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Investors1 are seeing new opportunities to make money on oil. The price of crude oil rose to its highest level in 15 months on Wednesday amid speculation2 that a weak dollar and cold weather across many parts of the world will boost energy demand. But despite increasing demand in emerging markets, some say higher inventories3 and recessionary pullbacks in the West could drive prices lower.
Severe winter weather across parts of Europe, Asia and the United States helped push the price of oil above $83 a barrel on Wednesday, before falling below that mark again on Thursday.
In the U.S., a 20 percent increase in demand for heating oil, along with higher gasoline prices had some investors speculating about a return to record highs.
With demand continuing to rise in emerging economies such as China and India, energy trader Ray Carbone says oil futures4 are a good bet.
"To me, we could be at triple digits5 in the not long period of time and of course we know that we can go well into the triple digits if the right confluence6 of events comes about," said Ray Carbone.
But after 10 days of consecutive7 gains, some investors may be having second thoughts. On Thursday, oil futures fell below $83 a barrel amid concerns about higher than expected surpluses and a strengthening U.S. dollar.
Energy analyst8 Mike Fitzpatrick says a sluggish9 recovery in the U.S. could also drive prices lower.
"I think that the fundamentals aren't there," said Mike Fitzpatrick. "I mean there is plenty of supply. Demand in the industrial West remains10 severely11 restricted because of the recession."
Oil prices topped out at $145 a barrel in 2008, driven largely by speculators hedging their bets on a weak U.S. dollar. Analysts12 don't expect prices to reach similar levels anytime soon but they say oil markets could remain a hot spot for investors - if energy demand increases as the U.S. economy gradually starts to improve.
1 investors | |
n.投资者,出资者( investor的名词复数 ) | |
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2 speculation | |
n.思索,沉思;猜测;投机 | |
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3 inventories | |
n.总结( inventory的名词复数 );细账;存货清单(或财产目录)的编制 | |
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4 futures | |
n.期货,期货交易 | |
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5 digits | |
n.数字( digit的名词复数 );手指,足趾 | |
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6 confluence | |
n.汇合,聚集 | |
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7 consecutive | |
adj.连续的,联贯的,始终一贯的 | |
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8 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
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9 sluggish | |
adj.懒惰的,迟钝的,无精打采的 | |
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10 remains | |
n.剩余物,残留物;遗体,遗迹 | |
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11 severely | |
adv.严格地;严厉地;非常恶劣地 | |
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12 analysts | |
分析家,化验员( analyst的名词复数 ) | |
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