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Russia spent much of 2010 trying to mend fences with the West. It settled a big border dispute with Norway, and normalized relations with Ukraine, after a pro-Kremlin leader took over. But Russia's biggest change is with two big adversaries1: Poland and the United States.
The men in the Kremlin do not smile easily. Soviet2 Premier3 Nikita Khruschev banged his shoe at the United Nations. Andrei Gromyko, Soviet foreign minister, was known in the West as "Grim Grom" or "Mr. Nyet."
But this spring, Russia's President Dmitry Medvedev, unveiled a new look – a friendly face to the West. He told a European reporter: "I would like to see Russia smiling, and taking the face of a young, modern person."
Oil was on its way back to $90 a barrel. But foreign investment had not returned after Russia's 2008 invasion of Georgia. Russia's group of allies – Belarus, North Korea, Venezuela and Zimbabwe – was lampooned4 as 'the losers' club.'
China and Russia switched economic places. Konstantin von Eggert, a Moscow political analyst5, increasingly hears Russians worrying about China's relentless7 rise.
"Another factor is the growth of Chinese economic and political and military might on Russia's borders," said von Eggert. "China squeezes Russia out of Central Asia. It increasingly shows that Russia is its junior partner."
Modernizing8 alliances
Russia's leadership took a hard look at failed efforts to restore superpower glory. Downsizing ambitions, they chose a pragmatic slogan – "modernizing alliances."
Carnegie Moscow Center Director Dmitri Trenin is writing a book that explores 'post-imperial Russia'
"What Russian leaders has also done is essentially9 tell the foreign ministry10 people that simply supporting a crumbling11 image, a crumbling fa?ade of Russia, the great power, was not enough," Trenin said. "So the mission of Russia's foreign policy was to reach out to countries that could be external modernization12 sources for Russia."
Russians complain that China sees Russia as a raw materials supplier. In contrast, Europe sees Russia as a frontier for industrial investment. But two obstacles can block full European cooperation – the United States and Poland.
Moscow's reset14 with Washington is real.
It survives challenges Russian officials once called "provokatsiyii."
The unveiling of a Russian spy ring three days after President Medvedev's visit to Washington last summer; the deportation15 from Bangkok to New York of Russian arms dealer16 Victor Bout6; and the post-election surge in Republican opposition17 to the New START treaty.
Keeping an eye on the prize, Russia cancelled the sale of anti-aircraft missiles that were to protect Iranian nuclear facilities. In return, Washington helps Russia enter the World Trade Organization, an event expected to bring more foreign investment. Washington protects Russia's southern flank by bolstering18 Afghanistan and keeping radical19 Islam from spilling into Central Asia.
"The Russian political class, Russian leadership, imagine with horror – with creeping horror – what's going to happen when the international coalition20 headed by the United States pulls out of Afghanistan," said von Eggert. "Russia has porous21 borders with Central Asia, and if there is a Taliban spillover into places like Kyrgyzstan, Tajikstan or Uzbekistan, that is going to hit Russia very badly."
Better relations with Washington unlock American investment for Russia. Pepsi is buying Russia's largest dairy and juice company – the largest acquisition ever by a U.S. company in Russia.
Stumbling block
Poland also blocked full Russian access to European Union.
A big stumbling block was Katyn, the Russian forest where Stalin's secret police murdered thousands of Polish prisoners during World War II. On April 7, the Prime Minister Vladimir Putin reached out to Poland, praying with Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk22 at a memorial in Katyn.
Three days later, tragedy stuck. A Polish government plane carrying the nation's president and 95 other dignitaries crashed in fog near Katyn. President Medvedev persevered23 with the outreach, attending the funeral in Warsaw, opening the crash investigation24 to Polish participation25, and engineering a Russian parliament vote officially blaming for Stalin for Katyn.
Then last week, President Medvedev turned his wide smile on the Poles in a state visit to Warsaw, the first by a Russian in almost a decade.
He decorated Poland's anti-Soviet film director Andrzej Wajda with the Russian People's Order of Friendship. Wajda's 2007 film, Katyn is about the World War massacre26, which took the life of his father, a Polish cavalry27 officer.
Courting the West
After the ups and downs of 2010, President Medvedev and Prime Minister Putin are sticking to courting the West. Pavel Felgenhauer, a military analyst, cautions that it will take years to erode28 mutual mistrust.
"This reset of relations with Poland is going very nicely on the public relations kind of part of it," Felgenhauer said. "In the basics the relations are still very edgy29."
But with China rising fast in the east, Russia is determined30 to shore up its ties in the west.
1 adversaries | |
n.对手,敌手( adversary的名词复数 ) | |
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2 Soviet | |
adj.苏联的,苏维埃的;n.苏维埃 | |
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3 premier | |
adj.首要的;n.总理,首相 | |
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4 lampooned | |
v.冷嘲热讽,奚落( lampoon的过去式和过去分词 ) | |
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5 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
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6 bout | |
n.侵袭,发作;一次(阵,回);拳击等比赛 | |
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7 relentless | |
adj.残酷的,不留情的,无怜悯心的 | |
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8 modernizing | |
使现代化,使适应现代需要( modernize的现在分词 ); 现代化,使用现代方法 | |
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9 essentially | |
adv.本质上,实质上,基本上 | |
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10 ministry | |
n.(政府的)部;牧师 | |
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11 crumbling | |
adj.摇摇欲坠的 | |
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12 modernization | |
n.现代化,现代化的事物 | |
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13 mutual | |
adj.相互的,彼此的;共同的,共有的 | |
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14 reset | |
v.重新安排,复位;n.重新放置;重放之物 | |
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15 deportation | |
n.驱逐,放逐 | |
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16 dealer | |
n.商人,贩子 | |
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17 opposition | |
n.反对,敌对 | |
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18 bolstering | |
v.支持( bolster的现在分词 );支撑;给予必要的支持;援助 | |
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19 radical | |
n.激进份子,原子团,根号;adj.根本的,激进的,彻底的 | |
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20 coalition | |
n.结合体,同盟,结合,联合 | |
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21 porous | |
adj.可渗透的,多孔的 | |
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22 tusk | |
n.獠牙,长牙,象牙 | |
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23 persevered | |
v.坚忍,坚持( persevere的过去式和过去分词 ) | |
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24 investigation | |
n.调查,调查研究 | |
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25 participation | |
n.参与,参加,分享 | |
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26 massacre | |
n.残杀,大屠杀;v.残杀,集体屠杀 | |
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27 cavalry | |
n.骑兵;轻装甲部队 | |
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28 erode | |
v.侵蚀,腐蚀,使...减少、减弱或消失 | |
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29 edgy | |
adj.不安的;易怒的 | |
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30 determined | |
adj.坚定的;有决心的 | |
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