to advancing the global agenda of radical22 Islamic groups, they no longer see themselves as Somalis.
Al-Shabab's 'divide and rule' tactics
Al-Shabab, whose top leaders are believed to have trained by al-Qaida in Afghanistan, is listed as a terrorist organization by the United States and Australia.
Al-Shebab fighter guards a crowd in Mogadishu during a court session run by the Islmaist group, 22 Jun 2009
"Al-Shabab always takes advantage of estrangements between clans. For example, if clan A and clan B are not on good terms with each other, al-Shabab will go and sit with whichever they think they can convince," Roble said. "[They] tell them that, 'You will be the clan dominating this area. You will be the ruling clan here, so you support us.' Another trick they are using is to terrorize and threaten different clans, saying [things] like, 'We will cleanse26 your clan. You will be destroyed and your clan will be history. If you don't like it, don't come against us," he said.
Mohamed Ali Osman is a member of parliament and the chairman of a group seeking semi-autonomy for Kismayo and the surrounding regions. He says al-Shabab enjoyed popular support when it was perceived as a group fighting for Somali sovereignty against Ethiopia and the West. But support for the militants27 eroded28 after al-Shabab imposed strict interpretations29 of Islamic law. Punishments have included amputating the limbs of thieves, stoning and flogging of women, and public beheadings.
Osman says having lost its popular mandate30, al-Shabab now maintains authority through deception31 and tactics long used by conquering armies.
"They are using 'divide and rule' for the clans. They are giving out positions and money and weapons, saying 'You stay in Kismayo, we will give you a share of the administration." This is a lie. They are lying to the local people," he said.
Hizbul Islam militiamen stand guard at the group's HQ in south Mogadishu, 24 Apr 2009
Signaling a possible shift in alliance, nearly 300 Hizbul Islam fighters surrendered to the Somali government last week. Isolating32 al-Shabab from less fanatical Islamist groups has been a goal for the besieged33 government and its Western backers.
But few Somalis believe the realignment will weaken al-Shabab's resolve. They say as long as there are clan differences, al-Shabab will likely find a way to exploit them to further their extremist agenda.
1 insurgent | |
adj.叛乱的,起事的;n.叛乱分子 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
2 militant | |
adj.激进的,好斗的;n.激进分子,斗士 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
3 factions | |
组织中的小派别,派系( faction的名词复数 ) | |
参考例句: |
|
|
4 turmoil | |
n.骚乱,混乱,动乱 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
5 uncertainty | |
n.易变,靠不住,不确知,不确定的事物 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
6 civilians | |
平民,百姓( civilian的名词复数 ); 老百姓 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
7 clan | |
n.氏族,部落,宗族,家族,宗派 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
8 warfare | |
n.战争(状态);斗争;冲突 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
9 coalition | |
n.结合体,同盟,结合,联合 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
10 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
11 rivalry | |
n.竞争,竞赛,对抗 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
12 rivalries | |
n.敌对,竞争,对抗( rivalry的名词复数 ) | |
参考例句: |
|
|
13 volatile | |
adj.反复无常的,挥发性的,稍纵即逝的,脾气火爆的;n.挥发性物质 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
14 clans | |
宗族( clan的名词复数 ); 氏族; 庞大的家族; 宗派 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
15 militia | |
n.民兵,民兵组织 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
16 grudge | |
n.不满,怨恨,妒嫉;vt.勉强给,不情愿做 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
17 dominant | |
adj.支配的,统治的;占优势的;显性的;n.主因,要素,主要的人(或物);显性基因 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
18 reclaim | |
v.要求归还,收回;开垦 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
19 aligned | |
adj.对齐的,均衡的 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
20 outskirts | |
n.郊外,郊区 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
21 ousted | |
驱逐( oust的过去式和过去分词 ); 革职; 罢黜; 剥夺 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
22 radical | |
n.激进份子,原子团,根号;adj.根本的,激进的,彻底的 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
23 radicals | |
n.激进分子( radical的名词复数 );根基;基本原理;[数学]根数 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
24 insurgency | |
n.起义;暴动;叛变 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
25 thoroughly | |
adv.完全地,彻底地,十足地 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
26 cleanse | |
vt.使清洁,使纯洁,清洗 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
27 militants | |
激进分子,好斗分子( militant的名词复数 ) | |
参考例句: |
|
|
28 eroded | |
adj. 被侵蚀的,有蚀痕的 动词erode的过去式和过去分词形式 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
29 interpretations | |
n.解释( interpretation的名词复数 );表演;演绎;理解 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
30 mandate | |
n.托管地;命令,指示 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
31 deception | |
n.欺骗,欺诈;骗局,诡计 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
32 isolating | |
adj.孤立的,绝缘的v.使隔离( isolate的现在分词 );将…剔出(以便看清和单独处理);使(某物质、细胞等)分离;使离析 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
33 besieged | |
包围,围困,围攻( besiege的过去式和过去分词 ) | |
参考例句: |
|
|