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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
President Barack Obama greets Rep. Bill Delahunt, D-Mass., as he exits Air Force One at the Cape1 Cod2 Coast Guard Station in Buzzards Bay, Mass., on his way to Martha's Vineyard, 19 Aug 2010
President Barack Obama is spending an increasing amount of time campaigning and raising money for Democratic congressional candidates in the run-up to the November midterm elections. The president wants to do all he can to limit Democratic losses this year, well aware that an erosion of the Democratic majorities in the House and Senate will have enormous political implications for his ability to govern over the next two years.
History says that the party that controls the White House usually loses congressional seats in a new president's first midterm election. Combine that with a struggling national economy and you have the recipe for electoral trouble this November for Democrats3.
With that in mind, President Obama has embarked4 on campaign swings aimed at helping5 out Democratic congressional candidates around the country. But everywhere Mr. Obama goes he has to confront the public's fears about a national economy that seems to be recovering - if at all - in fits and starts.
"Slowly but surely we are moving in the right direction," said Obama. "We are on the right track. The economy is getting stronger, but it really suffered a big trauma6 and we are not going to get all eight million jobs that were lost back overnight."
The public's frustration7 with the pace of economic recovery is told almost daily in opinion polls. A recent Associated Press poll found that only 41 percent of those surveyed approve of the president's handling of the economy, and 61 percent said they thought the economy had either gotten worse or stayed the same during Mr. Obama's time in office.
The main problem is the high unemployment rate, now at 9.5 percent nationally, says Quinnipiac University pollster Peter Brown. "Voters are very unhappy about the economy. When you say the economy, what they are really talking about is unemployment because unemployment is what matters to voters."
Unhappiness over jobs and the economy is fueling a Republican comeback in the polls this year, with the opposition8 hoping to reclaim9 control of one or both houses of Congress that they lost in 2006.
House Republican leader John Boehner of Ohio would likely become Speaker of the House if Republicans can gain at least 39 congressional seats in November.
"After promising10 so much and delivering so little, the Democrats have lost the support of the American people and the credibility to govern," said Boehner.
Mr. Obama came into office in 2008 in large part because of discontent over the economy and a desire for change after eight years of Republican President George W. Bush. Political experts say this year's congressional elections will be in part a referendum on President Obama's handling of the economy.
University of Virginia political analyst11 Larry Sabato said, "The election is about the economy. We have seen a parade of other issues that are really not going to matter as much as people think they are going to matter. The BP oil spill, immigration, gay marriage, all of these things are interesting and they are controversial, but the black hole of this election year is the economy, the rotten economy, the high unemployment rate. That is what is hurting Democrats."
In recent days, the president has been warning voters that Republicans have no plan to deal with the country's economic challenges and that they would return to the economic approach of the Bush administration.
Larry Sabato says he expects many Democratic candidates to continue to blame Republicans for the current economic woes12, but he says many voters will be skeptical13.
"It is a good tactic14, but the problem is that by two years into the (presidential) term, voters naturally hold the incumbent15 president and his party accountable for what has happened. You run out of options in the blame game," said Sabato.
There are other political factors that seem to be working against the Democrats and the president this year. Conservatives are energized16, Democrats appear lethargic17 and independent voters, who were an important part of Mr. Obama's election coalition18 in 2008, seem to be deserting the president in droves, said analyst Charlie Cook.
"And so it is a matter of swing (independent) voters that had swung for Democrats in the two previous elections now swinging over to Republicans, and then the Democratic base being demoralized or unenthusiastic, and conservatives and Republicans very energized and likely to turn out in bigger numbers," said Cook.
Not all Democrats will want the president to campaign for them this year, especially in states and congressional districts where Mr. Obama is unpopular. Most Democrats, though, will welcome any financial help they can get from the president in the form of campaign fundraising, says Georgetown University expert Stephen Wayne.
"Number one, raise money for Democrats who may be challenged or targeted by Republicans, and President Obama still has great appeal among Democrats and is a great money raiser," said Wayne.
Analysts19 say a Republican takeover of one or both houses of Congress would severely20 curtail21 the president's ability to get his domestic agenda passed by lawmakers over the next two years, and could put him at a political disadvantage as he looks ahead to his own re-election challenge in 2012.
1 cape | |
n.海角,岬;披肩,短披风 | |
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2 cod | |
n.鳕鱼;v.愚弄;哄骗 | |
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3 democrats | |
n.民主主义者,民主人士( democrat的名词复数 ) | |
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4 embarked | |
乘船( embark的过去式和过去分词 ); 装载; 从事 | |
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5 helping | |
n.食物的一份&adj.帮助人的,辅助的 | |
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6 trauma | |
n.外伤,精神创伤 | |
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7 frustration | |
n.挫折,失败,失效,落空 | |
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8 opposition | |
n.反对,敌对 | |
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9 reclaim | |
v.要求归还,收回;开垦 | |
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10 promising | |
adj.有希望的,有前途的 | |
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11 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
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12 woes | |
困境( woe的名词复数 ); 悲伤; 我好苦哇; 某人就要倒霉 | |
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13 skeptical | |
adj.怀疑的,多疑的 | |
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14 tactic | |
n.战略,策略;adj.战术的,有策略的 | |
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15 incumbent | |
adj.成为责任的,有义务的;现任的,在职的 | |
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16 energized | |
v.给予…精力,能量( energize的过去式和过去分词 );使通电 | |
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17 lethargic | |
adj.昏睡的,懒洋洋的 | |
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18 coalition | |
n.结合体,同盟,结合,联合 | |
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19 analysts | |
分析家,化验员( analyst的名词复数 ) | |
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20 severely | |
adv.严格地;严厉地;非常恶劣地 | |
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21 curtail | |
vt.截短,缩短;削减 | |
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