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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
There is a reshuffling underway at the Federal Reserve
NPR's Rachel Martin talks to David Wessel of the Brookings Institution about President Biden expected to announce soon his choices to fill the three openings on the Fed Reserve Board.
RACHEL MARTIN, HOST:
There is a reshuffling underway at the top of the Federal Reserve. The U.S. central banking2 system faces big questions about how to steer3 the economy through a burst of inflation and the persistent4 disruptions to labor5 markets and supply chains caused by the pandemic. President Biden has three slots to fill on the seven-member Fed board in Washington. And two of the 12 regional Fed banks are looking for new presidents.
For more, we turn, as we often do, to David Wessel. He is director of the Hutchins Center at the Brookings Institution.
Good morning, David.
DAVID WESSEL, BYLINE6: Good morning, Rachel.
MARTIN: Who is President Biden thinking about for those three board vacancies7?
WESSEL: Well, we've been expecting the White House to announce the nominees8 any day now since the beginning of December. The betting is that the president's going to pick Sarah Bloom Raskin to be vice9 chair for bank supervision10. She's a lawyer, former Fed governor, deputy treasury11 secretary and is sure to be much tougher on the banks than her predecessor12, a Trump13 appointee, Randy Quarles. And that's a priority both for the White House and many congressional Democrats14.
For the other two spots, well-sourced reporters say the White House is looking at two academics - Lisa Cook of Michigan State and Phil Jefferson, who's now dean of faculty15 at Davidson College. Both of them are Black. So if these three are nominated, and confirmed by the Senate, of course, the Fed board will for the first time have more women than men and more than one Black governor.
MARTIN: So thinking about inflation, what difference do these changes mean - these personnel changes mean - for the interest rates that the Fed sets?
WESSEL: Actually, not much - new governors tend to follow the lead of the chair. And, of course, President Biden has renominated Jay Powell for a second term. His confirmation16 hearing at the Senate is tomorrow. And by the time these three are seated, the Fed probably will have set its tentative course for 2022.
Now, you know, the Fed has been surprised by the persistence17 of price increases and by the reluctance18 of millions of people to return to the workforce19. So financial markets have shifted quite a bit. And they now anticipate the Fed will lift rates from zero, where they've been since the pandemic began in March, and will lift them two or three times more during 2022. I think one task the Biden appointees might face is explaining to progressives in the public just why the Fed is raising interest rates - taking its foot off the monetary20 accelerator, if you will - even though so many people will still probably be hurting from the pandemic in 2022.
MARTIN: So, David, what drove the Fed to speed up its timetable for raising interest rates? And does it risk triggering a recession if it goes too far?
WESSEL: Well, inflation is running well above the Fed's 2% target - 5.7% in the past year, by its favored measure. And even though inflation is likely to abate21 as kinks in the supply chain are worked out, Fed officials worry that too long a period with scary headlines about inflation could really lead people to expect higher inflation going forward, and that could become a self-fulfilling prophecy. At the same time, the Fed thinks that with unemployment down to 3.9% and so many unfilled job openings, we're very close to what they call maximum employment.
But I think there are a couple of risks here. One is they wait too long. We get too much inflation. They have to really jack22 up interest rates. That could cause a recession. But the other is that they are too mesmerized23 by today's inflation readings. They tighten24 monetary policy just as the economy slows - less federal spending coming into the economy. And that too could trigger an unwelcome recession. So it's a very delicate balancing act they face right now.
MARTIN: David Wessel, we always appreciate when you come on. We appreciate you - director of the Hutchins Center on Fiscal25 and Monetary Policy at the Brookings Institution. Thanks.
WESSEL: You're welcome.
(SOUNDBITE OF SUFF DADDY'S "LAMBORARRI")
1 transcript | |
n.抄本,誊本,副本,肄业证书 | |
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2 banking | |
n.银行业,银行学,金融业 | |
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3 steer | |
vt.驾驶,为…操舵;引导;vi.驾驶 | |
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4 persistent | |
adj.坚持不懈的,执意的;持续的 | |
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5 labor | |
n.劳动,努力,工作,劳工;分娩;vi.劳动,努力,苦干;vt.详细分析;麻烦 | |
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6 byline | |
n.署名;v.署名 | |
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7 vacancies | |
n.空房间( vacancy的名词复数 );空虚;空白;空缺 | |
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8 nominees | |
n.被提名者,被任命者( nominee的名词复数 ) | |
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9 vice | |
n.坏事;恶习;[pl.]台钳,老虎钳;adj.副的 | |
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10 supervision | |
n.监督,管理 | |
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11 treasury | |
n.宝库;国库,金库;文库 | |
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12 predecessor | |
n.前辈,前任 | |
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13 trump | |
n.王牌,法宝;v.打出王牌,吹喇叭 | |
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14 democrats | |
n.民主主义者,民主人士( democrat的名词复数 ) | |
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15 faculty | |
n.才能;学院,系;(学院或系的)全体教学人员 | |
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16 confirmation | |
n.证实,确认,批准 | |
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17 persistence | |
n.坚持,持续,存留 | |
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18 reluctance | |
n.厌恶,讨厌,勉强,不情愿 | |
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19 workforce | |
n.劳动大军,劳动力 | |
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20 monetary | |
adj.货币的,钱的;通货的;金融的;财政的 | |
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21 abate | |
vi.(风势,疼痛等)减弱,减轻,减退 | |
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22 jack | |
n.插座,千斤顶,男人;v.抬起,提醒,扛举;n.(Jake)杰克 | |
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23 mesmerized | |
v.使入迷( mesmerize的过去式和过去分词 ) | |
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24 tighten | |
v.(使)变紧;(使)绷紧 | |
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25 fiscal | |
adj.财政的,会计的,国库的,国库岁入的 | |
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