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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
Senate confirmation1 hearings begin July 13 for Judge Sonia Sotomayor, President Barack Obama's choice for the U.S. Supreme2 Court. Experts say that Sotomayor's confirmation is likely, given the Democrats3' majority in the Senate. But history shows that the confirmation process can be unpredictable.
Supreme Court nominee4 and federal appeals court judge Sonia Sotomayor, 26 May 2009
If confirmed by the Senate, Judge Sotomayor would become the country's first Hispanic Supreme Court justice.
From humble5 beginnings in New York City to some of the country's finest universities, Sotomayor would also fulfill6 the president's desire to appoint a Supreme Court justice with a diverse background and experiences.
"I strive never to forget the real world consequences of my decisions on individuals, businesses and government," she has said.
Sotomayor can expect to face hours of questioning about her background and legal views when her nomination7 is considered next month by the Senate Judiciary Committee.
Jeffrey Rosen teaches law at George Washington University and was a recent guest on VOA's Encounter program.
"The American confirmation process for the Supreme Court is an elaborate Kibuki dance, a kind of ritual where senators ask long-winded and often unfocused questions, and the nominees8 elaborately dodge9 and weave and try not to answer them. So the amount of light that emerges from this remains10 to be seen," Rosen said.
Veteran Washington political insider Tom Korologos knows the process well. He has helped several Republican presidents with their Supreme Court nominees, beginning with President Richard Nixon in 1971.
"In the early days, nominees got approved the same day they got named. And it has now become very contentious11. It is a function of this town in which we live. The town has gotten very partisan," Korologos said.
Korologos says the key to the confirmation process is for the nominee to let the senators do most of the talking at the hearings.
"What I advise nominees is that you must follow the 80-20 rule. The 80-20 rule is that if they are talking 80 percent of the time and you (nominee) are talking 20 percent, you are winning," he said. "The hearing is not about you, it is about them, and they want to show that they understand the issues and they want to make their points across. As they are asking the question they are making their point, so you better listen."
Korologos says one past nominee who failed to follow his advice was Judge Robert Bork. He was nominated to the high court in 1987 by President Ronald Reagan, but was eventually voted down by the Democratically-controlled Senate.
Bork and his Republican supporters never forgot what they considered to be unfair treatment at the hands of Senate Democrats.
"To be quite frank about it, the amount of disinformation and falsehoods told about me were such that I do not think the country conceivably could have understood the case (my nomination) on the merits," Bork said.
Four years later, another bitter confirmation fight took place over the nomination of Judge Clarence Thomas. Thomas was a conservative African-American nominated by President George H.W. Bush.
During the Senate hearings, Thomas had to fend12 off allegations of unwanted sexual advances on an associate. He was eventually confirmed. But the process was politically polarizing for the country and left Thomas embittered13, even though he won Senate approval.
"This is a circus. It is a national disgrace. And from my standpoint, as a black American, as far as I am concerned, it is high-tech14 lynching for uppity blacks who in any way deign15 to think for themselves," Thomas said.
In the case of Judge Sotomayor, Republicans have promised rigorous, but fair hearings.
In addition to Sotomayor's legal opinions, Republicans are expected to ask about remarks she made in 2001 when she said that a wise Latina woman with the richness of her experiences would more often than not reach a better conclusion than a white male who has not lived that life.
Robert Alt is with the conservative Heritage Foundation in Washington.
"I think what is causing a great deal of trouble for most people is that, in fact, she has made some suggestions with regard to ethnicity and ethnic16 superiority that have raised hackles, and which are giving the White House some trouble in responding to," he said.
Even though they are in the minority in the Senate, Republicans could try to block Sotomayor's nomination through a parliamentary delaying tactic17 known as the filibuster18.
But political experts say that is unlikely because Democrats control 59 of the 100 Senate seats. In addition, Republicans may be wary19 of politically offending Hispanic voters, the country's fastest growing demographic group.
Legal expert Jeffrey Rosen expects that Sotomayor will be easily confirmed.
"In the end, the sheer political symbolism of the first Hispanic justice, with this compelling life story is so overwhelming that it will be difficult for Republicans as well as Democrats to resist that. I think she will be handily confirmed to the United States Supreme Court," Rosen said.
Historically, the record shows that Judge Sotomayor's confirmation is likely, but not a certainty.
According to the Senate historian's office, 28 of the 158 nominees to the Supreme Court have been rejected since 1789. This is a failure rate of about 18 percent, or nearly one in five.
1 confirmation | |
n.证实,确认,批准 | |
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2 supreme | |
adj.极度的,最重要的;至高的,最高的 | |
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3 democrats | |
n.民主主义者,民主人士( democrat的名词复数 ) | |
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4 nominee | |
n.被提名者;被任命者;被推荐者 | |
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5 humble | |
adj.谦卑的,恭顺的;地位低下的;v.降低,贬低 | |
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6 fulfill | |
vt.履行,实现,完成;满足,使满意 | |
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7 nomination | |
n.提名,任命,提名权 | |
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8 nominees | |
n.被提名者,被任命者( nominee的名词复数 ) | |
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9 dodge | |
v.闪开,躲开,避开;n.妙计,诡计 | |
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10 remains | |
n.剩余物,残留物;遗体,遗迹 | |
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11 contentious | |
adj.好辩的,善争吵的 | |
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12 fend | |
v.照料(自己),(自己)谋生,挡开,避开 | |
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13 embittered | |
v.使怨恨,激怒( embitter的过去式和过去分词 ) | |
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14 high-tech | |
adj.高科技的 | |
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15 deign | |
v. 屈尊, 惠允 ( 做某事) | |
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16 ethnic | |
adj.人种的,种族的,异教徒的 | |
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17 tactic | |
n.战略,策略;adj.战术的,有策略的 | |
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18 filibuster | |
n.妨碍议事,阻挠;v.阻挠 | |
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19 wary | |
adj.谨慎的,机警的,小心的 | |
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