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Europe Struggles to Restore Confidence in Troubled Economies
Greece named a new prime minister Thursday, and Italy is planning to do the same fairly soon, as European leaders move to regain1 the confidence of financial markets and to ensure that the region’s economic crisis does not get any worse.
Greece chose economist2 Lucas Papademos to head its interim3 government, with the goal of getting the tough conditions of the European financial rescue package approved.
Italy’s embattled Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi is also expected to give way to an interim government, perhaps also to be led by an economist.
The goal is to restore confidence in the two troubled economies and their leadership, and to stabilize4 financial markets, in the hope of avoiding the kind of dire5 consequences highlighted by headline writers in recent days.
But Economist Ben May at London’s Capital Economics analysis firm says it is not all about image and confidence. He says Italy’s debt is so high that even as the world’s eighth-largest economy it will not be able to pay all of it back, with huge regional and global repercussions6.
“Clearly what has happened now is fears about Italy are growing and certainly we think there is a real chance it might have to default to get its debts down to a sustainable level," said May.
Italian-born political economist Leila Simona Talani of London’s King’s College says such concerns are unwarranted.
“I do not think it is unsustainable," said Talani. "I know that non-Italians have the feeling that it is not possible to handle such a huge debt. It is a huge debt. Italians know, however, that this debt is financed by Italians, and is very likely to keep on being financed, even in a higher percentage than before, by Italians.”
But the European Union is imposing7 tough conditions on continued financing of the troubled economies, and insisting on tighter monitoring.
Already, austerity plans are causing social unrest, particularly in Greece.
Even in Britain there have been demonstrations8, including one this week by students protesting higher tuition fees caused by government spending cuts designed to avoid an Italian or Greek scenario9.
Some experts are concerned about an austerity-based approach that could lead to many years of recession in some countries, and have begun to call for targeted spending to stimulate10 growth.
“You lost competitiveness," said Talani. "You lost productivity. So you have to invest in these.”
And that is a tough thing for European leaders to contemplate11 as they focus on reducing debt and convincing banks and investors12 that, with help, troubled countries can live within their means.
1 regain | |
vt.重新获得,收复,恢复 | |
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2 economist | |
n.经济学家,经济专家,节俭的人 | |
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3 interim | |
adj.暂时的,临时的;n.间歇,过渡期间 | |
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4 stabilize | |
vt.(使)稳定,使稳固,使稳定平衡;vi.稳定 | |
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5 dire | |
adj.可怕的,悲惨的,阴惨的,极端的 | |
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6 repercussions | |
n.后果,反响( repercussion的名词复数 );余波 | |
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7 imposing | |
adj.使人难忘的,壮丽的,堂皇的,雄伟的 | |
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8 demonstrations | |
证明( demonstration的名词复数 ); 表明; 表达; 游行示威 | |
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9 scenario | |
n.剧本,脚本;概要 | |
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10 stimulate | |
vt.刺激,使兴奋;激励,使…振奋 | |
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11 contemplate | |
vt.盘算,计议;周密考虑;注视,凝视 | |
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12 investors | |
n.投资者,出资者( investor的名词复数 ) | |
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