美国有线新闻 CNN 美国总统大选日 希拉里特朗普选情分析

 

First up, Election Day in America. This is it, the day when American voters finally get their say who becomes their next leader. They are also voting for all U.S. representatives, and about a third of U.S. senators, as well as state and local officials.

But the spotlight¹ is on Republican presidential nominee² Donald Trump³ and Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton. One of whom is certain to take the Oval Office.

Several recent national polls indicated that Clinton had a slight advantage between three to four percentage points about likely voters. This is a close race and both candidates have a path to victory. Voters won't be directly choosing their president. What they're doing is choosing electors to vote for them. The higher a state's population, the more electors it has.

CNN's Electoral College map gives an idea of how things could go today. But again, these are estimates based on polls, previous votes and early votes.

JOHN KING, CNN CHIEF NATIONAL CORRESPONDENT: You have to say advantage Clinton as we headed to these final hours, and this big national lead is why. Four points for Secretary Clinton, 46 percent to 42 percent heading into the final week and the national CNN poll of polls, that compares favorably, a better lead than President Obama had at this point in 2012, a bigger lead than George W. Bush had at this point in 2004, the last time Republicans won the presidency⁴.

National leads though don't always win presidential elections. We pick our presidents state by state. So, you look at this map and here's the question. In this frenetic final day, is there a path for Donald Trump?

Well, let's start here. Hillary Clinton thinks with early voting, she's going to get Nevada. If she does, that puts her over the top, 274 in our count.

They also think in the Clinton campaign, again this is a hypothetical scenario⁵, they think they're going to win North Carolina, again because of early voting. The Trump would push back, but let's give it to her just for the sake of this. And Republicans in New Hampshire are worried, they think over the weekend, that state is started to break.

What if Hillary Clinton wins all those? A hypothetical. But if she does, can Donald Trump still win? That's why he's targeting the big, blue states.

Donald Trump must win Arizona for starters. That would give him to 215. No brainer, must win Florida. If Donald Trump loses Florida, forget about it, game over. But if he wins Arizona and Florida, can he take away the blues⁶ and come back?

That is why in these final days, Donald Trump is saying, I'm going to take Pennsylvania, and I'm going to take Michigan, that would do it. Now, 1988, 1988, the last time those two big blues went red. Democrats⁷ say, "Dream on, Donald." His campaign says, "Watch".

1 spotlight   

n.公众注意的中心，聚光灯，探照灯，视听，注意，醒目

参考例句：

• This week the spotlight is on the world of fashion.本周引人瞩目的是时装界。
• The spotlight followed her round the stage.聚光灯的光圈随着她在舞台上转。

2 nominee   

n.被提名者；被任命者；被推荐者

参考例句：

• His nominee for vice president was elected only after a second ballot.他提名的副总统在两轮投票后才当选。
• Mr.Francisco is standing as the official nominee for the post of District Secretary.弗朗西斯科先生是行政书记职位的正式提名人。

3 trump   

n.王牌，法宝；v.打出王牌，吹喇叭

参考例句：

• He was never able to trump up the courage to have a showdown.他始终鼓不起勇气摊牌。
• The coach saved his star player for a trump card.教练保留他的明星选手，作为他的王牌。

4 presidency   

n.总统(校长，总经理)的职位(任期)

参考例句：

• Roosevelt was elected four times to the presidency of the United States.罗斯福连续当选四届美国总统。
• Two candidates are emerging as contestants for the presidency.两位候选人最终成为总统职位竞争者。

5 scenario   

n.剧本，脚本；概要

参考例句：

• But the birth scenario is not completely accurate.然而分娩脚本并非完全准确的。
• This is a totally different scenario.这是完全不同的剧本。

6 blues   

n.抑郁，沮丧；布鲁斯音乐

参考例句：

• She was in the back of a smoky bar singing the blues.她在烟雾弥漫的酒吧深处唱着布鲁斯歌曲。
• He was in the blues on account of his failure in business.他因事业失败而意志消沉。

7 democrats   

n.民主主义者，民主人士( democrat的名词复数 )

参考例句：

• The Democrats held a pep rally on Capitol Hill yesterday. 民主党昨天在国会山召开了竞选誓师大会。
• The democrats organize a filibuster in the senate. 民主党党员组织了阻挠议事。 来自《简明英汉词典》