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Economy, Development Central to Nigerian Voters’ Concerns
Nigeria's economy is the second-largest in sub-Saharan Africa, after South Africa, but observers say that status is deceiving. They complain that Nigeria, despite billions of oil revenues and nearly 7% yearly economic growth, has failed to lift living standards for the average person.
Tony Iyare is a columnist1 and political consultant2 to Governor Adams Aliyu Oshiomole of the south-central state of Edo.
"More than 70 percent of Nigerians live on less than $1.00 per day," says Iyare. "We have one of the highest rates of maternal3 and child mortality. Nigeria may not meet the U.N. Millennium4 Development Goals [which aim for dramatic reductions in poverty and improvements in health care by 2015].
"For a country that's earned over $500 billion over the past 12 years [in oil money], it has not been able to put food on the table for its population, provide health care, schools, good roads and all kinds of services, [nor] hope for its teaming population."
AP
Nigeria President Goodluck Jonathan has ambitious reforms for the country's energy sector6
Power shortages
It's not for lack of trying.
President Goodluck Jonathan of the People's Democratic Party has introduced several measures to improve transparency and improve efficiency.
They include a proposed $10 billion dollar plan to develop Nigeria's gas reserves and its petrochemical and fertilizer industries. Jonathan says the venture should help create half a million jobs.
His administration also backs the ambitious Petroleum7 Industry Bill, which would improve transparency in contracts and increase government petroleum revenues, which would in turn help create a new fund to help develop often-neglected oil-producing communities.
Perhaps the president's most publicized plan is to reform the ineffective Power Holding Company of Nigeria (PHCN). The state-run agency was originally named the National Electric Power Authority (NEPA), which many Nigerians said meant No Electric Power Anytime or Never Electric Power Again.
Iyare says things are so bad that companies have to rely on their own sources of energy to operate.
Nigerians cast their ballots8 for president on Saturday
"The cost of doing business in Nigeria is 50 percent higher [than in other countries in West Africa]. It is easier to do business in [Ivory Coast and] Ghana, where there is power 24 hours a day.
"[Here], if you are engaging in production, you have to provide your own power, generate your own water, build your own roads and hire your own security. By the time you add this overhead, the cost of production is very high."
Ambitious reforms
Jonathan has also proposed spending nearly 4 billion dollars on a new electricity grid9. The president predicts domestic power generation will increase from about 4,000 megawatts today to about 20,000 within the next four years.
Sola Tayo is a first-year associate fellow in the Africa Program at the London-based think tank, Chatham House.
"Goodluck Jonathan made headlines," she says, "with his plans to completely privatize the electricity sector. No one [before him] has gone as far as he is proposing. There were efforts by [former president Olusegun Obasanjo] to reform the power sector and let foreign companies bid for contracts, but what Jonathan is proposing is a... complete privatization of state-run power company, which I don't think anyone has proposed before.
"Jonathan made a big splash with that and appointed a very respected Nigerian professor to oversee10 the process, Professor Bart Nnaji. He is someone people admire, an innovator11... not a light weight. But it remains12 to be seen whether this will make a significant difference to Nigerians and if power generated will increase So far, they've had interest from [investors] in Ireland, Canada, and India. It just remains to be seen whether they deliver, and if the government makes it easy for them to deliver."
Reuters
Former military ruler Muhammadu Buhari enjoys strong corruption14-fighting credentials15
Corruption
Observers say whether or not the country can be turned around depends on how leaders handle another important issue corruption. The World Bank blames the problem for the loss of $300 billion over the past three decades.
The issue has been a boon16 to two other presidential contenders with records of fighting graft17: former general Muhammadu Buhari of the Congress for Progressive Change and Nuhu Ribadu of the Action Congress Party, who has served as chair of the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission.
On the other hand, some have less confidence in President Jonathon, who they say has surrounded himself with corrupt13 officials.
Emmanuel Iffer is a public commentator18 and former news editor for the Leadership newspaper in Abuja.
"His weakness," says Iffer, "is that he has people around him, supporters who are key organizers and planners, some of whom people are not happy with. People believe that for him to succeed, he should not have relationships with such characters.
"In the last 12 years of Nigerian democracy, some of these people have been in successive governments and Nigerians see them as people who have [failed] to move the country forward. Some people are worried about such people around him. They are suspicious they are likely to influence his decisions; [they do not think he has] a mind of his own."
Observers note another characteristic common to most of the front-running candidates. Only the vice5 presidential candidate of the Action Congress Party of Nigeria, [banker and businessman Fola Adeola], has any experience in the private sector.
Personality politics
Some complain that despite the importance of these issues, much of the campaign season has been devoted19 to personal topics, like the candidates' religion or home region.
Dr. Jibrin Ibrahim is the director of the Centre for Democracy and Development in Abuja.
Reuters
A supporter holds a poster campaigning for former anti-graft chief Nuhu Ribadu of the Action Congress of Nigeria
"Personalities20 have played a much bigger role in the campaigns, which is unfortunate," says Ibrahim. "The presidential candidates are not being judged on [where they stand on] the issues. Most simply [say] they will [provide] electricity, water or create employment without going into the details [of] how they will do that using the resources available at the country at this time."
Security
Jibril Ibrahim says one important topic that's been ignored is security. In recent years, the government has confronted militants22 who say they are fighting for greater development of the oil-rich Niger Delta23 region. It has also faced inter-communal24 violence between Muslims and Christians26 in the country's center, or Middle Belt and the emergence27 in the mainly Muslim northeast of the militant21 group Boko Haram [which translates as "Western education is sacrilege"]."
"It was clear to everyone as a serious issue," says Ibrahim. "The level of violence was quite high. In some parts of the country, there is low level insurgency28 that has persisted; in other parts, there have been communal conflicts of significant levels; banditry and armed robbery continue to be major problems. So, in the mindset of Nigerians, improving the security is an absolute necessity."
Ibrahim says Jonathan, who has helped oversee an amnesty for Niger Delta militants, has the support of many voters who want an end to violence in the region. But others say retired29 general Buhari, himself a northern Muslim, would be best to handle conflict in north and central regions.
Social cohesion30
Besides security, Sola Tayo of Chatham House, say social issues have been neglected.
"There are issues people don't like to talk about," says Tayo,"like what it means to actually be Nigerian. [Today], there [are] people not calling themselves Nigerian, but Yoruba, Ibo, Muslim, Christian25 [etc]...and that, combined with the way some people campaigned during the election, does not build a cohesive31 nation.
Reuters
All Nigeria People's Party (ANPP) Ibrahim Shekarau has earned respect as a strong and eloquent32 governor of Kano State.
"They judge people based on their ethnicity or religion. That is something that needs to be addressed because if you look at what's happened in some other African states, in particular, Ivory coast and what [former Ivory Coast president] Laurent Gbagbo did with his [nativist] campaign [making a distinction between who is a "real" Ivorian and who, in his view, is not], I think it can be quite dangerous if people don't talk about these things on a grassroots level early on."
Observers say it's not clear to what extent regionalism will determine the winner. They note that both President Jonathan and General Buhari enjoy support throughout the country. And they say that with the abundance of so many small ethnic33 and religious groups, it's hard to be sure any single candidate has a complete lock on any given region.
1 columnist | |
n.专栏作家 | |
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2 consultant | |
n.顾问;会诊医师,专科医生 | |
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3 maternal | |
adj.母亲的,母亲般的,母系的,母方的 | |
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4 millennium | |
n.一千年,千禧年;太平盛世 | |
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5 vice | |
n.坏事;恶习;[pl.]台钳,老虎钳;adj.副的 | |
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6 sector | |
n.部门,部分;防御地段,防区;扇形 | |
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7 petroleum | |
n.原油,石油 | |
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8 ballots | |
n.投票表决( ballot的名词复数 );选举;选票;投票总数v.(使)投票表决( ballot的第三人称单数 ) | |
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9 grid | |
n.高压输电线路网;地图坐标方格;格栅 | |
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10 oversee | |
vt.监督,管理 | |
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11 innovator | |
n.改革者;创新者 | |
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12 remains | |
n.剩余物,残留物;遗体,遗迹 | |
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13 corrupt | |
v.贿赂,收买;adj.腐败的,贪污的 | |
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14 corruption | |
n.腐败,堕落,贪污 | |
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15 credentials | |
n.证明,资格,证明书,证件 | |
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16 boon | |
n.恩赐,恩物,恩惠 | |
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17 graft | |
n.移植,嫁接,艰苦工作,贪污;v.移植,嫁接 | |
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18 commentator | |
n.注释者,解说者;实况广播评论员 | |
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19 devoted | |
adj.忠诚的,忠实的,热心的,献身于...的 | |
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20 personalities | |
n. 诽谤,(对某人容貌、性格等所进行的)人身攻击; 人身攻击;人格, 个性, 名人( personality的名词复数 ) | |
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21 militant | |
adj.激进的,好斗的;n.激进分子,斗士 | |
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22 militants | |
激进分子,好斗分子( militant的名词复数 ) | |
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23 delta | |
n.(流的)角洲 | |
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24 communal | |
adj.公有的,公共的,公社的,公社制的 | |
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25 Christian | |
adj.基督教徒的;n.基督教徒 | |
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26 Christians | |
n.基督教徒( Christian的名词复数 ) | |
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27 emergence | |
n.浮现,显现,出现,(植物)突出体 | |
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28 insurgency | |
n.起义;暴动;叛变 | |
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29 retired | |
adj.隐退的,退休的,退役的 | |
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30 cohesion | |
n.团结,凝结力 | |
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31 cohesive | |
adj.有粘着力的;有结合力的;凝聚性的 | |
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32 eloquent | |
adj.雄辩的,口才流利的;明白显示出的 | |
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33 ethnic | |
adj.人种的,种族的,异教徒的 | |
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