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The Puntland region has decided1 to separate from the Transitional Federal Government of Somalia, dimming hopes for peace and stability as the government's internationally-backed mandate2 winds down.
In the midst of a campaign for an extension on its expiring mandate, Somalia's U.N.-backed Transitional Federal Government was dealt a major blow when Puntland recently announced the end of its cooperation with the struggling administration in Mogadishu.
Puntland is a region in northeastern Somalia that has governed itself autonomously3 since 1998. Unlike neighbor Somaliland, which declared full independence in 1991, Puntland maintained ties to Mogadishu in the hope of eventually rejoining a stable, federated Somali state.
The Puntland region has enjoyed relative peace and even prosperity, when compared to the war-torn south. But Sunday's announcement reflected a growing dissatisfaction by Puntland with what it described as marginalization by politicians in Mogadishu.
The announcement was justified4 by what the Puntland government decried5 as a lack of participation6 and representation at the Djibouti Peace Process. The meeting, held in 2008 and 2009, helped form the current Somali government, led by President Sheikh Sharif Sheikh Ahmed.
The Puntland government also took issue with failure of the central government to share international development funds with other regions of Somalia.
According to analyst7 E.J. Hogendoorn of the Brussels-based International Crisis Group, however, the announcement was more a political maneuver8 than an attempt at separation.
"The statement is essentially9 a shot across the bow, saying that if you do not start giving us more political consideration or more resources we can go our own way," said Hogendoorn.
But the announcement does not bode10 well for the mandate of the transitional government, due to expire in August. One of the largest donors11 to Mogadishu is the United States, which recently unveiled a "Dual-Track" policy of simultaneously12 engaging the unrecognized state of Somaliland.
Some analysts13 are worried Puntland's separation spells the end for a unified14 Somalia, with the emergence15 of smaller regional states more likely. Hogendoorn said, though, that the chances of an independence declaration from Puntland are slim.
"I think some people worry about that and that is certainly a possibility, but I do not see that happening anytime soon," said Hogendoorn. "People have seen what happened to Somaliland. Why go down that road? There are very few benefits that they will get from a declaration of independence."
Somaliland has been a declared independent state since 1991, but has yet to receive formal international recognition. Although it has held multiple successful elections and been hailed as an example for the region, it has until recently been largely ignored by international donors.
Though the clock is ticking on the transitional mandate, Hogendoorn believes it is possible to see the formation of a new government structure, with Puntland's participation, come August.
1 decided | |
adj.决定了的,坚决的;明显的,明确的 | |
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2 mandate | |
n.托管地;命令,指示 | |
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3 autonomously | |
adv. 自律地,自治地 | |
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4 justified | |
a.正当的,有理的 | |
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5 decried | |
v.公开反对,谴责( decry的过去式和过去分词 ) | |
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6 participation | |
n.参与,参加,分享 | |
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7 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
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8 maneuver | |
n.策略[pl.]演习;v.(巧妙)控制;用策略 | |
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9 essentially | |
adv.本质上,实质上,基本上 | |
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10 bode | |
v.预示 | |
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11 donors | |
n.捐赠者( donor的名词复数 );献血者;捐血者;器官捐献者 | |
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12 simultaneously | |
adv.同时发生地,同时进行地 | |
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13 analysts | |
分析家,化验员( analyst的名词复数 ) | |
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14 unified | |
(unify 的过去式和过去分词); 统一的; 统一标准的; 一元化的 | |
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15 emergence | |
n.浮现,显现,出现,(植物)突出体 | |
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