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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
Over the last decade, oil production has slipped in Venezuela, even as estimates of the country's petroleum1 reserves have grown. Venezuela's reserves are now thought to be the world's largest, giving the country an enormous revenue potential for decades to come. Whether or not President Hugo Chavez can help his country realize that potential is a matter of debate.
Venezuela nationalized its oil industry in the 1970s, but President Chavez rails against foreign oil interests as if it had happened yesterday. "Petro-colonialism was installed in Venezuela, and dominated our politics, our culture, and our economy," he said.
With the oil industry under state control, Mr. Chavez bears responsibility for how it is run. At a first glance, the numbers do not look encouraging. Experts say production has dropped about a third since he came to office, robbing the country of the full financial benefit that could have accrued2 in 2008, when global oil prices peaked around $140 a barrel.
Venezuelan oil analyst3 Juan Carlos Sosa says the government has diverted funds from oil infrastructure4 in order to sustain ever-more-expensive socialist5 initiatives.
"To get back to the 1998 level of production, Venezuela would need to invest $10-$12 billion a year for the next 10 years to upgrade its petroleum operations. This is not being done, and so the situation is critical," he said.
To make matter worse, according to Sosa, the government has fired thousands of technicians from the state-owned oil company, PDVSA and replaced them with workers whose primary qualification is their loyalty6 to President Chavez. And, he notes, a significant portion of Venezuela's dwindling7 oil production is donated to Cuba and other leftist-led countries.
"Cuba receives more than 100,000 barrels of Venezuelan oil per day without paying anything. Instead, Cuba provides medical services, sports training, and other assistance. It is an ideological8 arrangement. But PDVSA suffers, because it could be selling that oil to the United States for hard currency," Sosa said.
President Chavez scoffs9 at the criticism, noting that Venezuela has signed accords with China and other nations that will yield tens of billions of dollars of investment in oil infrastructure. Far from declining further, he predicts production will double.
"In just a few years, we will be producing five million barrels a day. Then six million barrels a day," Chavez said.
Ordinary Venezuelans have mixed feelings about how their nation's oil wealth is managed. One man appreciates cheap domestic gasoline, sold at pennies per liter, but adds "on the other hand, if the price of gasoline were higher, maybe there would be more funds for roads and other projects."
But a worker at a PDVSA-run textile shop sees nothing but positives.
"PDVSA used to just pump oil to support the wealthy. Now oil is used for health care, nutrition, education, and jobs," he said. We have this center thanks to PDVSA. It finances everything. PDVSA is everywhere helping10 the people. Like the president says, PDVSA now belongs to the people."
Venezuelan economist11 Orlando Ochoa says nationalistic slogans and socialist rhetoric12 cannot disguise what he sees as a simple truth: that the Chavez model is unsustainable.
"Oil prices for the first six months of this year are roughly what they were in the year 2006, a boom year for Venezuela. But now that revenue is not enough for the government, which has boosted domestic spending by subsidizing food and taking over private enterprises," he said.
But Ochoa admits that continued oil revenues, even if insufficient13 to cover mounting government expenditures14, will allow President Chavez to put off, at least for now, any day of reckoning that may loom15 ahead.
1 petroleum | |
n.原油,石油 | |
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2 accrued | |
adj.权责已发生的v.增加( accrue的过去式和过去分词 );(通过自然增长)产生;获得;(使钱款、债务)积累 | |
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3 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
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4 infrastructure | |
n.下部构造,下部组织,基础结构,基础设施 | |
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5 socialist | |
n.社会主义者;adj.社会主义的 | |
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6 loyalty | |
n.忠诚,忠心 | |
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7 dwindling | |
adj.逐渐减少的v.逐渐变少或变小( dwindle的现在分词 ) | |
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8 ideological | |
a.意识形态的 | |
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9 scoffs | |
嘲笑,嘲弄( scoff的第三人称单数 ) | |
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10 helping | |
n.食物的一份&adj.帮助人的,辅助的 | |
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11 economist | |
n.经济学家,经济专家,节俭的人 | |
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12 rhetoric | |
n.修辞学,浮夸之言语 | |
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13 insufficient | |
adj.(for,of)不足的,不够的 | |
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14 expenditures | |
n.花费( expenditure的名词复数 );使用;(尤指金钱的)支出额;(精力、时间、材料等的)耗费 | |
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15 loom | |
n.织布机,织机;v.隐现,(危险、忧虑等)迫近 | |
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