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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
Supercommittee Failure to Rein1 In US Debt Threatens Global Recovery
A so-called U.S. Congressional "supercommittee" has less than one week before a deficit2-cutting deadline on November 23. Some economists4 say the prospects5 for success are poor while others say failure is not an option. Many are urging the bipartisan committee of six Republicans and six Democrats6 to make big changes to get the huge U.S. debt under control. Economists say failure could seriously hurt the world's largest economy, and countries that do business with it.
With an economy about one fourth the size of the world's GDP (gross domestic product), any threat to the U.S. economy is a potential threat to other countries that do business with it. Jason Peuquet, a policy analyst7 at the New America Foundation says it does not take a large economy to see how interconnected the world has become.
"We saw that one smaller country in the EU, Greece, could really almost bring down Europe and threaten the global economy," he said. "So if we can see that in just one smaller country, imagine what would happen in the world's largest single economy, the United States."
Some say U.S. debt - now edging close to $15 trillion - is growing too fast. That's why economists say the congressional committee tasked with trimming the nation's deficit must act decisively. Unless politicians deal with the problem now, Diane Lim Rogers, chief economist3 at the Concorde Coalition8, says worries about the nation's ability to repay its debts will make the U.S. less attractive to investors9.
"The scary part from an economic perspective is we're not going to know we've reached that point where we've borrowed so much that we're not looking like a safe investment," she said. "We're not going to know that until it happens - very rapidly. It's sort of like you don't known you're near the edge of the cliff until you're already off the cliff."
Like Greece and Italy, experts say if that happens, interest rates on U.S. securities will spike10, making it costlier11 for the country to repay its debts. Lim Rogers says it's a burden the next generation would be forced to carry.
That's why New America Foundation's Peuquet says the supercommittee can not afford to fail.
"Extending the deadline would be much better than failure, because it keeps the conversation going," he said. "We've got the focus of the world, the markets, businesses, the American public. And this is a real opportunity, so we hope the supercommittee recognizes that."
Failure to reach a deal by November 23 would trigger automatic spending cuts worth more than one trillion dollars. Those cuts would come primarily from defense12 and domestic spending programs - without the benefit of new revenue.
"So it's a spending side only approach, it leaves us with a very spending heavy strategy for deficit reduction at a time when we're still struggling to come out of our recession," said Diane Lim Rogers.
Such "brute13 force" spending cuts could hurt social programs for unemployed14 and lower income Americans and hamper15 the country's military readiness.
Some economists warn a political deadlock16 could also lead to another downgrade of U.S. debt, sending markets into a tailspin that would further weaken the world's economy.
1 rein | |
n.疆绳,统治,支配;vt.以僵绳控制,统治 | |
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2 deficit | |
n.亏空,亏损;赤字,逆差 | |
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3 economist | |
n.经济学家,经济专家,节俭的人 | |
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4 economists | |
n.经济学家,经济专家( economist的名词复数 ) | |
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5 prospects | |
n.希望,前途(恒为复数) | |
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6 democrats | |
n.民主主义者,民主人士( democrat的名词复数 ) | |
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7 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
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8 coalition | |
n.结合体,同盟,结合,联合 | |
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9 investors | |
n.投资者,出资者( investor的名词复数 ) | |
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10 spike | |
n.长钉,钉鞋;v.以大钉钉牢,使...失效 | |
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11 costlier | |
adj.昂贵的( costly的比较级 );代价高的;引起困难的;造成损失的 | |
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12 defense | |
n.防御,保卫;[pl.]防务工事;辩护,答辩 | |
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13 brute | |
n.野兽,兽性 | |
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14 unemployed | |
adj.失业的,没有工作的;未动用的,闲置的 | |
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15 hamper | |
vt.妨碍,束缚,限制;n.(有盖的)大篮子 | |
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16 deadlock | |
n.僵局,僵持 | |
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