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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
Federal Reserve Bank Chairman Ben Bernanke says the U.S. recession should begin to end later this year, and the economy is in a slow recovery, although extraordinary challenges remain and there are serious risks from deficit1 spending.
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke testifies on Capitol Hill before the House Budget Committee, 03 Jun 2009
Testifying before the House Budget Committee, the Federal Reserve chairman said he is quite sure that steps taken by the U.S. government since last year prevented a much wider global meltdown. "Last fall we very likely would have had a serious and perhaps global financial meltdown with extraordinarily2 adverse3 implications for the U.S. and global economies. I think having averted4 that, that we now seem to be in a process of slow and gradual repair both of the financial system and of the economy, is a major accomplishment," he said.
Steps included the $700 billion financial rescue Congress approved last year, the $787 billion economic stimulus5 package earlier this year, and other measures to address weakness in the banking6 industry and place tighter controls on the financial system.
Bernanke said data suggests that the pace of the country's economic contraction7 may be slowing. While businesses remain cautious and continue to reduce employees and capital investments, they are also reducing excess inventory8 to align9 with realistic sales prospects10. And that he says, could lead to increased production.
In the housing market, which has been a key drag on the economy, Bernanke says after a long period of decline there are signs of a bottoming out.
But while he predicts overall economic activity will begin to turn upward by the end of the year, Bernanke said a weak labor11 market, declines in household equity12 and wealth, and tight credit conditions could slow recovery.
With some six million jobs lost so far, he added, unemployment is likely to remain high for some time, with recent information suggesting "sizable job losses and further increases in unemployment" likely in coming months.
Bernanke voiced particular concern about huge federal deficits13, and the amount of debt held by the public measured against Gross Domestic Product (GDP), which he noted14 is projected to increase to about 70 percent in 2011, the highest since the early 1950's.
"Even as we take steps to address the recession and threats to financial stability, maintaining the confidence of the financial markets requires that we, as a nation, begin planning now for the restoration of fiscal15 balance," he said.
Republicans, who have used the deficit and debt issues as key points of criticism against President Obama and the Democrats17, shared this concern.
Democrat16 John Spratt chairs the House Budget Committee, and Paul Ryan is its ranking Republican:
SPRATT: "What we do to make the economy better is likely to make the deficit worse. Yet, at the same time we cannot add infinitely18 to the national debt without facing the consequences in global credit marks or on our future capacity to borrow."
RYAN: "The treasury19 is issuing record amounts of debt, over $2 trillion this year alone to support recording20 government spending and record deficits. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve has injected an enormous amount of monetary21 stimulus into the economy and has even started purchasing longer-term treasury bonds in an attempt to lower borrowing costs and further ease financial conditions. This can be a dangerous policy mix - the Treasury is using debt, and the central bank is buying it."
The Obama administration has estimated that the budget deficit this fiscal year will total $1.8 trillion. That number is projected to decline to $900 billion in 2011.
In his testimony22, Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke offered what he called an important caveat23 to projections24 about recovery. He said they assume a continuing gradual repair of the financial system, and an improvement of credit conditions.
Any financial sector25 relapse [deterioration], he added, could create a significant drag on economic activity and cause "the incipient26 recovery" to stall.
1 deficit | |
n.亏空,亏损;赤字,逆差 | |
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2 extraordinarily | |
adv.格外地;极端地 | |
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3 adverse | |
adj.不利的;有害的;敌对的,不友好的 | |
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4 averted | |
防止,避免( avert的过去式和过去分词 ); 转移 | |
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5 stimulus | |
n.刺激,刺激物,促进因素,引起兴奋的事物 | |
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6 banking | |
n.银行业,银行学,金融业 | |
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7 contraction | |
n.缩略词,缩写式,害病 | |
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8 inventory | |
n.详细目录,存货清单 | |
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9 align | |
vt.使成一线,结盟,调节;vi.成一线,结盟 | |
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10 prospects | |
n.希望,前途(恒为复数) | |
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11 labor | |
n.劳动,努力,工作,劳工;分娩;vi.劳动,努力,苦干;vt.详细分析;麻烦 | |
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12 equity | |
n.公正,公平,(无固定利息的)股票 | |
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13 deficits | |
n.不足额( deficit的名词复数 );赤字;亏空;亏损 | |
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14 noted | |
adj.著名的,知名的 | |
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15 fiscal | |
adj.财政的,会计的,国库的,国库岁入的 | |
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16 democrat | |
n.民主主义者,民主人士;民主党党员 | |
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17 democrats | |
n.民主主义者,民主人士( democrat的名词复数 ) | |
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18 infinitely | |
adv.无限地,无穷地 | |
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19 treasury | |
n.宝库;国库,金库;文库 | |
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20 recording | |
n.录音,记录 | |
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21 monetary | |
adj.货币的,钱的;通货的;金融的;财政的 | |
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22 testimony | |
n.证词;见证,证明 | |
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23 caveat | |
n.警告; 防止误解的说明 | |
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24 projections | |
预测( projection的名词复数 ); 投影; 投掷; 突起物 | |
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25 sector | |
n.部门,部分;防御地段,防区;扇形 | |
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26 incipient | |
adj.起初的,发端的,初期的 | |
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