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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
Hundreds of thousands of supporters of leading opposition1 presidential candidate Mir Hossein Mousavi turn out to protest the result of the election at a mass rally in Azadi (Freedom) square in Tehran, Iran, 15 Jun 2009
One year ago Iran held a presidential election. The incumbent2 won, but that result was hotly contested in the streets of Tehran and elsewhere, leading to a bloody3 government crackdown on dissent4. The repercussions5 from that election and the startling events that followed it are still being felt both inside and outside Iran.
The voices of protest that so shook Iranian society and startled the world one year ago are largely quiet now, silenced by intimidation6, imprisonment7, and even death.
And as former Assistant Secretary of State for Near East Affairs Richard Murphy says, President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, whose election sparked the protests, remains8 firmly entrenched9 in power and defiant10 as ever.
"That may have surprised critics who thought that he was seen as a buffoon11 and a crazy who could be discounted," he said. "But they consolidated12 ranks so quickly, that is, the Supreme13 Leader and the Revolutionary Guard, to enforce his election last year. And I see no cracks in that support as having developed. If they have, they're off my radar14."
Home front
The protests erupted because many reformists believed that their favorite, Mir Hossein Mousavi, had been robbed of victory by vote fraud. The government, seeing the demonstrations15 as a threat to its rule, cracked down on the protests with force.
The protests eventually withered16 in the face of the crackdown, and now much of the opposition has been driven underground or into exile. But Congressional Research Service Iran affairs analyst17 Ken18 Katzman says the opposition is not dead, and is even quietly reorganizing.
"There's been a realization19 among some factions20 that it was the lack of leadership and organization that harmed them, and then they lost momentum21 partly because of that," he said. "Some of the factions have formed leadership councils - not an overarching leadership council but some of subgroups under the green umbrella have formed ruling councils, and they're coordinating22 with each other. So I think that it is starting to jell in terms of organization."
International front
While the opposition has been reorganizing, the government has been retrenching23. Analysts24 say it appears to remain determined25 to crush dissent. On the international front, it has stubbornly clung to what the U.S. and its allies say are ambitions to become a nuclear-armed power.
Former Undersecretary of State for Political Affairs Nicholas Burns, who was deeply involved in the Bush administration's Iran policy making, says the Iranian government has consolidated power at home, but lost standing26 abroad.
"But unfortunately, the Iranian government seems to have emerged at least in control, in large control, of the country," he said. "I would say internationally, they're more isolated27. The Iranian government was a big loser last summer. The whole world can see what an anti-democratic regime it is and to the lengths they go to protect their own rule, and Iran became more isolated because they lost credibility internationally. So I think I see those dual28 effects of the crisis of last year."
The Iranian retrenchment29 and deeper isolation30 has further complicated the nuclear issue, which remains the main point of contention31 between Iran and the West. The calls from some quarters for a military strike on Iran have receded32 somewhat over the past year, but have not disappeared entirely33.
Outreach to Iran
The Obama administration came to office calling for a dialogue with Iran, but has made no headway in rapprochement. Nicholas Burns insists that outreach to Iran is not dead. "We don't like the Iranian government very much at all. It's a very negative, brutal34 government," he said.
"But we have to communicate with it in my judgment35 from time to time, the international community, in order to maximize the chance that diplomacy36 and negotiations37 might have some positive impact." And so I wouldn't give up on diplomacy. I don't think engagement has been bypassed at all, but I do think that a proper policy would combine the various elements: sanctions and negotiations and further pressure on Iran to meet its Security Council commitments," he added.
The U.S. is pushing in the U.N. Security Council for a fourth round of sanctions against Iran. However, many analysts say the sanctions had to be weakened to get Russian and .. support and question their effectiveness against a retrenched38 Iranian government.
1 opposition | |
n.反对,敌对 | |
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2 incumbent | |
adj.成为责任的,有义务的;现任的,在职的 | |
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3 bloody | |
adj.非常的的;流血的;残忍的;adv.很;vt.血染 | |
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4 dissent | |
n./v.不同意,持异议 | |
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5 repercussions | |
n.后果,反响( repercussion的名词复数 );余波 | |
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6 intimidation | |
n.恐吓,威胁 | |
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7 imprisonment | |
n.关押,监禁,坐牢 | |
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8 remains | |
n.剩余物,残留物;遗体,遗迹 | |
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9 entrenched | |
adj.确立的,不容易改的(风俗习惯) | |
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10 defiant | |
adj.无礼的,挑战的 | |
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11 buffoon | |
n.演出时的丑角 | |
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12 consolidated | |
a.联合的 | |
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13 supreme | |
adj.极度的,最重要的;至高的,最高的 | |
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14 radar | |
n.雷达,无线电探测器 | |
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15 demonstrations | |
证明( demonstration的名词复数 ); 表明; 表达; 游行示威 | |
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16 withered | |
adj. 枯萎的,干瘪的,(人身体的部分器官)因病萎缩的或未发育良好的 动词wither的过去式和过去分词形式 | |
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17 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
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18 ken | |
n.视野,知识领域 | |
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19 realization | |
n.实现;认识到,深刻了解 | |
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20 factions | |
组织中的小派别,派系( faction的名词复数 ) | |
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21 momentum | |
n.动力,冲力,势头;动量 | |
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22 coordinating | |
v.使协调,使调和( coordinate的现在分词 );协调;协同;成为同等 | |
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23 retrenching | |
v.紧缩开支( retrench的现在分词 );削减(费用);节省 | |
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24 analysts | |
分析家,化验员( analyst的名词复数 ) | |
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25 determined | |
adj.坚定的;有决心的 | |
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26 standing | |
n.持续,地位;adj.永久的,不动的,直立的,不流动的 | |
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27 isolated | |
adj.与世隔绝的 | |
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28 dual | |
adj.双的;二重的,二元的 | |
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29 retrenchment | |
n.节省,删除 | |
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30 isolation | |
n.隔离,孤立,分解,分离 | |
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31 contention | |
n.争论,争辩,论战;论点,主张 | |
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32 receded | |
v.逐渐远离( recede的过去式和过去分词 );向后倾斜;自原处后退或避开别人的注视;尤指问题 | |
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33 entirely | |
ad.全部地,完整地;完全地,彻底地 | |
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34 brutal | |
adj.残忍的,野蛮的,不讲理的 | |
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35 judgment | |
n.审判;判断力,识别力,看法,意见 | |
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36 diplomacy | |
n.外交;外交手腕,交际手腕 | |
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37 negotiations | |
协商( negotiation的名词复数 ); 谈判; 完成(难事); 通过 | |
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38 retrenched | |
v.紧缩开支( retrench的过去式和过去分词 );削减(费用);节省 | |
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