VOA标准英语2009年-International Community Needs to Prepare f

By Alan Boswell
Nairobi
29 September 2009

The author of a recently released report says that the international community needs to do more to prepare itself for the likely scenario¹ of a return to conflict in Sudan. Senior U.S. officials are meeting Tuesday to put the finishing touches on a revamped policy towards the Horn of African nation.

Jair van der Lijn, a senior researcher at the Dutch international policy think tank Clingendael, says policy makers² have not sufficiently³ considered the possibilities of a disintegrated⁴ Sudan if the nation's peace deal falls apart.

 
Sudanese adviser⁵ to the President Ghazi Salahuddin Atabani addresses the 64th session of UN General Assembly, 28 Sep 2009
The analyst⁶ says that while the international community is right to be tirelessly working to salvage⁷ the 2005 North-South peace agreement, it needs to be more fully⁸ preparing for the likely possibility that the situation between the two sides will deteriorate⁹.

"Be prepared for what is going to happen if you will fail, and the chances are very large that you will fail. So be prepared for renewed war," said Jair van der Lijn.

The Comprehensive Peace Agreement signed almost five years ago put a stop to the civil war that first started in 1955 and then re-erupted in 1983.

The North-South deal formed an interim¹⁰ coalition¹¹ government jointly¹² run by the South's ruling Sudan People's Liberation Movement and the North's National Congress Party. National elections intended to lead to a new unified¹³ democratic Sudan were to be held in July 2009 but have been pushed back to April 2010.

The peace agreement also calls for a January 2011 Southern independence referendum to allow the South to secede¹⁴ if Southerners remain unsatisfied with a united Sudan. The South is largely expected to vote in favor of independence if given the opportunity.

The peaceful implementation¹⁵ of the peace deal ending in a unified Sudan is a highly unlikely scenario, according to Van der Lijn, despite the fact that it is the ideal situation being worked towards by many of the key international players.

Van der Lijn says that while war fatigue¹⁶ in the North will most likely prevent the resurrection of a full-blown war between the North and the South, a destabilized state plagued with proxy¹⁷ tribal¹⁸ conflicts and North-South border wars is an easily foreseeable possibility that policy makers need to begin adequately preparing for right now.

U.S. officials plan to soon announce the conclusions of the Obama administration's policy review on Sudan.

But while Van der Lijn sees the U.S. as the most supportive key international player for a potential independent southern Sudan, the top U.S. diplomat¹⁹ to the nation is receiving a battering²⁰ both back home and from Sudanese opposition²¹ leaders for allegedly being too friendly with the Khartoum regime.

U.S.-based Darfur advocacy groups on Tuesday released a statement bashing the U.S. special envoy²³ to Sudan, Scott Gration, for comments published Monday in which he expressed optimism that the Khartoum government would respond positively²⁴ to thawed²⁵ relations from Washington.

In the eyes of Van der Lijn, the softer approach towards the North's NCP taken by Gration has been a welcome shift.

"The more confrontational²⁶ you are in your policy towards Khartoum, the less effect you will have," said Van der Lijn. "So, the change of policy right now in the U.S. is a positive one, I would argue, if you want to have some influence over Khartoum."

Sudanese President Omar Hassan al-Bashir has been indicted²⁷ by the International Criminal Court at The Hague for alleged²² war crimes committed during the conflict in the western region of Darfur.

The report authored by van der Lijn is entitled Sudan 2012: Scenarios for the Future

1 scenario   

n.剧本，脚本；概要

参考例句：

• But the birth scenario is not completely accurate.然而分娩脚本并非完全准确的。
• This is a totally different scenario.这是完全不同的剧本。

2 makers   

n.制造者，制造商（maker的复数形式）

参考例句：

• The makers of the product assured us that there had been no sacrifice of quality. 这一产品的制造商向我们保证说他们没有牺牲质量。
• The makers are about to launch out a new product. 制造商们马上要生产一种新产品。 来自《简明英汉词典》

3 sufficiently   

adv.足够地，充分地

参考例句：

• It turned out he had not insured the house sufficiently.原来他没有给房屋投足保险。
• The new policy was sufficiently elastic to accommodate both views.新政策充分灵活地适用两种观点。

4 disintegrated   

v.（使）破裂[分裂，粉碎]，（使）崩溃( disintegrate的过去式和过去分词 )

参考例句：

• The plane disintegrated as it fell into the sea. 飞机坠入大海时解体了。
• The box was so old;it just disintegrated when I picked it up. 那箱子太破旧了，我刚一提就散了。 来自《简明英汉词典》

5 adviser   

n.劝告者，顾问

参考例句：

• They employed me as an adviser.他们聘请我当顾问。
• Our department has engaged a foreign teacher as phonetic adviser.我们系已经聘请了一位外籍老师作为语音顾问。

6 analyst   

n.分析家，化验员；心理分析学家

参考例句：

• What can you contribute to the position of a market analyst?你有什么技能可有助于市场分析员的职务？
• The analyst is required to interpolate values between standards.分析人员需要在这些标准中插入一些值。

7 salvage   

v.救助，营救，援救；n.救助，营救

参考例句：

• All attempts to salvage the wrecked ship failed.抢救失事船只的一切努力都失败了。
• The salvage was piled upon the pier.抢救出的财产被堆放在码头上。

8 fully   

adv.完全地，全部地，彻底地；充分地

参考例句：

• The doctor asked me to breathe in,then to breathe out fully.医生让我先吸气，然后全部呼出。
• They soon became fully integrated into the local community.他们很快就完全融入了当地人的圈子。

9 deteriorate   

v.变坏；恶化；退化

参考例句：

• Do you think relations between China and Japan will continue to deteriorate?你认为中日关系会继续恶化吗？
• He held that this would only cause the situation to deteriorate further.他认为，这只会使局势更加恶化。

10 interim   

adj.暂时的，临时的；n.间歇，过渡期间

参考例句：

• The government is taking interim measures to help those in immediate need.政府正在采取临时措施帮助那些有立即需要的人。
• It may turn out to be an interim technology.这可能只是个过渡技术。

11 coalition   

n.结合体，同盟，结合，联合

参考例句：

• The several parties formed a coalition.这几个政党组成了政治联盟。
• Coalition forces take great care to avoid civilian casualties.联盟军队竭尽全力避免造成平民伤亡。

12 jointly   

ad.联合地，共同地

参考例句：

• Tenants are jointly and severally liable for payment of the rent. 租金由承租人共同且分别承担。
• She owns the house jointly with her husband. 她和丈夫共同拥有这所房子。

13 unified   

(unify 的过去式和过去分词)； 统一的； 统一标准的； 一元化的

参考例句：

• The teacher unified the answer of her pupil with hers. 老师核对了学生的答案。
• The First Emperor of Qin unified China in 221 B.C. 秦始皇于公元前221年统一中国。

14 secede   

v.退出，脱离

参考例句：

• They plotted to make the whole Mississippi Valley secede from the United States.他们阴谋策划使整个密西西比流域脱离美国。
• We won't allow Tibet to secede from China and become an independent nation.我们决不允许西藏脱离中国独立。

15 implementation   

n.实施，贯彻

参考例句：

• Implementation of the program is now well underway.这一项目的实施现在行情看好。

16 fatigue   

n.疲劳，劳累

参考例句：

• The old lady can't bear the fatigue of a long journey.这位老妇人不能忍受长途旅行的疲劳。
• I have got over my weakness and fatigue.我已从虚弱和疲劳中恢复过来了。

17 proxy   

n.代理权，代表权；（对代理人的）委托书；代理人

参考例句：

• You may appoint a proxy to vote for you.你可以委托他人代你投票。
• We enclose a form of proxy for use at the Annual General Meeting.我们附上委任年度大会代表的表格。

18 tribal   

adj.部族的，种族的

参考例句：

• He became skilled in several tribal lingoes.他精通几种部族的语言。
• The country was torn apart by fierce tribal hostilities.那个国家被部落间的激烈冲突弄得四分五裂。

19 diplomat   

n.外交官，外交家；能交际的人，圆滑的人

参考例句：

• The diplomat threw in a joke, and the tension was instantly relieved.那位外交官插进一个笑话，紧张的气氛顿时缓和下来。
• He served as a diplomat in Russia before the war.战前他在俄罗斯当外交官。

20 battering   

n.用坏，损坏v.连续猛击( batter的现在分词 )

参考例句：

• The film took a battering from critics in the US. 该影片在美国遭遇到批评家的猛烈抨击。
• He kept battering away at the door. 他接连不断地砸门。 来自《简明英汉词典》

21 opposition   

n.反对，敌对

参考例句：

• The party leader is facing opposition in his own backyard.该党领袖在自己的党內遇到了反对。
• The police tried to break down the prisoner's opposition.警察设法制住了那个囚犯的反抗。

22 alleged   

a.被指控的，嫌疑的

参考例句：

• It was alleged that he had taken bribes while in office. 他被指称在任时收受贿赂。
• alleged irregularities in the election campaign 被指称竞选运动中的不正当行为

23 envoy   

n.使节，使者，代表，公使

参考例句：

• Their envoy showed no sign of responding to our proposals.他们的代表对我方的提议毫无回应的迹象。
• The government has not yet appointed an envoy to the area.政府尚未向这一地区派过外交官。

24 positively   

adv.明确地，断然，坚决地；实在，确实

参考例句：

• She was positively glowing with happiness.她满脸幸福。
• The weather was positively poisonous.这天气着实讨厌。

25 thawed   

解冻

参考例句：

• The little girl's smile thawed the angry old man. 小姑娘的微笑使发怒的老头缓和下来。 来自《简明英汉词典》
• He thawed after sitting at a fire for a while. 在火堆旁坐了一会儿，他觉得暖和起来了。 来自《简明英汉词典》

26 confrontational   

adj.挑衅的；对抗的

参考例句：

• Fans love rappers partly because they strike such a confrontational pose. 乐迷热爱这些饶舌艺人一定程度上是因为他们所采取的那种战斗姿态。 来自互联网
• You prefer a non confrontational approach when it comes to resolving disputes. 面对争端，你不喜欢采用对抗性的手段来解决。 来自互联网

27 indicted   

控告，起诉( indict的过去式和过去分词 )

参考例句：

• The senator was indicted for murder. 那位参议员被控犯谋杀罪。
• He was indicted by a grand jury on two counts of murder. 他被大陪审团以两项谋杀罪名起诉。