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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
Analysts2 Dispute Iran's Uranium-Enrichment Claims
The international community has demanded that Iran fully3 acknowledge all of its nuclear related activities, and halt any work toward acquiring nuclear weapons. But Tehran has responded by announcing that it will not only continue to enrich uranium, but also, expand production.
Despite condemnation4 from around the globe, Iran says it will continue to enrich uranium. And, in the eyes of many, the Islamic Republic is also working to make these enrichment activities even less visible.
On June 8, the head of Iran's atomic energy agency, Fereidoun Abbasi, said uranium enrichment would be done at two facilities - though apparently5 for different uses.
One facility, at Natanz, will continue to enrich uranium for electrical generation. But another facility, called Fordo, will have a much more controversial purpose. Analyst1 Corey Hinderstein, with the anti-proliferation group Nuclear Threat Initiative, says the Fordo enrichment will be to a much higher level.
"This is the kind of enrichment that is still not usable in a nuclear weapon, but it gives them a platform from which, if they made a decision to make a nuclear weapon, they could do so in a much shorter amount of time," Hingerstein noted6.
The Fardo enrichment facility is within an apparently heavily-fortified, hollowed-out mountain near the city of Qom. And that, according to former weapons inspector7 and nuclear analyst David Albright, at the Institute for Science and International Security, does the opposite of assuring the world that Iran's nuclear intentions are peaceful.
"What Iran has done is send a very provocative8 signal that it is taking centrifuges - advanced centrifuges - and putting them underground in a site that cannot be bombed," noted Albright. "And then, making materials. They could be, in the end, just that much closer to material that would be used in a nuclear weapon."
Iran nuclear chief Abbasi says the Fardo enrichment site will produce uranium enriched to about 20 percent, to be used in creating medical isotopes9. And he says the facility will do this enrichment at three times the previous rate. Corey Hinderstein says she flatly rejects this justification10.
"They already have about 50 kilograms of this higher enriched - 20 percent – uranium," Hinderstein said. "That is, already, about five years' worth of material for the [Tehran Research medical] reactor11. And, they have no other reactors12 to use [for creating medical isotopes]. So, the idea that they would need triple this amount on an annual basis just doesn't jibe13 with their civilian14 activities."
Iran's continued work on its nuclear program has caused some to call for military action. But that threat, according to some analysts, only causes Tehran to be even more determined15 to proceed. And, they say, it's why nothing substantive16 seems to have come from repeated talks with Iranian officials.
The RAND Corporation recently issued a report on Iran's nuclear program which contained several proposals for the United States and other nations.
One course of action would be to make current sanctions against Iran even tougher, and back that up with a more robust17 U.S. military presence in the Gulf18.
Another option would be to combine tougher sanctions with the building of missile defenses by other Persian Gulf countries to neutralize19 possible Iranian threats.
Yet a third idea set forth20 in the RAND report would go the other direction - relaxing sanctions and perceived military threats in hopes of pulling Iran out of its "bunker" mentality21.
One of the RAND study's authors, Ali Reza Nader, says this third approach would have to overcome decades of hostilities22 between Iran and the West.
"One of the options we discussed in the report is diplomacy23, or engagement - lessening24 Iran's sense of threat from the United States," noted Ali Reza Nader. "Of course, there are various impediments to achieving this from both sides. Building the domestic support for some sort of relationship with Iran and the United States."
Analyst Nader says Tehran's first and foremost imperative25 is to ensure the survival of its regime. He, and the RAND study, say that addressing this primary concern may be the key to finally getting Iran to ease its nuclear ambitions.
1 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
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2 analysts | |
分析家,化验员( analyst的名词复数 ) | |
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3 fully | |
adv.完全地,全部地,彻底地;充分地 | |
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4 condemnation | |
n.谴责; 定罪 | |
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5 apparently | |
adv.显然地;表面上,似乎 | |
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6 noted | |
adj.著名的,知名的 | |
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7 inspector | |
n.检查员,监察员,视察员 | |
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8 provocative | |
adj.挑衅的,煽动的,刺激的,挑逗的 | |
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9 isotopes | |
n.同位素;同位素( isotope的名词复数 ) | |
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10 justification | |
n.正当的理由;辩解的理由 | |
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11 reactor | |
n.反应器;反应堆 | |
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12 reactors | |
起反应的人( reactor的名词复数 ); 反应装置; 原子炉; 核反应堆 | |
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13 jibe | |
v.嘲笑,与...一致,使转向;n.嘲笑,嘲弄 | |
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14 civilian | |
adj.平民的,民用的,民众的 | |
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15 determined | |
adj.坚定的;有决心的 | |
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16 substantive | |
adj.表示实在的;本质的、实质性的;独立的;n.实词,实名词;独立存在的实体 | |
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17 robust | |
adj.强壮的,强健的,粗野的,需要体力的,浓的 | |
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18 gulf | |
n.海湾;深渊,鸿沟;分歧,隔阂 | |
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19 neutralize | |
v.使失效、抵消,使中和 | |
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20 forth | |
adv.向前;向外,往外 | |
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21 mentality | |
n.心理,思想,脑力 | |
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22 hostilities | |
n.战争;敌意(hostility的复数);敌对状态;战事 | |
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23 diplomacy | |
n.外交;外交手腕,交际手腕 | |
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24 lessening | |
减轻,减少,变小 | |
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25 imperative | |
n.命令,需要;规则;祈使语气;adj.强制的;紧急的 | |
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