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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
Burma's fellow members in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations have expressed "deep disappointment" over opposition1 leader Aung San Suu Kyi's extended house detention2. As Western governments call for tougher sanctions, political analysts3 in the region say there are few viable4 options for getting the military government to yield on Aung San Suu Kyi's and Burma's political future.
Burmese activists5 hold a banner calling for the immediate6 release of detained pro-democracy leader Aung San Suu Kyi during a protest outside the Burmese Embassy in Bangkok, Thailand, 11 Aug 2009
The decision to extend the house arrest of Aung San Suu Kyi has once again raised a question that has long vexed7 the world - what to do with Burma's military government?
Western governments, including the United States, Britain and France, call for Aung San Suu Kyi's immediate release and talk of applying new or tighter sanctions on the country.
But among Burma's immediate neighbors, reactions were muted. On Wednesday, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, which Burma is a member, issued a statement from Bangkok expressing "deep disappointment".
Unchanged ASEAN's position
But ASEAN re-iterated it will continue its policy of constructive8 engagement with Burma - a strategy that critics say has legitimized the military government without leading to substantive9 political reforms.
Pavin Chachavalpongpun is lead researcher at the ASEAN Studies Center in Singapore:
"Western sanctions these days almost mean nothing," he said. "The Burmese government acts like they can do whatever they like. Burma has very good relationship with China, China and even Russia. These are not only defender10 of Myanmar politically but also economically as well."
China, which has significant oil and natural gas interests in Burma, is seen as having the most leverage11 to pressure Burma to change. But Beijing Wednesday distanced itself from any involvement, calling for respect for Burma's "judicial12 sovereignty".
"Sanctions and engagement"
Regional political analysts say there are no easy ways to ease Burma's political repression13 and improve Aung San Suu Kyi's situation. However, some say that ASEAN's engagement policy stands as one of few effective strategies left.
"ASEAN can step in not because ASEAN would do a better job than Western countries, but because Burma has an obligation in ASEAN," said Pavin. "What I think people would want to see is … a right mix between sanctions and engagement."
Iftekhar Ahmed Chowdhury is a fellow at the Institute of South Asian Studies at the National University of Singapore. He says Burma's desire for dialogue with regional organizations such as the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SARC) opens a way for peer pressure and persuasion14 to work.
"Generally it is believed here that threats can drive and will drive the regime even further into its shell where it's even more non-cooperative," said Chowdhury.
Test to regional bloc's Charter
Tuesday's decision by the military government tests Burma's commitment to the ASEAN Charter, which requires members to observe democratic principles and protect human rights.
Aung San Suu Kyi was convicted of violating her house arrest because a foreigner was able to sneak15 uninvited into her heavily guarded compound. The military government sentenced her to 18 more months of detention. She has been under house arrest for 14 of the past 20 years.
Human rights groups say the charges were aimed at preventing Aung San Suu Kyi and her National League for Democracy from contesting elections next year. The NLD won the last elections in 1990 but the military never allowed it to govern.
The elections are part of the Burma's "road map to democracy", unveiled in 2003. That plan is in part the result of years of urging from ASEAN. Pavin says ASEAN faces a problem: while it is able to persuade the military to make some changes, the results may not be enough.
"ASEAN would have to get on with it," he said. "Then everything will be back to square one again. This is the reality."
Aside from Burma, ASEAN is comprised of Thailand, Malaysia, Singapore, the Philippines, Laos, Vietnam, Indonesia, Cambodia and Brunei.
1 opposition | |
n.反对,敌对 | |
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2 detention | |
n.滞留,停留;拘留,扣留;(教育)留下 | |
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3 analysts | |
分析家,化验员( analyst的名词复数 ) | |
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4 viable | |
adj.可行的,切实可行的,能活下去的 | |
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5 activists | |
n.(政治活动的)积极分子,活动家( activist的名词复数 ) | |
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6 immediate | |
adj.立即的;直接的,最接近的;紧靠的 | |
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7 vexed | |
adj.争论不休的;(指问题等)棘手的;争论不休的问题;烦恼的v.使烦恼( vex的过去式和过去分词 );使苦恼;使生气;详细讨论 | |
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8 constructive | |
adj.建设的,建设性的 | |
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9 substantive | |
adj.表示实在的;本质的、实质性的;独立的;n.实词,实名词;独立存在的实体 | |
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10 defender | |
n.保卫者,拥护者,辩护人 | |
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11 leverage | |
n.力量,影响;杠杆作用,杠杆的力量 | |
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12 judicial | |
adj.司法的,法庭的,审判的,明断的,公正的 | |
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13 repression | |
n.镇压,抑制,抑压 | |
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14 persuasion | |
n.劝说;说服;持有某种信仰的宗派 | |
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15 sneak | |
vt.潜行(隐藏,填石缝);偷偷摸摸做;n.潜行;adj.暗中进行 | |
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